[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTPQ82 PGUM 081024
HLSPQ2

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU
900 PM CHST FRI MAY 8 2015

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W NOW SOUTH OF KOSRAE...

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES INFORMATION AND RECOMMENDED ACTIONS
FOR PEOPLE ON KOSRAE...AND ON PINGELAP...MOKIL...SAPWUAFIK
(NGATIK)...PAKIN AND POHNPEI IN POHNPEI STATE.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR KOSRAE WAS UPGRADED TO A WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...INCLUDING DAMAGING WINDS OF 34 TO 73
MPH...ARE EXPECTED WITHIN 12 TO 24 HOURS.

THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR PINGELAP AND MOKIL IN POHNPEI STATE WAS
UPGRADED TO A WARNING. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...INCLUDING
DAMAGING WINDS OF 34 TO 73 MPH...ARE EXPECTED WITHIN 24 TO 36 HOURS.

A TYPHOON WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR POHNPEI AND PAKIN. TROPICAL
STORM CONDITIONS...INCLUDING DAMAGING WINDS OF 34 TO 73 MPH...ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN 48 HOURS...AND TYPHOON FORCE WINDS OF 74 MPH OR MORE
ARE ALSO POSSIBLE.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SAPWUAFIK (NGATIK) IN
POHNPEI STATE. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...INCLUDING DAMAGING WINDS
OF 34 TO 73 MPH...ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN 24 TO 48 HOURS.

SUMMARY OF 700 PM CHST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...4.0N 162.2E

ABOUT 105 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF KOSRAE
ABOUT 190 MILES SOUTHEAST OF PINGELAP
ABOUT 255 MILES SOUTHEAST OF MOKIL
ABOUT 340 MILES SOUTHEAST OF POHNPEI
ABOUT 355 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF SAPWUAFIK (NGATIK)
ABOUT 360 MILES SOUTHEAST OF PAKIN
ABOUT 750 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF WENO ISLAND CHUUK
ABOUT 1355 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...EAST-NORTHEAST...070 DEGREES AT 6 MPH

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...

TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W CONTINUES TO TRACK EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AND IS
EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY SLOWLY AND BECOME A TROPICAL STORM SOMETIME
TONIGHT OR EARLY SATURDAY. TD 07W IS FORECAST TO TURN IN A MORE
NORTHERLY TRACK OVERNIGHT AND THEN MOVE ON IN A NORTHWESTERLY
DIRECTION. THERE IS STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY ON THE TIMING OF THIS
TURN TO THE NORTH AND SO ISLANDS IN THE PATH OF TD07W NEED TO KEEP
ALERT TO ANY CHANGES TO THIS ONGOING SITUATION.

...KOSRAE...

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
YOUR STORM PREPAREDNESS PLAN SHOULD BE UNDERWAY. MAKE SURE YOU HAVE
ENOUGH FOOD AND WATER FOR A FEW DAYS...AND PLENTY OF GASOLINE FOR
VEHICLES AND GENERATORS. STAY IN A STURDY SHELTER AWAY FROM
SHORELINES UNTIL WINDS SUBSIDE LATE SATURDAY. DO NOT ATTEMPT INTER-
ISLAND TRAVEL UNTIL WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE AFTER PASSAGE OVER THE
NEXT DAY OR TWO. FOLLOW INSTRUCTIONS FROM YOUR LOCAL EMERGENCY
MANAGEMENT AGENCY.

...WIND INFORMATION...
AS CURRENTLY FORECAST...TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W WILL LIKELY BRING
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS TO SOUTHERN AND WESTERN SHORES OF KOSRAE
EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. SOUTHEAST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 10 TO 20 MPH
TONIGHT WILL INCREASE TO 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH EARLY
SATURDAY MORNING. WINDS WILL LIKELY PEAK LATE SATURDAY MORNING TO
EARLY AFTERNOON...POSSIBLY AS HIGH AS 40 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH.
WINDS WILL LIKELY DIMINISH LATER IN THE AFTERNOON. WIND SPEED...
TIMING AND DIRECTION MAY VARY DEPENDING ON FORWARD MOTION OF THE
STORM...AND COULD BEGIN IN AS LITTLE AS 12 HOURS.

...STORM SURGE AND SURF INFORMATION...
COMBINED SEAS WILL BUILD TO BETWEEN 8 AND 12 FEET TONIGHT...WHICH
WOULD PRODUCE HAZARDOUS SURF OF 10 TO 14 FEET. INUNDATION OF UP TO 1
FOOT IS POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY AT TIMES OF HIGH TIDE.

...OTHER STORM EFFECTS...
RAINFALL OF UP TO 6 INCHES IS POSSIBLE THROUGH SATURDAY.

&&

...PINGELAP AND MOKIL...

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
YOUR STORM PREPAREDNESS PLAN SHOULD BE UNDERWAY. MAKE SURE YOU HAVE
ENOUGH FOOD AND WATER FOR A FEW DAYS. STAY IN A STURDY SHELTER AWAY
FROM SHORELINES UNTIL WINDS SUBSIDE...POSSIBLY SUNDAY AFTERNOON. DO
NOT ATTEMPT INTER-ISLAND TRAVEL UNTIL WINDS AND SEAS HAVE SUBSIDED
AFTER 07W PASSES. FOLLOW INSTRUCTIONS FROM YOUR LOCAL EMERGENCY
MANAGEMENT AGENCY.

...WIND INFORMATION...

AS TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W IS CURRENTLY FORECAST...TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING AND COULD
LAST INTO SUNDAY MORNING. WINDS WILL LIKELY INCREASE TO BETWEEN 25
TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH SATURDAY EVENING. WINDS ARE POSSIBLE
TO PEAK OVER NIGHT SATURDAY TO SUNDAY MORNING AS HIGH AS 50 MPH WITH
GUSTS TO 60 MPH. WIND DIRECTION WILL BE HIGHLY VARIABLE AS THE
CENTER OF TD 07W IS EXPECTED TO PASS OVER BOTH PINGELAP AND MOKIL.
WIND SPEED...TIMING AND DIRECTION MAY VARY DEPENDING ON FORWARD
MOTION OF THE STORM...AND COULD BEGIN IN AS LITTLE AS 24 HOURS.

...STORM SURGE AND SURF INFORMATION...
COMBINED SEAS OF 12 FEET OR MORE ARE POSSIBLE BY SATURDAY EVENING.
SEAS MAY PEAK AT 15 FEET OR MORE SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY...
PRODUCING DANGEROUS SURF UP TO 18 FEET.

...OTHER STORM EFFECTS...
RAINFALL OF 5 TO 8 INCHES IS POSSIBLE THROUGH SUNDAY. LOCAL FLOODING
IS POSSIBLE.

&&

...POHNPEI AND PAKIN...

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REVIEW YOUR STORM PREPAREDNESS PLAN. MAKE SURE YOU HAVE ENOUGH FOOD
AND WATER FOR A FEW DAYS...AND PLENTY OF GASOLINE FOR VEHICLES AND
GENERATORS. DO NOT ATTEMPT INTER-ISLAND TRAVEL UNTIL WINDS AND SEAS
HAVE SUBSIDED AFTER 07W PASSES. FOLLOW INSTRUCTIONS FROM YOUR LOCAL
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT AGENCY. BE ALERT TO ANY CHANGES IN FORWARD SPEED
AS THE EFFECTS OF TD07W MAY ARRIVE EARLIER THAN EXPECTED IF THE FORWARD
SPEED OF 07W MOVES FASTER THAN EXPECTED.

...WIND INFORMATION...
AS TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W IS CURRENTLY FORECAST...TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE BY SUNDAY MORNING AND COULD LAST INTO EARLY
MONDAY MORNING. TYPHOON FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE LATE SUNDAY MORNING
AND SUNDAY AFTERNOON IF THE TRACK DROPS A LITTLE FURTHER SOUTH.

...STORM SURGE AND SURF INFORMATION...
COMBINED SEAS OF 12 FEET OR MORE ARE POSSIBLE BY SATURDAY NIGHT.
SEAS MAY PEAK AT 15 FEET OR MORE SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...
PRODUCING DANGEROUS SURF UP TO 18 FEET.

...OTHER STORM EFFECTS...
RAINFALL OF 6 TO 10 INCHES IS POSSIBLE TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY. LOCAL
FLOODING AND MUDSLIDES ARE POSSIBLE.

...SAPWUAFIK...

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REVIEW YOUR STORM PREPAREDNESS PLAN. THE CURRENT FORECAST HAS TD07W
PASSING WELL TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE ISLAND...HOWEVER ANY SUDDEN
CHANGE IN THE PATH SOUTH OF THE CURRENT TRACK COULD PUT SAPWUAFIK
INTO THE EFFECTS OF A TROPICAL STORM. MAKE SURE YOU HAVE ENOUGH FOOD
AND WATER FOR A FEW DAYS. DO NOT ATTEMPT INTER-ISLAND TRAVEL UNTIL
WINDS AND SEAS HAVE SUBSIDED AFTER 07W PASSES. FOLLOW INSTRUCTIONS
FROM YOUR LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT AGENCY.

...WIND INFORMATION...
A SOUTHERLY DRIFT IN THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK OF TROPICAL
DEPRESSION 07W COULD RESULT IN TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS SUNDAY.

...STORM SURGE AND SURF INFORMATION...
COMBINED SEAS MAY BUILD TO BETWEEN 8 AND 10 FEET SATURDAY NIGHT...
WHICH WOULD PRODUCE HAZARDOUS SURF OF 10 TO 13 FEET...MAINLY ON
WEST AND NORTH FACING REEFS AND BEACHES. INUNDATION OF UP TO 1 FOOT
IS POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY AT TIMES OF HIGH TIDE.

...OTHER STORM EFFECTS...
RAINFALL OF UP TO 5 INCHES IS POSSIBLE THROUGH SUNDAY.

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT 300 AM THIS EVENING.

$$

KLEESCHULTE/EDSON
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