[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

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WTNT32 KWNH 182109
TCPAT2

TROPICAL DEPRESSION BILL ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD AL022015
400 PM CDT THU JUN 18 2015

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION BILL CONTINUES TO TRACK WELL-INLAND ACROSS
EASTERN OKLAHOMA...

SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...35.6N 94.6W
ABOUT 20 MILES...30 KM...WSW OF FORT SMITH ARKANSAS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...20 MPH...30 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 075 DEGREES AT 11 MPH...18 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR A GOOD PORTION OF EASTERN
OKLAHOMA INTO NORTHWESTERN ARKANSAS AND SOUTHWESTERN MISSOURI.
FLOOD WATCHES AND WARNINGS AND FLASH FLOOD WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT
FOR THE EASTERN HALF OF TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA AND INTO THE MIDDLE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY.

FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE WATCHES
AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF BILL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 35.6 NORTH...AND LONGITUDE 94.6 WEST. TROPICAL DEPRESSION
BILL HAS TURNED MORE TOWARDS THE EAST-NORTHEAST ACROSS EASTERN
OKLAHOMA THIS AFTERNOON WHILE CONTINUING TO MAINTAIN A
WELL-DEFINED CYCLONIC CIRCULATION WITH ACTIVE RAINBANDS MOST
ACTIVE TO THE NORTH AND WEST OF THE CENTER.  HOWEVER...THE CENTRAL
PRESSURE HAS GRADUALLY RISEN SINCE YESTERDAY AND WIND GUSTS HAVE
MODERATED TO 30 MPH OR LESS.  SOME SCATTERED BANDS OF
THUNDERSTORMS EXTEND SOUTHWESTWARD INTO THE TEXAS GULF COAST.
BILL IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY LOSE TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS
TONIGHT AS IT TRACKS GENERALLY EAST-NORTHEAST OVER NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS...REACHING THE OHIO VALLEY BY SATURDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 20 MPH...30 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.


HAZARDS
-------
RAINFALL...BILL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL OF 2 TO
5 INCHES ACROSS NORTHERN ARKANSAS...INTO SOUTHERN MISSOURI.
LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS UP TO 8 INCHES MAY ALSO BE POSSIBLE.  2 TO
4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE FARTHER NORTHEAST INTO THE OHIO RIVER
VALLEY.  FARTHER SOUTH...ADDITIONAL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE
POSSIBLE INTO PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN TEXAS.  THESE RAINS MAY PRODUCE
LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS.


RAINFALL TOTALS
---------------
SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES THROUGH 1 PM CDT

...ARKANSAS...
HARRISON/BOONE CO. ARPT              2.74
MOUNTAIN HOME/BAXTER CO. ARPT        1.88
LONOKE 1.2 SSW                       1.74
EVERTON 2.1 N                        1.67
ST. JOE 2.7 WNW                      1.64
ATKINS 1.0 NE                        1.51
BENTONVILLE                          1.43

...ILLINOIS...
SCOTT AFB/BELLEVILLE                 1.80
JACKSONVILLE                         1.74
CARBONDALE/MURPHYSBORO               1.66

...INDIANA...
EVANSVILLE RGNL ARPT                 1.45

...KANSAS...
COFFEYVILLE MUNI ARPT                3.43
COLLYER 2.1 SE                       1.45

...LOUISIANA...
SHREVEPORT RGNL ARPT                 4.79
BOSSIER CITY 6.7 NNW                 3.84
SHREVEPORT 5.3 SSE                   2.42
PLAIN DEALING 3.0 ESE                2.13
RUSTON 1.6 NW                        1.85

...OKLAHOMA...
HEALDTON 3 E                        12.53
NEWPORT                             11.52
BURNEYVILLE                         10.09
SULPHUR 2.5 WSW                      8.63
RINGLING                             8.27
PAULS VALLEY MUNI ARPT               7.35
SULPHUR                              7.09
MACOMB 5.2 ESE                       5.82
MARIETTA 2.8 SW                      5.57
ADA 0.3 NNW                          5.45
WEWOKA 7.4 NNW                       5.30
NORMAN 3.4 SE                        3.61
OKLAHOMA CITY 11.5 S                 2.64
MUSKOGEE/DAVIS FIELD AIRPORT         2.55
BARTLESVILLE MUNI ARPT               1.51

...TEXAS...
MONTAGUE                            12.50
GANADO 1.5 W                        11.77
KIRBYVILLE 1.5 SE                    9.51
SEALY 0.3 WNW                        9.17
ALICE INTL ARPT                      9.03
EL CAMPO 0.5 ENE                     8.57
VICTORIA 9 ESE                       7.73
ROCKPORT 1.3 WSW                     7.51
MANOR 4.7 WSW                        7.30
WF SAN JACINTO                       7.06
MANOR 5 WSW                          7.01
LUFKIN/ANGELINA CO. ARPT             6.95
NAVASOTA 8 SE                        6.73
FLOUR BLUFF 7 SW                     6.59
ARANSAS PASS 1 SSE                   6.46
SAN FELIPE 1.0 WNW                   6.15
CORPUS CHRISTI                       6.14
HEMPSTEAD 3.4 NNW                    6.12
AUSTIN 4.2 ESE                       5.80
ROCKPORT                             4.36
SAN ANTONIO INTL ARPT                2.91
HOUSTON/INTERCONTINENTAL             2.51
FORT WORTH NAS                       2.34


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT ADVISORY ISSUED AT 1000 PM CDT. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS
STORM.

FORECASTER KONG

FORECAST POSITIONS
------------------
INITIAL 18/2100Z 35.6N 94.6W
12HR VT 19/0600Z 35.8N 94.0W...POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
24HR VT 19/1800Z 36.5N 92.2W...POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
36HR VT 20/0600Z 37.3N 89.3W...POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
48HR VT 20/1800Z 38.5N 85.9W...POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
72HR VT 21/1800Z 39.0N 74.7W...POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
$$
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