[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS82 KTAE 310436
HLSTAE
ALZ065>069-FLZ007>019-026>029-034-108-112-114-115-118-127-128-134-GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161-311245-

TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE LOCAL STATEMENT ADVISORY NUMBER 10
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL  AL092016
1236 AM EDT WED AUG 31 2016 /1136 PM CDT TUE AUG 30 2016/

THIS PRODUCT COVERS EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE...FLORIDA BIG BEND...
SOUTHEASTERN ALABAMA AND SOUTHWESTERN GEORGIA

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN INTO A TROPICAL STORM
TODAY...

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - NONE

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR COASTAL
      FRANKLIN...COASTAL JEFFERSON...COASTAL WAKULLA...COASTAL TAYLOR
      AND COASTAL DIXIE
    - A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR INLAND
      GULF...INLAND FRANKLIN...GADSDEN...LEON...INLAND
      JEFFERSON...MADISON...LIBERTY...INLAND WAKULLA...INLAND
      TAYLOR...LAFAYETTE...INLAND DIXIE...COASTAL BAY AND COASTAL GULF

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - ABOUT 410 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF APALACHICOLA OR ABOUT 460
      MILES SOUTHWEST OF STEINHATCHEE RIVER
    - 24.3N 87.8W
    - STORM INTENSITY 35 MPH
    - MOVEMENT NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT 2 MPH

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE IS BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED AND IS
EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM TODAY. THIS SYSTEM WILL
CONTINUE MOVING NORTHWEST WITH A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH EXPECTED
ON LATER TODAY AND TOWARDS THE NORTHEAST ON THURSDAY. ON ITS
CURRENT TRACK, THIS SYSTEM WILL APPROACH THE FLORIDA BIG BEND ON
THURSDAY. THERE IS STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY ON THE TRACK AND
INTENSITY OF THIS SYSTEM AND IT COULD POSSIBLY BECOME A HURRICANE
PRIOR TO MAKING LANDFALL ACROSS NORTHERN FLORIDA.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* SURGE:
PREPARE FOR LIFE-THREATENING SURGE HAVING POSSIBLE
SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS ACROSS THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AND FLORIDA BIG
BEND. THE GREATEST RISK FOR STORM SURGE SURGE FLOODING IS IN
APALACHEE BAY...WHERE STORM SURGE OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE GROUND
LEVEL AND UP TO 5 FEET IS POSSIBLE IN MARSHY AREAS ALONG THE COAST
BEGINNING ON THURSDAY MORNING. POTENTIAL IMPACTS IN THIS AREA INCLUDE:
     - AREAS OF INUNDATION FROM STORM SURGE FLOODING, COMPOUNDED
       BY HIGHER WAVES. NON- ELEVATED HOMES AND BUSINESSES ALONG
       THE COAST WILL BE SUBJECT TO FLOODING PRIMARILY ON THE
       GROUND FLOOR.
     - SECTIONS OF COASTAL HIGHWAYS AND ACCESS ROADS WILL BE FLOODED
       WITH PORTIONS WASHED OUT, ISOLATING AFFECTED COASTAL COMMUNITIES.
     - MODERATE BEACH EROSION WITH DAMAGE TO THE DUNE LINE.
     - MODERATE DAMAGE TO MARINAS, DOCKS, AND PIERS. SMALL CRAFT NOT
       SECURED PRIOR TO THE STORM WILL BREAK AWAY FROM MOORINGS.


* WIND:
PREPARE FOR DANGEROUS WIND HAVING POSSIBLE SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS ACROSS
THE FLORIDA BIG BEND. POTENTIAL IMPACTS IN THIS AREA INCLUDE:
    - MODERATE DAMAGE TO FRAME BUILT HOMES, PRIMARILY DUE TO THE LOSS
      OF ROOFING AND SIDING MATERIALS, ALONG WITH DAMAGE TO PORCHES,
      AWNINGS, CARPORTS, AND SHEDS. SOME WINDOWS AND GARAGE DOORS MAY
      FAIL. MOBILE HOMES DAMAGED, SOME SIGNIFICANTLY IF UNANCHORED.
      UNSECURED LIGHTWEIGHT OBJECTS BECOME PROJECTILES.
    - SEVERAL LARGE TREES UPROOTED; SOME SNAPPED. SOME LARGE ROADWAY
      SIGNS BLOWN OVER.
    - A FEW PRIMARY AND SOME SECONDARY ROADS ARE IMPASSIBLE DUE TO
      DEBRIS.
    - SCATTERED POWER AND COMMUNICATION OUTAGES; SOME LOCALLY
      SIGNIFICANT, LASTING FOR DAYS.

ALSO, PREPARE FOR HAZARDOUS WIND HAVING POSSIBLE LIMITED IMPACTS
ACROSS THE REST OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE AS WELL AS SOUTHWEST GEORGIA
AND PARTS OF SOUTHEAST ALABAMA.

* FLOODING RAIN:
PREPARE FOR DANGEROUS RAINFALL FLOODING HAVING POSSIBLE SIGNIFICANT
IMPACTS ACROSS THE FLORIDA BIG BEND. POTENTIAL IMPACTS INCLUDE:
    - MODERATE FLOODING FROM RAINFALL WILL PROMPT EXTRA PREPARATION
      TO PROTECT PROPERTY FROM FLOODING IN LOW LYING AREAS. ISOLATED
      EVACUATIONS MAY BECOME NECESSARY.
    - RIVERS AND ASSOCIATED TRIBUTARY CREEKS AND STREAMS WILL RISE TO
      BANKFULL LEVELS AND POSSIBLY REACH FLOOD STAGE. RUNOFF WILL
      FILL AREA HOLDING PONDS AND DRAINAGE DITCHES, INCREASING THE
      POTENTIAL FOR URBAN FLOODING WITH ADDITIONAL RAINFALL.
    - FLOOD WATERS WILL APPROACH STRUCTURES IN LOW LYING AREAS. URBAN
      FLOODING WILL RESULT IN ISOLATED ROAD CLOSURES. DANGEROUS
      DRIVING CONDITIONS.

PREPARE FOR LOCALLY HAZARDOUS RAINFALL FLOODING HAVING POSSIBLE
LIMITED IMPACTS ACROSS PARTS OF THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AND SOUTHWEST
GEORGIA.

* TORNADOES:
PREPARE FOR A TORNADO EVENT HAVING POSSIBLE LIMITED IMPACTS ACROSS THE
FLORIDA BIG BEND. POTENTIAL IMPACTS INCLUDE:
    - ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE EXPECTED, RESULTING IN A NOTABLE IMPACT
      TO AFFECTED COMMUNITIES.
    - ISOLATED AREAS AFFECTED BY TORNADOES WILL EXPERIENCE MINOR
      DAMAGE, INCLUDING SOME DAMAGE TO STRUCTURES AND SPORADIC POWER
      AND COMMUNICATION OUTAGES.
    - A FEW STRUCTURES WILL BE DAMAGED BY TORNADOES, MAINLY WITH LOSS
      OF SHINGLES OR SIDING. SOME MOBILE HOMES WILL BE SIGNIFICANTLY
      DAMAGED, ESPECIALLY THOSE UNANCHORED. LARGE TREES WILL BE
      SNAPPED OR UPROOTED.

* OTHER COASTAL HAZARDS:
AN INCREASED RISK OF RIP CURRENTS IS POSSIBLE ACROSS THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE
AND BID BEND BEACHES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

NOW IS THE TIME TO CHECK YOUR EMERGENCY PLAN AND TAKE NECESSARY
ACTIONS TO SECURE YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS. DELIBERATE EFFORTS SHOULD BE
UNDERWAY TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. ENSURE THAT YOUR EMERGENCY
SUPPLIES KIT IS STOCKED AND READY.

WHEN MAKING SAFETY AND PREPAREDNESS DECISIONS, DO NOT FOCUS ON THE
EXACT FORECAST TRACK AS THERE ARE INHERENT FORECAST UNCERTAINTIES
WHICH MUST BE TAKEN INTO ACCOUNT.

ALWAYS HEED THE ADVICE OF LOCAL OFFICIALS AND COMPLY WITH ANY ORDERS
THAT ARE ISSUED. DO NOT NEEDLESSLY JEOPARDIZE YOUR LIFE OR THE LIVES
OF OTHERS.

VISITORS TO THE AREA SHOULD BECOME FAMILIAR WITH NEARBY SURROUNDINGS.
IF YOU ARE A VISITOR, KNOW THE NAME OF THE COUNTY OR PARISH IN WHICH
YOU ARE LOCATED AND WHERE IT IS RELATIVE TO CURRENT WATCHES AND
WARNINGS. IF STAYING AT A HOTEL, ASK THE MANAGEMENT STAFF ABOUT THEIR
ONSITE DISASTER PLAN. LISTEN FOR EVACUATION ORDERS, ESPECIALLY
PERTAINING TO AREA VISITORS.

CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS FOR
OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO THE
FORECAST.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- FOR INFORMATION ON APPROPRIATE PREPARATIONS SEE READY.GOV
- FOR INFORMATION ON CREATING AN EMERGENCY PLAN SEE GETAGAMEPLAN.ORG
- FOR ADDITIONAL DISASTER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION SEE REDCROSS.ORG

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE FL AROUND 6 AM EDT, OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

$$
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