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WTNT31 KNHC 042055
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BULLETIN
HURRICANE ARTHUR ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL012014
500 PM EDT FRI JUL 04 2014

...TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXPECTED OVER CAPE COD AND
NANTUCKET TONIGHT...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...39.4N 71.1W
ABOUT 170 MI...270 KM SSW OF CHATHAM MASSACHUSETTS
ABOUT 400 MI...640 KM SW OF YARMOUTH NOVA SCOTIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 45 DEGREES AT 26 MPH...43 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...979 MB...28.91 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NON-TROPICAL HIGH WIND WARNINGS...FOR WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH
...HAVE BEEN ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN MAINE.  FOR DETAILS
PLEASE SEE PRODUCTS ISSUED BY LOCAL NWS WEATHER FORECAST OFFICES.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NANTUCKET
* CAPE COD FROM PROVINCETOWN TO WOODS HOLE
* NOVA SCOTIA INCLUDING CAPE BRETON ISLAND
* PRINCE EDWARD ISLAND
* NEW BRUNSWICK FROM THE U.S./CANADA BORDER TO GRAND-ANSE

IN ADDITION...HIGH WIND WARNINGS...FOR WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH...
ARE IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN MAINE.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED
STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE
MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE
THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL
METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ARTHUR WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 39.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 71.1 WEST. ARTHUR IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 26 MPH...43 KM/H...AND THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. ON THE
FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF ARTHUR WILL PASS SOUTHEAST OF NEW
ENGLAND TONIGHT...AND BE NEAR OR OVER WESTERN NOVA SCOTIA EARLY ON
SATURDAY...AND OVER THE GULF OF ST. LAWRENCE SATURDAY NIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 80 MPH...130
KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND ARTHUR IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE SATURDAY MORNING.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 160
MILES...260 KM.

THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE
RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS 979 MB...28.91 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE WARNING
AREA IN NEW ENGLAND THIS EVENING.  TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED TO REACH THE WARNING AREA IN CANADA TONIGHT AND SPREAD
NORTHWARD ON SATURDAY.  IN ADDITION...WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH ARE
EXPECTED OVER PORTIONS OF EASTERN MAINE ON SATURDAY...BEHIND A COLD
FRONT OVERTAKING THE CIRCULATION OF ARTHUR.

STORM SURGE...COASTAL FLOODING IS POSSIBLE ALONG CAPE COD TONIGHT.
FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE SEE PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE.

RAINFALL...RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE EXPECTED
OVER EXTREME EASTERN RHODE ISLAND...EASTERN MASSACHUSETTS...COASTAL
MAINE...NOVA SCOTIA...NEWFOUNDLAND...AND NEW BRUNSWICK...WITH
ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 6 INCHES POSSIBLE OVER DOWNEAST MAINE
AND CANADA.

SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY ARTHUR ARE AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE
COAST OF NORTH CAROLINA...THE MID-ATLANTIC...AND NORTHEAST UNITED
STATES. SWELLS WILL BEGIN AFFECTING PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN CANADA
TONIGHT. THESE SWELLS ARE EXPECTED TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF
AND RIP CURRENTS. FOR MORE INFORMATION...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS
ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 PM EDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN


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