[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

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WTNT31 KNHC 051743
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
HURRICANE JOAQUIN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  32A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL112015
200 PM AST MON OCT 05 2015

...JOAQUIN MOVING FARTHER AWAY FROM BERMUDA...
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING DISCONTINUED...


SUMMARY OF 200 PM AST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...35.2N 64.5W
ABOUT 195 MI...315 KM N OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 30 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...964 MB...28.47 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The Bermuda Weather Service has discontinued the Tropical Storm
Warning for Bermuda.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 200 PM AST (1800 UTC), the center of Hurricane Joaquin was
located near latitude 35.2 North, longitude 64.5 West. Joaquin is
moving toward the north-northeast near 13 mph (20 km/h), and a turn
toward the northeast is expected later today, followed by a turn
toward the east-northeast on Tuesday. On the forecast track, the
center of Joaquin will continue to move away from Bermuda.

Maximum sustained winds are near 85 mph (140 km/h) with higher
gusts.  Gradual weakening is forecast during the next 48 hours,
and Joaquin is expected to transition to a large extratropical low
pressure system on Wednesday.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 205 miles
(335 km).  A sustained wind speed of 37 mph (59 km/h) and a gust to
53 mph (85 km/h) were reported at the Bermuda International Airport
during the past hour.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 964 mb (28.47 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  Tropical-storm-force wind gusts could affect Bermuda for a
few more hours.

STORM SURGE:  Water levels near Bermuda should gradually subside
today.  Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and
potentially damaging waves.

SURF:  Swells generated by Joaquin will continue to affect portions
of the Bahamas during the next day or so.  Swells are affecting
much of the east coast of the United States and will spread
northward along the coast of Atlantic Canada during the next day or
two.  These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip
current conditions.  Even though Joaquin is passing well east of the
coast of the United States, a prolonged period of elevated water
levels and large waves will affect the mid-Atlantic region, causing
significant beach and dune erosion with moderate coastal flooding
likely. Please consult products from your local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Stewart
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