[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

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WTNT34 KNHC 290947
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE ADVISORY NUMBER   3...CORRECTED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092016
500 AM EDT MON AUG 29 2016

Corrected to add Cuba to the rainfall statement

...POORLY ORGANIZED DEPRESSION MOVING INTO THE EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN
GULF OF MEXICO...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...23.5N 83.9W
ABOUT 155 MI...245 KM WSW OF KEY WEST FLORIDA
ABOUT 95 MI...155 KM WNW OF HAVANA CUBA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 500 AM EDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Nine was
located near latitude 23.5 North, longitude 83.9 West. The
depression is moving toward the west near 9 mph (15 km/h).  A turn
toward the west-northwest is forecast today, followed by a
slow northwestward motion on Tuesday.  On the forecast track, the
center of the depression will be passing north of the north coast
of western Cuba today, and moving farther into the southeastern Gulf
of Mexico by tonight.

Data from a NOAA reconnaissance aircraft indicate that the maximum
sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.  Some
strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and the
depression could become a tropical storm later today or tonight.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL:  The depression is expected to produce total rain
accumulations of 4 to 8 inches over Cuba, with isolated amounts of
12 inches possible through Wednesday.  These rains could cause
flash floods and mudslides.  Total rain accumulations of 3 to 5
inches are possible over the southern Florida peninsula and the
Florida Keys through Wednesday.  Isolated maximum amounts of 7
inches could occur over coastal areas of southern Florida and the
Keys.  This rainfall may cause flooding and flash flooding.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM EDT.

$$
Forecaster Brown
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