[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTPQ82 PGUM 140511
HLSPQ2

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TYPHOON DOLPHIN (07W) LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU
311 PM CHST THU MAY 14 2015

...TYPHOON DOLPHIN INCREASING IN FORWARD SPEED...

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES INFORMATION AND RECOMMENDED ACTIONS
FOR PEOPLE IN GUAM...ROTA...TINIAN...AND SAIPAN.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TYPHOON WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GUAM AND ROTA. TYPHOON
CONDITIONS...INCLUDING WINDS OF 74 MPH OR MORE...ARE EXPECTED WITHIN
24 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND TYPHOON WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR
TINIAN AND SAIPAN. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...INCLUDING WINDS OF
39 TO 73 MPH...ARE EXPECTED WITHIN 24 HOURS. TYPHOON CONDITIONS
ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN 24 HOURS.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 100 PM CHST...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON DOLPHIN (07W) WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 11.6 NORTH AND LONGITUDE 151.6 EAST. THIS IS ABOUT
465 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF SAIPAN...TINIAN AND ROTA...AND 480
MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM. DOLPHIN WAS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST
AT 15 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 105 MPH.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK TAKES TYPHOON DOLPHIN BETWEEN GUAM AND
ROTA LATE FRIDAY AFTERNOON OR EVENING. BUT THERE IS STILL TIME
FOR THE TRACK TO SHIFT...AND SMALL VARIATIONS IN THE DIRECTION OF
MOTION CAN RESULT IN LARGE VARIATIONS IN WHERE THE CENTER PASSES
THROUGH THE MARIANAS.

&&

GUZ003-004-PMZ153-154-141315-
/O.NEW.PGUM.TR.W.0002.150514T0511Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.CON.PGUM.TY.A.0002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
TINIAN-SAIPAN-TINIAN COASTAL WATERS-SAIPAN COASTAL WATERS-
311 PM CHST THU MAY 14 2015

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT...
...TYPHOON WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
NOW IS THE TIME TO PUT YOUR DISASTER PREPAREDNESS PLAN INTO ACTION.
MAKE SURE YOU HAVE ENOUGH FOOD AND WATER FOR A FEW DAYS...AS WELL
AS FUEL FOR VEHICLES AND GENERATORS. BRING LIGHT OUTSIDE OBJECTS
INDOORS. CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS
OUTLETS FOR OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION...AND LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE
CHANGES TO THE FORECAST. FOLLOW INSTRUCTIONS FROM YOUR LOCAL
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS. THE CURRENT FORECAST BRINGS THE
CENTER OF DOLPHIN BETWEEN GUAM AND ROTA...BUT A NORTHWARD SHIFT
IN THE TRACK WOULD PUSH THE HIGHEST WINDS NORTH AS WELL...POSSIBLY
OVER TINIAN OR SAIPAN. DON'T BE CAUGHT UNDER-PREPARED!

&&

...WINDS...
NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO TROPICAL
STORM FORCE AT 40 TO 50 MPH BY LATE MORNING AROUND 1000 AM...THEN
SHIFT TO EAST AND PEAK AT 50 TO 60 MPH DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON.
AFTER CLOSEST APPROACH AROUND 400 PM...WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO SHIFT
TO SOUTHEAST AND FALL BELOW TROPICAL STORM FORCE AT 25 TO 35 MPH
AROUND MIDNIGHT. WINDS COULD BE SIGNIFICANTLY HIGHER IF DOLPHIN
TRACKS FARTHER NORTH THAN FORECAST.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
SEAS WILL BUILD TO 12 TO 15 FEET ON FRIDAY AS DOLPHIN PASSES. THIS
WILL PRODUCE DANGEROUS SURF OF 13 TO 16 FEET ALONG NORTH AND EAST
FACING SHORES THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON BEFORE THE CENTER PASSES...
AND ALONG EAST AND SOUTH FACING SHORES IN THE LATE AFTERNOON AND
EVENING AFTER DOLPHIN PASSES. COASTAL INUNDATION OF 1 TO 2 FEET IS
LIKELY...ESPECIALLY NEAR HIGH TIDE LATE FRIDAY AFTERNOON.

...OTHER STORM EFFECTS...
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 8 TO 12 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH SATURDAY.

$$

GUZ001-002-PMZ151-152-141315-
/O.UPG.PGUM.TY.A.0002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.NEW.PGUM.TY.W.0001.150514T0511Z-000000T0000Z/
GUAM-ROTA-GUAM COASTAL WATERS-ROTA COASTAL WATERS-
311 PM CHST THU MAY 14 2015

...TYPHOON WARNING IN EFFECT...

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
NOW IS THE TIME TO PUT YOUR DISASTER PREPAREDNESS PLAN INTO ACTION.
MAKE SURE YOU HAVE ENOUGH FOOD AND WATER FOR A FEW DAYS...AS WELL
AS FUEL FOR VEHICLES AND GENERATORS. BRING LIGHT OUTSIDE OBJECTS
INDOORS. CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS
OUTLETS FOR OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION...AND LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE
CHANGES TO THE FORECAST. FOLLOW INSTRUCTIONS FROM YOUR LOCAL
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS. THE CURRENT FORECAST BRINGS THE
CENTER OF DOLPHIN BETWEEN GUAM AND ROTA. A SLIGHT SHIFT IN THE
TRACK TO THE NORTH OR SOUTH COULD HAVE A GREAT EFFECT ON WHERE THE
HIGHEST WINDS OCCUR. DON'T BE CAUGHT UNDER-PREPARED!

...WINDS...
NORTH WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE AT
40 TO 50 MPH FRIDAY MORNING AROUND 800 AM...THEN INCREASE TO
TYPHOON FORCE AT 70 TO 80 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON AROUND 200 PM.
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO PEAK AT ABOUT 80 TO 100 MPH NEAR THE CENTER
AS IT PASSES AT AROUND 500 PM...WITH SOMEWHAT LESS WIND FARTHER
FROM THE CENTER. WINDS SHOULD SHIFT TO SOUTH AND FALL BELOW
TYPHOON FORCE FRIDAY EVENING AROUND 800 PM...THEN FALL BELOW
TROPICAL STORM FORCE AT 25 TO 35 MPH AROUND 200 AM SATURDAY
MORNING.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
SEAS WILL BUILD TO 20 FEET OR HIGHER ON FRIDAY AS DOLPHIN PASSES.
THIS WILL PRODUCE DANGEROUS SURF OF 16 TO 22 FEET ALONG NORTH AND
EAST FACING SHORES THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON BEFORE THE CENTER
PASSES...AND ALONG EAST AND SOUTH FACING SHORES IN THE LATE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING AFTER DOLPHIN PASSES. COASTAL INUNDATION OF
2 TO 3 FEET IS LIKELY...ESPECIALLY NEAR HIGH TIDE LATE FRIDAY
AFTERNOON.

...OTHER STORM EFFECTS...
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 8 TO 12 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH SATURDAY.

$$

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT 900 PM...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT.

$$

MIDDLEBROOKE
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