[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

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WTNT31 KNHC 050232
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BULLETIN
HURRICANE JOAQUIN ADVISORY NUMBER  30
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL112015
1100 PM AST SUN OCT 04 2015

...JOAQUIN CONTINUES TO PRODUCE TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ON
BERMUDA WHILE PASSING JUST NORTHWEST OF THE ISLAND...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...33.1N 65.5W
ABOUT 70 MI...110 KM NW OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 25 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...961 MB...28.38 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Bermuda

A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
somewhere within the warning area.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Hurricane Joaquin was
located near latitude 33.1 North, longitude 65.5 West.  Joaquin is
moving toward the north-northeast near 13 mph (20 km/h), and a turn
toward the northeast and east-northeast is expected over the next
48 hours.  On the forecast track, the center of Joaquin will begin
to move away from Bermuda on Monday.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 85 mph (140 km/h)
with higher gusts.  Gradual weakening is forecast during the
next 48 hours.

Hurricane-force-winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from
the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 185
miles (295 km).  A sustained wind speed of 46 mph (74 km/h) and a
gust to 64 mph (104 km/h) were reported at the Bermuda International
Airport during the past couple of hours.

An Air Force Hurricane Hunter aircraft reported a minimum central
pressure of 961 mb (28.38 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  Tropical storm conditions will continue to affect Bermuda
through tonight, with possible gusts to near hurricane force.

STORM SURGE:  A dangerous and life-threatening storm surge is
expected to produce coastal flooding in Bermuda.  Near the coast,
the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves.

RAINFALL:  Joaquin is expected to produce total rainfall
accumulations of 3 to 5 inches across Bermuda through tonight.

SURF:  Swells generated by Joaquin will continue to affect portions
of the Bahamas during the next few days.  Swells are affecting much
of the southeastern and mid-Atlantic coasts of the United States and
will spread northward along the east coast of the United States
through Monday.  These swells are likely to cause life-threatening
surf and rip current conditions.  Even though Joaquin is expected to
pass well east of the coast of the United States, a prolonged period
of elevated water levels and large waves will affect the
mid-Atlantic region, causing significant beach and dune erosion with
moderate coastal flooding likely. Please consult products from your
local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 200 AM AST.
Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Pasch
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