[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Sat May 9 21:44:04 CDT 2015


WTNT31 KNHC 100243
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ANA ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL012015
1100 PM EDT SAT MAY 09 2015

...CENTER OF ANA EXPECTED TO REACH THE COAST BY EARLY SUNDAY
MORNING...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...33.2N 78.3W
ABOUT 50 MI...80 KM SE OF MYRTLE BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* South Santee River South Carolina to Cape Lookout North Carolina

Interests elsewhere in eastern North Carolina and Virginia should
monitor the progress of Ana.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 1100 PM EDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Ana was
located near latitude 33.2 North, longitude 78.3 West. Ana is moving
toward the north-northwest near 5 mph (7 km/h).  A turn toward the
north and northeast with a gradual increase in forward speed is
expected over the next 48 hours.  On the forecast track, the center
of Ana is expected to reach the coast of northeastern South Carolina
or southern North Carolina late tonight or early Sunday morning.

Maximum sustained winds are near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts.
Gradual weakening is forecast to begin overnight as Ana moves over
cooler waters close to the coast.  A more rapid rate of weakening
should begin after the center moves inland.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 125 miles (205 km)
from the center.  NOAA buoy 41013, located about 35 miles (55 km)
south-southeast of Cape Fear North Carolina, has recently reported
sustained winds of 47 mph (76 km/h) with a gust to 60 mph (97 km/h).

The latest minimum central pressure reported by an Air Force
Reserve reconnaissance aircraft was 1000 mb (29.53 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are expected within portions of the
warning area overnight and on Sunday.

STORM SURGE:  The combination of storm surge and the tide will cause
normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters.
The water could reach 1 to 2 ft above ground at times of high tide
in coastal areas from Cape Hatteras, North Carolina southward
through South Carolina.  For information specific to your area,
please see products issued by your local National Weather Service
forecast office.

RAINFALL:  Ana is expected to produce rainfall accumulations of 2 to
4 inches, with isolated maximum amounts of 6 inches over eastern
portions of North Carolina and South Carolina through Monday.

SURF:  Swells generated by Ana are affecting portions of the
southeastern U.S. coast.  These swells will likely cause life-
threatening surf and rip currents.  Please see statements issued by
your local National Weather Service forecast office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 200 AM EDT.
Next complete advisory at 500 AM EDT.

$$
Forecaster Brown/Kimberlain
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