[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

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WTNT33 KNHC 060241
TCPAT3

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM COLIN ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL032016
1000 PM CDT SUN JUN 05 2016

...NEW TROPICAL STORM WARNING ISSUED FOR THE ATLANTIC COAST...


SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...23.6N 87.8W
ABOUT 450 MI...720 KM SW OF TAMPA FLORIDA
ABOUT 455 MI...735 KM SSW OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 10 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The Tropical Storm Watch is changed to a Tropical Storm Warning
from Altamaha Sound Georgia to the Flagler/Volusia County Line
Florida.  A Tropical Storm Warning has been issued south of the
Flagler/Volusia County Line to Sebastian Inlet Florida.  A
Tropical Storm Watch has been issued north of Altamaha Sound Georgia
to the South Santee River South Carolina.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Indian Pass to Englewood
* Altamaha Sound to Sebastian Inlet

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* North of Altamaha Sound to South Santee River

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within 24
hours.

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, in this case within 36 to 48 hours.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 1000 PM CDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Colin
was located near latitude 23.6 North, longitude 87.8 West.
Colin is moving toward the north near 9 mph (15 km/h).  A
north-northeastward to northeastward motion at a faster forward
speed is expected tonight through Monday.  On this track, the center
of Colin is forecast to approach the coast of the Florida Big Bend
area Monday afternoon or evening.

Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some strengthening is forecast before Colin reaches the coast of
Florida.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...Colin is expected to produce rainfall amounts of 3 to 5
inches with isolated maximum totals of 8 inches possible across the
northeastern Yucatan peninsula, western Cuba, western Florida,
eastern Georgia, and coastal areas of the Carolinas through
Tuesday.

STORM SURGE...The combination of a storm surge and the tide will
cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising
waters.  The water could reach the following heights above ground if
the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide...

Indian Pass to Tampa Bay...1 to 3 ft with slightly higher amounts
possible in a few locations.
Tampa Bay south to Florida Bay...1 to 2 ft.

Localized coastal flooding and dangerous surf is possible along the
Florida East coast within the Tropical Storm Watch area.

The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast.
Surge-related flooding depends on the relative timing of the surge
and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over short distances.  For
information specific to your area, please see products issued by
your local National Weather Service forecast office.

WIND...Tropical storm conditions are expected to first reach the
Gulf coast within the warning area by Monday afternoon, and the
Atlantic coast within the warning area by early Tuesday.  Tropical
storm conditions are possible along the Atlantic coast within the
watch area on Tuesday.

TORNADOES...A few tornadoes are possible on Monday across portions
of Florida and far southern Georgia.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 100 AM CDT.
Next complete advisory at 400 AM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Pasch

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