[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTCA82 TJSJ 271552
HLSSJU
PRZ001>013-VIZ001-002-280000-

TROPICAL STORM ERIKA LOCAL STATEMENT ADVISORY NUMBER 11
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR  AL052015
1152 AM AST THU AUG 27 2015

THIS PRODUCT COVERS PUERTO RICO AND THE US VIRGIN ISLANDS

...ERIKA MOVING TOWARDS THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO...

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - NONE

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FOR PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S.
      VIRGIN ISLANDS.

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - ABOUT 230 MILES SOUTHEAST OF SAN JUAN PR OR ABOUT 170 MILES
      SOUTHEAST OF SAINT THOMAS VI OR ABOUT 130 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
      SAINT CROIX VI
    - 16.4N 63.3W
    - STORM INTENSITY 50 MPH
    - MOVEMENT WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 16 MPH

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

TROPICAL STORM ERIKA BEGAN TRACKING SOMEWHAT SOUTH OF THE PREVIOUS
FORECAST WHEN IT CROSSED THE WINDWARD ISLANDS AND IS NOW FORECAST TO
TRACK DIRECTLY OVER CENTRAL PUERTO RICO OVERNIGHT TONIGHT. NOW MOST
AREAS OF PUERTO RICO WILL EXPERIENCE SUSTAINED STORM FORCE WINDS
GREATER THAN 40 MPH...WITH GUSTS UP TO 60 MPH POSSIBLE. THE TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS ARE NOW EXPECTED TO BEGIN AROUND MID AFTERNOON FOR
ALL OF THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND AS EARLY AS SUNSET IN PUERTO RICO.
RAINFALL AND FLOODING IS A MAJOR CONCERN. RAINFALL ESTIMATES FOR THE
LOCAL ISLANDS HAVE BEEN RAISED TO 4 TO 8 INCHES WITH UP TO 12 INCHES
POSSIBLE.

ALSO THIS NEW TRACK WILL MEAN THAT STORM SURGE WILL BE A FEW FEET
HIGHER ON THE SOUTH COASTS OF ALL THE ISLANDS.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* FLOODING RAIN:
PROTECT AGAINST DANGEROUS RAINFALL FLOODING HAVING POSSIBLE
SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS ACROSS U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO.
POTENTIAL IMPACTS INCLUDE:
    - MODERATE RAINFALL FLOODING MAY PROMPT SEVERAL EVACUATIONS AND
      RESCUES.
    - RIVERS AND TRIBUTARIES MAY QUICKLY BECOME SWOLLEN WITH SWIFTER
      CURRENTS AND OVERSPILL THEIR BANKS IN A FEW PLACES, ESPECIALLY
      IN USUALLY VULNERABLE SPOTS. SMALL STREAMS, CREEKS, CANALS,
      ARROYOS, AND DITCHES OVERFLOW.
    - FLOOD WATERS CAN ENTER SOME STRUCTURES OR WEAKEN FOUNDATIONS.
      SEVERAL PLACES MAY EXPERIENCE EXPANDED AREAS OF RAPID
      INUNDATION AT UNDERPASSES, LOW-LYING SPOTS, AND POOR DRAINAGE
      AREAS. SOME STREETS AND PARKING LOTS TAKE ON MOVING WATER AS
      STORM DRAINS AND RETENTION PONDS OVERFLOW. DRIVING CONDITIONS
      BECOME HAZARDOUS. SOME ROAD AND BRIDGE CLOSURES.

* WIND:
PROTECT AGAINST DANGEROUS WIND HAVING POSSIBLE SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS
ACROSS U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO. POTENTIAL IMPACTS IN THIS
AREA INCLUDE:
    - SOME DAMAGE TO ROOFING AND SIDING MATERIALS, ALONG WITH DAMAGE
      TO PORCHES, AWNINGS, CARPORTS, AND SHEDS. UNSECURED LIGHTWEIGHT
      OBJECTS BECOME DANGEROUS PROJECTILES.
    - SOME ROADS IMPASSABLE FROM LARGE DEBRIS, AND MORE WITHIN URBAN
      OR HEAVILY WOODED PLACES. A FEW BRIDGES, CAUSEWAYS, AND ACCESS
      ROUTES IMPASSABLE.
    - SCATTERED POWER AND COMMUNICATIONS OUTAGES, BUT MORE PREVALENT
      IN AREAS WITH ABOVE GROUND LINES.

* SURGE:
LOW IMPACTS ARE ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME ACROSS PUERTO RICO AND THE US
VIRGIN ISLANDS.

* TORNADOES:
LITTLE IMPACTS ARE ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME ACROSS PUERTO RICO AND THE US
VIRGIN ISLANDS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* EVACUATIONS:
FOR THOSE UNDER EVACUATION ORDERS, LEAVE AS SOON AS PRACTICAL WITH A
DESTINATION IN MIND. GAS UP YOUR VEHICLE WELL AHEAD OF TIME. BE SURE
THAT YOU TAKE ALL ESSENTIAL MATERIALS FROM YOUR EMERGENCY SUPPLIES KIT.
LET OTHERS KNOW WHERE YOU ARE GOING AND WHEN YOU INTEND TO ARRIVE.

IF YOU ARE EXCEPTIONALLY VULNERABLE TO WIND OR WATER HAZARDS FROM TROPICAL
SYSTEMS, CONSIDER VOLUNTARY EVACUATION, ESPECIALLY IF BEING OFFICIALLY
RECOMMENDED. RELOCATE TO A PREDETERMINED SHELTER OR SAFE DESTINATION.

IF EVACUATING AWAY FROM THE AREA OR RELOCATING TO A NEARBY SHELTER, LEAVE
EARLY BEFORE WEATHER CONDITIONS BECOME HAZARDOUS.


* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
NOW IS THE TIME TO BRING TO COMPLETION ALL PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT
LIFE AND PROPERTY IN ACCORDANCE WITH YOUR EMERGENCY PLAN.

OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE WRAPPED UP AS SOON AS POSSIBLE BEFORE
WEATHER CONDITIONS COMPLETELY DETERIORATE. ANY REMAINING EVACUATIONS
AND RELOCATIONS SHOULD BE EXPEDITED BEFORE THE ONSET OF TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WIND.

FAILURE TO ADEQUATELY SHELTER MAY RESULT IN SERIOUS INJURY OR LOSS OF
LIFE. ALWAYS HEED THE ADVICE OF LOCAL OFFICIALS AND COMPLY WITH ANY
ORDERS THAT ARE ISSUED. REMEMBER, DURING THE STORM 9 1 1 EMERGENCY
SERVICES MAY NOT BE ABLE TO IMMEDIATELY RESPOND IF CONDITIONS ARE
UNSAFE. THIS SHOULD BE A BIG FACTOR IN YOUR DECISION MAKING.

CHECK-IN WITH YOUR EMERGENCY POINTS OF CONTACT AMONG FAMILY, FRIENDS,
AND WORKMATES. INFORM THEM OF YOUR STATUS AND WELL-BEING. LET THEM
KNOW HOW YOU INTEND TO RIDE OUT THE STORM AND WHEN YOU PLAN TO
CHECK-IN AGAIN.

KEEP CELL PHONES WELL CHARGED AND HANDY. ALSO, CELL PHONE CHARGERS
FOR AUTOMOBILES CAN BE HELPFUL AFTER THE STORM. LOCATE YOUR CHARGERS
AND KEEP THEM WITH YOUR CELL PHONE.

IN EMERGENCIES IT IS BEST TO REMAIN CALM. STAY INFORMED AND FOCUSED
ON THE SITUATION AT HAND. EXERCISE PATIENCE WITH THOSE YOU ENCOUNTER.
BE A GOOD SAMARITAN AND HELPFUL TO OTHERS.

IF YOU ARE A VISITOR AND STILL IN THE AREA, LISTEN FOR THE NAME OF
THE CITY OR TOWN IN WHICH YOU ARE STAYING WITHIN LOCAL NEWS UPDATES.
BE SURE YOU KNOW THE NAME OF THE COUNTY OR PARISH IN WHICH IT
RESIDES. PAY ATTENTION FOR INSTRUCTIONS FROM LOCAL AUTHORITIES.

CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS FOR
OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. BE READY TO ADAPT TO POSSIBLE CHANGES TO
THE FORECAST.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- FOR INFORMATION ON APPROPRIATE PREPARATIONS SEE READY.GOV
- FOR INFORMATION ON CREATING AN EMERGENCY PLAN SEE GETAGAMEPLAN.ORG
- FOR ADDITIONAL DISASTER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION SEE REDCROSS.ORG

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN SAN JUAN PR AROUND 230 PM AST, OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

$$
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