[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory
EMWIN Server
emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Fri Jun 19 22:04:31 CDT 2015
WTNT32 KWNH 200304
TCPAT2
TROPICAL DEPRESSION BILL ADVISORY NUMBER 17
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD AL022015
1000 PM CDT FRI JUN 19 2015
...TENACIOUS TROPICAL DEPRESSION BILL MOVING ACROSS EXTREME
SOUTHERN ILLINOIS...
SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...37.3N 88.2W
ABOUT 45 MILES...70 KM...SW OF HENDERSON CITY KENTUCKY.
ABOUT 35 MILES...60 KM...ENE OF PADUCAH KENTUCKY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...20 MPH...30 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 75 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...29 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR PARTS OF THE
LOWER OHIO RIVER VALLEY. FLASH FLOOD AND FLOOD WATCHES EXTEND
FROM SOUTHERN MISSOURI EASTWARD ALONG THE OHIO VALLEY...ACROSS THE
CENTRAL APPALACHIANS AND INTO THE NORTHERN MID-ATLANTIC.
FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE WATCHES
AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF BILL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 37.3 NORTH...AND LONGITUDE 88.2 WEST. AFTER SPENDING MORE
THAN THREE DAYS OVER LAND...TROPICAL DEPRESSION BILL CONTINUES TO
MAINTAIN A WELL-DEFINED CYCLONIC CIRCULATION AS IT TRACKS WELL
INLAND OVER SATURATED GROUNDS RESULTING FROM ANTECEDENT HEAVY
RAINS. SATELLITE IMAGES CONTINUE TO SHOW DECENT CONVECTION AROUND
THE CENTER OF BILL ALONG WITH A PROMINENT UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW
PATTERN TO THE NORTH. RADAR IMAGES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS SHOW
THAT RAINBANDS REMAIN ACTIVE TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER
ALTHOUGH THEY HAVE BECOME MORE SUPPRESSED TO THE NORTHWEST IN THE
PAST FEW HOURS. THE CENTRAL PRESSURE HAS CONTINUED TO DECREASE
SINCE EARLY THIS MORNING...AND PEAK WIND GUSTS OF ABOUT 30 MPH
WERE REPORTED TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER THIS EVENING. BILL
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD UP THE OHIO
VALLEY TONIGHT AND TOMORROW AND INTO THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS
BEFORE LOSING TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS. THEREAFTER...BILL COULD
BRIEFLY RESTRENGTHEN WHEN IT MOVES DOWN THE LEE SIDE OF THE
APPALACHIANS ON SUNDAY AS IT GRADUALLY BECOMES EXTRATROPICAL OVER
THE NORTHERN MID-ATLANTIC AND SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND COAST.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 20 MPH...30 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES.
HAZARDS
-------
RAINFALL...BILL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL 2 TO 4 INCHES OF
RAIN UP ALONG THE OHIO VALLEY INTO WEST VIRGINIA WHILE 1 TO 3
INCHES ARE EXPECTED FARTHER EAST INTO THE NORTHERN MID-ATLANTIC
REGION. THESE RAINS WILL CONTINUE TO ENHANCE THE THREAT FOR FLASH
FLOODING...PARTICULARLY IN REGIONS WHICH ARE ALREADY SATURATED
FROM PREVIOUS HEAVY RAINFALL.
RAINFALL TOTALS
---------------
SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES THROUGH 7 PM CDT
...ARKANSAS...
ROGERS 2.1 SE 4.42
BENTONVILLE 4.27
FAYETTEVILLE/SPRINGDALE 4.03
HARRISON/BOONE CO. ARPT 3.85
DELIGHT 2.2 WNW 3.74
SPRINGDALE 6.4 WSW 3.31
SILOAM SPRINGS/SMITH FIELD 3.24
TEXARKANA RGNL ARPT 2.67
EUREKA SPRINGS 4.0 WNW 2.62
SPRINGFIELD/CAPITAL ARPT 2.49
...ILLINOIS...
SCOTT AFB/BELLEVILLE 5.01
SULLIVAN 3 S 4.89
ALLENVILLE 1 S 4.50
ELBURN 4.45
FLORA 4.41
CARBONDALE/MURPHYSBORO 4.40
LAWRENCEVILLE-VINCENNES INTL AP 4.30
MATTOON/CHARLESTON 4.23
SOUTH CAROL STREAM 4.11
BATAVIA 3.87
ROCHELLE 3.43
MANHATTAN 5 SSE 3.26
OAK PARK 1 SE 3.07
MATTOON 3.03
DIXON 2 SW 2.64
NEWTON 2.58
TUSCOLA 2.29
NORTH AURORA 2 E 2.23
STE. MARIE 2.11
GENEVA 2.10
...INDIANA...
GRISSOM AFB/PERU 6.72
FORT WAYNE/BAER FIELD 4.53
BLOOMINGTON/MONROE CO. ARPT 3.97
MOROCCO 3.70
MUNCIE/JOHNSON FIELD 3.16
NEW ROSS 2 E 2.87
ANDERSON 5 NW 2.30
INDIANAPOLIS INTL ARPT 1.92
EVANSVILLE RGNL ARPT 1.81
CHESTERTON 1.70
...KANSAS...
COFFEYVILLE MUNI ARPT 3.64
OLATHE/JOHNSON 1.79
COLLYER 2.1 SE 1.45
...KENTUCKY...
HENDERSON CITY 2.08
...LOUISIANA...
SHREVEPORT RGNL ARPT 4.79
BOSSIER CITY 6.7 NNW 3.84
SHREVEPORT 5.3 SSE 2.42
PLAIN DEALING 3.0 ESE 2.13
RUSTON 1.6 NW 1.85
...MISSOURI...
SPRINGFIELD 7 S 5.50
MARSHFIELD 3.6 S 5.48
NIXA 2.7 SSW 4.72
NIANGUA 4.37
FORNEY AAF/FORT LEONARDWOOD 4.24
FARMINGTON ARPT 3.66
ROLLA/VICHY AIRPORT 3.47
SOUTH SPRINGFIELD 3.10
COLUMBIA RGNL ARPT 2.94
LITTON AGRI-SCI CNTR 2.86
JOPLIN RGNL ARPT 2.60
WHITESIDE 2 E 2.50
MIDDLETOWN 4 SW 2.34
JEFFERSON CITY ARPT 2.27
KAISER/LAKE OZARK 2.08
...OHIO...
LIMA/ALLEN CO. APRT 5.11
AKRON-CANTON REGIONAL ARPT 3.51
WILMINGTON/CINCINNATI WFO 3.46
DAYTON/JAMES M COX AIRPORT 3.01
CINCINNATI (ASOS) 2.89
...OKLAHOMA...
HEALDTON 3 E 12.53
NEWPORT 11.52
BURNEYVILLE 10.09
SULPHUR 2.5 WSW 8.63
RINGLING 8.27
PAULS VALLEY MUNI APRT 7.35
SULPHUR 7.09
MACOMB 5.2 ESE 5.82
MARIETTA 2.8 SW 5.57
ADA 0.3 NNW 5.45
WEWOKA 7.4 NNW 5.30
NORMAN 3.4 SE 3.61
OKLAHOMA CITY 11.5 S 2.64
MUSKOGEE/DAVIS FIELD AIRPORT 2.55
BARTLESVILLE MUNI ARPT 1.51
...TEXAS...
MONTAGUE 12.50
GANADO 1.5 W 11.77
KIRBYVILLE 1.5 SE 9.51
SEALY 0.3 WNW 9.17
ALICE INTL ARPT 9.03
EL CAMPO 0.5 ENE 8.57
VICTORIA 9 ESE 7.73
ROCKPORT 1.3 WSW 7.51
MANOR 4.7 WSW 7.30
WF SAN JACINTO 7.06
LUFKIN/ANGELINA CO ARPT 6.98
NAVASOTA 8 SE 6.73
FLOUR BLUFF 7 SW 6.59
ARANSAS PASS 1 SSE 6.46
SAN FELIPE 1.0 WNW 6.15
CORPUS CHRISTI 6.14
AUSTIN 4.2 ESE 5.80
SAN ANTONIO INTL ARPT 2.91
HOUSTON/INTERCONTINENTAL 2.51
FORT WORTH NAS 2.34
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT ADVISORY ISSUED AT 400 AM CDT. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS
STORM.
FORECASTER KONG
FORECAST POSITIONS
------------------
INITIAL 20/0300Z 37.3N 88.2W
12HR VT 20/1200Z 38.1N 86.7W...TROPICAL DEPRESSION
24HR VT 21/0000Z 39.2N 81.8W...POST-TROPICAL/REMNANT LOW
36HR VT 21/1200Z 39.3N 76.6W...POST-TROPICAL/REMNANT LOW
48HR VT 22/0000Z 41.2N 70.3W...EXTRATROPICAL
72HR VT 23/0000Z 45.0N 56.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
$$
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