[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT32 KWNH 190307
TCPAT2

TROPICAL DEPRESSION BILL ADVISORY NUMBER 13
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD AL022015
1000 PM CDT THU JUN 18 2015

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION BILL CONTINUES TO TRACK WELL INLAND INTO
NORTHWESTERN ARKANSAS...

SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...35.9N 93.8W
ABOUT 20 MILES...30 KM...E OF FAYETTEVILLE ARKANSAS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...20 MPH...30 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 75 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...16 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FROM EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN
KANSAS INTO NORTHWESTERN ARKANSAS AND SOUTHWESTERN MISSOURI.
FLOOD WATCHES AND WARNINGS AS WELL AS FLASH FLOOD WATCHES REMAIN
IN EFFECT FOR PARTS OF EASTERN AND SOUTHERN TEXAS...AND FROM
WESTERN LOUISIANA NORTHWARD INTO THE MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
VALLEY.

FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE WATCHES
AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF BILL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 35.9 NORTH...AND LONGITUDE 93.8 WEST. SATELLITE AND
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS CONTINUE TO SHOW A WELL-DEFINED CYCLONIC
CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL DEPRESSION BILL AS IT TRACKS
WELL INLAND INTO NORTHWESTERN ARKANSAS THIS EVENING.  IN
ADDITION...RAINBANDS REMAIN ACTIVE AROUND THE CENTER OF BILL
ALTHOUGH THEY HAVE BECOME SLIGHTLY LESS WELL-FORMED THIS EVENING.
THE CENTRAL PRESSURE OF BILL HAS RISEN SINCE YESTERDAY AND WIND
GUSTS HAVE MODERATED TO 30 MPH OR LESS.  SOME SCATTERED BANDS OF
THUNDERSTORMS EXTEND FARTHER SOUTHWESTWARD INTO THE TEXAS GULF
COAST.  BILL IS EXPECTED TO TRACK EAST-NORTHEASTWARD TOWARDS THE
OHIO VALLEY OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AND GRADUALLY LOSE
TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS AS IT BEGINS TO INTERACT WITH SLIGHTLY
COOLER AND DRIER AIR FROM THE NORTH.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 20 MPH...30 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.


HAZARDS
-------
RAINFALL...BILL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL OF 2 TO
5 INCHES ACROSS NORTHERN ARKANSAS...INTO SOUTHERN MISSOURI.
LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS UP TO 8 INCHES MAY ALSO BE POSSIBLE.  2 TO
4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE FARTHER NORTHEAST INTO THE OHIO RIVER
VALLEY.  FARTHER SOUTH...ADDITIONAL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE
POSSIBLE INTO PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN TEXAS.  THESE RAINS MAY PRODUCE
LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS.


RAINFALL TOTALS
---------------
SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES THROUGH 7 PM CDT

...ARKANSAS...
HARRISON/BOONE CO. ARPT              2.94
BENTONVILLE                          2.61
SILOAM SPRINGS/SMITH FIELD           2.50
SPRINGFIELD/CAPITAL ARPT             2.49
MOUNTAIN HOME/BAXTER CO. ARPT        1.93
LONOKE 1.2 SSW                       1.74
EVERTON 2.1 N                        1.67
ST. JOE 2.7 WNW                      1.64
ATKINS 1.0 NE                        1.51

...ILLINOIS...
SCOTT AFB/BELLEVILLE                 1.80
JACKSONVILLE                         1.74
CARBONDALE/MURPHYSBORO               1.66

...INDIANA...
INDIANAPOLIS INTL ARPT               1.87
EVANSVILLE RGNL ARPT                 1.81

...KANSAS...
COFFEYVILLE MUNI ARPT                3.64
COLLYER 2.1 SE                       1.45

...LOUISIANA...
SHREVEPORT RGNL ARPT                 4.79
BOSSIER CITY 6.7 NNW                 3.84
SHREVEPORT 5.3 SSE                   2.42
PLAIN DEALING 3.0 ESE                2.13
RUSTON 1.6 NW                        1.85

...MISSOURI...
COLUMBIA RGNL ARPT                   2.94
LITTON AGRI-SCI CNTR                 2.86
JOPLIN RGNL ARPT                     2.60

...OKLAHOMA...
HEALDTON 3 E                        12.53
NEWPORT                             11.52
BURNEYVILLE                         10.09
SULPHUR 2.5 WSW                      8.63
RINGLING                             8.27
PAULS VALLEY MUNI ARPT               7.35
SULPHUR                              7.09
MACOMB 5.2 ESE                       5.82
MARIETTA 2.8 SW                      5.57
ADA 0.3 NNW                          5.45
WEWOKA 7.4 NNW                       5.30
NORMAN 3.4 SE                        3.61
OKLAHOMA CITY 11.5 S                 2.64
MUSKOGEE/DAVIS FIELD AIRPORT         2.55
BARTLESVILLE MUNI ARPT               1.51

...TEXAS...
MONTAGUE                            12.50
GANADO 1.5 W                        11.77
KIRBYVILLE 1.5 SE                    9.51
SEALY 0.3 WNW                        9.17
ALICE INTL ARPT                      9.03
EL CAMPO 0.5 ENE                     8.57
VICTORIA 9 ESE                       7.73
ROCKPORT 1.3 WSW                     7.51
MANOR 4.7 WSW                        7.30
WF SAN JACINTO                       7.06
MANOR 5 WSW                          7.01
LUFKIN/ANGELINA CO. ARPT             6.98
NAVASOTA 8 SE                        6.73
FLOUR BLUFF 7 SW                     6.59
ARANSAS PASS 1 SSE                   6.46
SAN FELIPE 1.0 WNW                   6.15
CORPUS CHRISTI                       6.14
HEMPSTEAD 3.4 NNW                    6.12
AUSTIN 4.2 ESE                       5.80
ROCKPORT                             4.36
SAN ANTONIO INTL ARPT                2.91
HOUSTON/INTERCONTINENTAL             2.51
FORT WORTH NAS                       2.34


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT ADVISORY ISSUED AT  400 AM CDT. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS
STORM.

FORECASTER KONG

FORECAST POSITIONS
------------------
INITIAL 19/0300Z 35.9N 93.8W
12HR VT 19/1200Z 36.0N 91.8W...TROPICAL DEPRESSION
24HR VT 20/0000Z 37.3N 88.8W...TROPICAL DEPRESSION
36HR VT 20/1200Z 38.1N 86.4W...TROPICAL DEPRESSION
48HR VT 21/0000Z 39.0N 82.5W...POST-TROPICAL/REMNANT LOW
72HR VT 22/0000Z 39.5N 70.5W...POST-TROPICAL
$$
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