[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

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WTNT31 KWNH 110312
TCPAT1

TROPICAL DEPRESSION ANA ADVISORY NUMBER 13
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD AL012015
1100 PM EST SUN MAY 10 2015

...ANA MOVING FURTHER INLAND ACROSS NORTH CAROLINA...

SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...35.1N 78.2W
ABOUT 20 MILES...30 KM...SW OF SEYMOUR-JOHNSON AFB NORTH CAROLINA.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...50 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 025 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1010 MB...29.83 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
FLOOD WATCHES AND COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE
CENTRAL PORTION OF COASTAL NORTH CAROLINA

FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE WATCHES
AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM EST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF ANA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 35.1 NORTH...AND LONGITUDE 78.2 WEST. TROPICAL DEPRESSION
ANA CONTINUES TO WEAKEN SLOWLY AS THE CENTER OF CIRCULATION MOVES
FURTHER INLAND ACROSS NORTH CAROLINA.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE
HAS CONTINUED TO INCREASE SINCE LANDFALL.  NEVERTHELESS...RADAR
IMAGERIES CONTINUE TO SHOW DECENTLY HEALTHY RAINBAND STRUCTURES ON
THE EASTERN HALF OF THE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION.  THE STRONGEST
REPORTED SURFACE WINDS OF 25 TO 30 MPH APPEARED TO BE LOCATED NEAR
AND JUST OFF THE COAST TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE CIRCULATION CENTER.
 AFTER MOVING IN A GENERALLY NORTHERLY DIRECTION EARLIER
TODAY...ANA HAS BEGUN TO TURN MORE TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST IN
THE PAST FEW HOURS.  NUMERICAL MODELS ARE IN CLOSE AGREEMENT IN
MOVING ANA NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS NORTH CAROLINA TONIGHT INTO
MONDAY...REACHING SOUTHEASTERN VIRGINIA BY MONDAY AFTERNOON.
BEYOND THAT POINT...A COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THE LARGE
LATE-SEASON WINTER STORM THAT HAS BROUGHT HEAVY SNOW IN THE
NORTHERN PLAINS IS FORECAST TO APPROACH ANA AND ACCELERATE IT MORE
TOWARD THE NORTHEAST LATER ON MONDAY.  THE CENTER OF ANA IS
EXPECTED TO SKIRT THE COAST OF NORTHERN MID-ATLANTIC MONDAY NIGHT
BEFORE BEING ABSORBED BY THE APPROACHING COLD FRONT AS ANA NEARS
THE SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND COAST TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH...50 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1010 MB...29.83 INCHES.


HAZARDS
-------
RAINFALL...ANA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2
TO 4 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 6 INCHES OVER
EASTERN PORTIONS OF NORTH CAROLINA AND NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA
THROUGH ONDAY.


RAINFALL TOTALS
---------------
SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES THROUGH 8 PM EST

...NORTH CAROLINA...
SOUTHPORT/BRUNSWICK                  4.26
SUPPLY-NATURE CONSER                 4.06
WILMINGTON/NEW HANOVER CO. ARPT      3.16
NEW RIVER MCAS                       2.40
JACKSONVILLE/ELLIS AIRPORT           1.54
SEYMOUR-JOHNSON AFB                  1.45

...SOUTH CAROLINA...
NORTH MYRTLE BEACH                   5.88
N MYRTLE BEACH                       4.33


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT ADVISORY ISSUED AT  500 AM EST. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS
STORM.

FORECASTER KONG

FORECAST POSITIONS
------------------
INITIAL 11/0300Z 35.1N 78.2W
12HR VT 11/1200Z 36.0N 77.6W...POST-TROPICAL
24HR VT 12/0000Z 37.4N 75.3W...POST-TROPICAL
36HR VT 12/1200Z 40.4N 71.2W...POST-TROPICAL
48HR VT 13/0000Z...ABSORDED
$$
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