[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTPQ83 PGUM 080403
HLSPQ3

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TYPHOON NANGKA (11W) LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU
203 PM CHST WED JUL 8 2015

...NANGKA MAINTAINING INTENSITY EAST OF SAIPAN...

.NEW INFORMATION...
A TYPHOON WATCH HAS NOW BEEN ISSUED FOR TINIAN AND SAIPAN.

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES INFORMATION AND RECOMMENDED ACTIONS
FOR PEOPLE IN SAIPAN AND TINIAN AS WELL AS AGRIHAN...PAGAN...AND
ALAMAGAN ISLANDS IN THE NORTHERN MARIANAS.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TYPHOON WATCH IS NOW EFFECT FOR SAIPAN AND TINIAN AND ADJACENT
COASTAL WATERS. A TYPHOON WATCH MEANS THAT TYPHOON CONDITIONS
ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

PEOPLE IN SAIPAN AND TINIAN SHOULD REVIEW THEIR PREPAREDNESS PLAN
AND BE READY TO IMPLEMENT IT SHOULD A WARNING BE ISSUED.

A TYPHOON WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR AGRIHAN...PAGAN...AND
ALAMAGAN ISLANDS. TYPHOON CONDITIONS...INCLUDING WINDS OF 74
MPH OR MORE...ARE EXPECTED WITHIN 24 HOURS.

PLEASE CHECK THE LATEST PUBLIC AND MARINE FORECASTS FOR DETAILED
INFORMATION ABOUT ADDITIONAL HAZARDS.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 100 PM CHST...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON NANGKA (11W) WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 15.6N...LONGITUDE 150.2E.

ABOUT 320 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF ALAMAGAN
ABOUT 340 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF PAGAN
ABOUT 370 MILES SOUTHEAST OF AGRIHAN
ABOUT 300 MILES EAST OF SAIPAN
ABOUT 310 MILES EAST OF TINIAN
ABOUT 350 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF ROTA
ABOUT 395 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF GUAM

STORM MOTION WAS WEST AT 17 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF
140 MPH.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK TAKES TYPHOON NANGKA NEAR AGRIHAN...
PAGAN AND ALAMAGAN OF THE NORTHERN MARIANA ISLANDS THURSDAY MORNING
AND AFTERNOON. NANGKA REMAINS A STRONG CATEGORY 4 TYPHOON AND IS
EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY SLOWLY...POSSIBLY BECOMING A SUPER TYPHOON
TONIGHT. THE CURRENT FORECAST IS FOR DAMAGING WINDS OF 39 MPH OR
MORE TO BE NORTH OF THE SAIPAN COASTAL WATERS. HOWEVER...ANY
DEVIATION OF THE TRACK FURTHER TO THE SOUTH...OR ANY UNEXPECTED
EXPANSION OF THE TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ON THE TYPHOON'S
SOUTHERN PERIPHERY COULD PLACE THESE WINDS INTO THE SAIPAN COASTAL
WATERS.

...AGRIHAN...PAGAN AND ALAMAGAN...

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PUT YOUR DISASTER PREPAREDNESS PLAN INTO ACTION. MAKE SURE YOU
HAVE ENOUGH FOOD AND WATER FOR A FEW DAYS. PREPARE YOUR PROPERTY
FOR TROPICAL STORM OR TYPHOON CONDITIONS...POSSIBLE THURSDAY. THE
CURRENT FORECAST BRINGS THE CENTER OF NANGKA NEAR PAGAN AND
ALAMAGAN THURSDAY AFTERNOON...BUT UNCERTAINTY REMAINS IN THE
FORECAST TRACK AND INTENSITY.

FOR MARINERS...SAFELY SECURE YOUR CRAFT AND MAKE PLANS TO LEAVE
IT FOR ADEQUATE LAND BASED SHELTER. SMALL CRAFT SHOULD RETURN TO
PORT. DO NOT ATTEMPT INTER-ISLAND TRAVEL UNTIL AFTER WINDS AND
SEAS HAVE SUBSIDED.

CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS
FOR OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. BECAUSE SMALL ADJUSTMENTS IN
FORECAST TRACK ARE EXPECTED...LISTEN FOR UPDATED FORECAST
INFORMATION.

...WIND INFORMATION...
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE LIKELY BY THURSDAY MORNING WITH
TYPHOON FORCE WINDS POSSIBLE BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON. DAMAGING WINDS
COULD LAST THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY AFTERNOON.

...STORM SURGE AND SURF INFORMATION...
SEAS ARE CURRENTLY 7 TO 10 FEET ACROSS THE AREA AND HAZARDOUS FOR
SMALL CRAFT. THE SEAS WILL GRADUALLY BUILD TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY
AND COULD RANGE FROM AT LEAST 15 FEET TO MORE THAN 30 FEET BY
THURSDAY.

COASTAL INUNDATION OF 2 TO 4 FEET OR MORE CAN BE EXPECTED AS TYPHOON
NANGKA APPROACHES AND PASSES THROUGH THE FAR NORTHERN MARIANAS.

...OTHER STORM EFFECTS...
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 6 TO 10 INCHES ARE LIKELY WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH
FRIDAY...WITH AMOUNTS IN EXCESS OF 12 INCHES POSSIBLE.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AROUND 900 PM CHST THIS EVENING...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

GUZ003-004-081215-
/O.NEW.PGUM.TY.A.0004.150708T0403Z-000000T0000Z/
TINIAN-SAIPAN-
203 PM CHST WED JUL 8 2015

...TYPHOON WATCH IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BE PREPARED TO SEEK STURDY SHELTER IF A TYPHOON WARNING IS ISSUED.
THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK TAKES THE DAMAGING WIND RADIUS NORTH OF
SAIPAN THURSDAY. HOWEVER...A SMALL SOUTHWARD SHIFT OR EXPANSION OF
NANGKA'S WIND FIELD COULD BRING DAMAGING WINDS TO SAIPAN AND
TINIAN. SEAS AND WINDS WILL INCREASE WELL IN ADVANCE OF NANGKA
AND INTER-ISLAND TRAVEL WILL BECOME DANGEROUS BY TONIGHT. FOLLOW
INSTRUCTIONS FROM YOUR LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS.

&&

...WINDS AND SEAS...
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE EARLY THURSDAY MORNING...AND
TYPHOON FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE IF THE FORECAST TRACK OF NANGKA
SHIFTS SOUTHWARD. WINDS WILL SUBSIDE THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND
EVENING.

SEAS OF 10 TO 12 FEET WILL BUILD FURTHER AS NANGKA NEARS AND
COULD REACH UP TO 15 FEET THURSDAY AFTERNOON AS NANGKA PASSES.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
HAZARDOUS SURF OF 10 TO 12 FEET TODAY MAY BUILD TO DANGEROUS
LEVELS OF 15 TO 20 FEET THURSDAY ESPECIALLY IF NANGKA TAKES A MORE
SOUTHERLY TRACK. DANGEROUS SURF WILL BEGIN TO SUBSIDE THURSDAY
EVENING AS NANGKA MOVES AWAY.

COASTAL INUNDATION OF 1 TO 2 FEET IS EXPECTED ALONG NORTH AND EAST
FACING SHORES AS NANGKA APPROACHES.

...INLAND FLOODING...
RAINFALL OF 3 TO 5 INCHES IS POSSIBLE THROUGH FRIDAY.

$$

PMZ153-154-081215-
/O.NEW.PGUM.TY.A.0004.150708T0403Z-000000T0000Z/
TINIAN COASTAL WATERS-SAIPAN COASTAL WATERS-
203 PM CHST WED JUL 8 2015

...TYPHOON WATCH IN EFFECT...

..PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MARINERS ARE URGED TO MAKE ALL NECESSARY PREPARATIONS TO RETURN
TO PORT...SEEK SAFE HARBOR...AND SECURE THEIR CRAFT. NOW IS THE
TIME TO INITIATE PREPARATIONS ACCORDING TO YOUR EMERGENCY PLAN
FOR TROPICAL SYSTEMS. MONITOR WEATHER BROADCASTS FOR CHANGES TO
THE LATEST FORECAST AND LISTEN FOR FURTHER STATEMENTS FROM LOCAL
OFFICIALS.

&&

...WINDS AND SEAS...
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE EARLY THURSDAY MORNING...AND
TYPHOON FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE IF THE FORECAST TRACK OF NANGKA
SHIFTS SOUTHWARD. WINDS WILL SUBSIDE THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND
EVENING.

SEAS OF 10 TO 12 FEET WILL BUILD FURTHER AS NANGKA NEARS AND
COULD REACH UP TO 15 FEET THURSDAY AFTERNOON AS NANGKA PASSES.

$$

WILLIAMS/M. AYDLETT
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