[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT31 KNHC 041441
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
HURRICANE ARTHUR ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL012014
1100 AM EDT FRI JUL 04 2014

...CENTER OF ARTHUR EXPECTED TO PASS SOUTHEAST OF CAPE COD EARLY
TONIGHT...
...ALL WARNINGS IN NORTH CAROLINA DISCONTINUED...

SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...37.7N 73.4W
ABOUT 100 MI...165 KM ESE OF OCEAN CITY MARYLAND
ABOUT 330 MI...530 KM SW OF CHATHAM MASSACHUSETTS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 40 DEGREES AT 24 MPH...39 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...976 MB...28.82 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

ENVIRONMENT CANADA HAS REPLACED ALL REMAINING TROPICAL STORM
WATCHES WITH A TROPICAL STORM WARNING.

ALL HURRICANE WARNINGS HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED.  THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FOR WESTERN ALBEMARLE SOUND HAS ALSO BEEN DISCONTINUED.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER TO CAPE CHARLES LIGHT
VIRGINIA...INCLUDING THE MOUTH OF THE CHESAPEAKE BAY
* NANTUCKET
* CAPE COD FROM PROVINCETOWN TO WOODS HOLE
* NOVA SCOTIA INCLUDING CAPE BRETON ISLAND
* PRINCE EDWARD ISLAND
* NEW BRUNSWICK FROM THE U. S./CANADA BORDER TO GRAND-ANSE

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN COASTAL PORTIONS OF NEW ENGLAND AND
NEWFOUNDLAND SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ARTHUR.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED
STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE
MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE
THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL
METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ARTHUR WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 37.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 73.4 WEST. ARTHUR IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 24 MPH...39 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH SOME INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED DURING
THE NEXT DAY OR SO. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF ARTHUR
WILL PASS WELL OFFSHORE OF THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST OF THE UNITED
STATES THIS AFTERNOON...PASS SOUTHEAST OF NEW ENGLAND TONIGHT...AND
BE NEAR OR OVER WESTERN NOVA SCOTIA EARLY SATURDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 90 MPH...150 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND ARTHUR
IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE ON SATURDAY MORNING.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 40 MILES...65 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 125
MILES...205 KM.

THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED FROM DATA FROM AN
AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS 976 MB...28.82
INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE IN PORTIONS OF THE
WARNING AREA IN VIRGINIA THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON. TROPICAL
STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE WARNING AREA IN NEW
ENGLAND THIS EVENING.  TROPICAL STORM STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED TO REACH THE WARNING AREA IN CANADA TONIGHT AND SPREAD
NORTHWARD ON SATURDAY.

STORM SURGE...COASTAL FLOODING IS POSSIBLE ALONG CAPE COD TONIGHT.
ELEVATED WATER LEVELS IN PORTIONS OF NORTH CAROLINA AND VIRGINIA
WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE THIS AFTERNOON.  FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC
TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE SEE PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE.

RAINFALL...RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE EXPECTED FROM
EXTREME EASTERN RHODE ISLAND THROUGH EASTERN MASSACHUSETTS AND INTO
COASTAL MAINE...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 6 INCHES POSSIBLE
OVER DOWNEAST MAINE.

SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY ARTHUR ARE AFFECTING AREAS ALONG THE
COAST OF NORTH CAROLINA...THE MID-ATLANTIC...AND NORTHEAST COASTS
OF THE UNITED STATES. SWELLS WILL BEGIN AFFECTING PORTIONS OF
SOUTHEASTERN CANADA TONIGHT. THESE SWELL ARE EXPECTED TO CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENTS. FOR MORE INFORMATION...
PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 PM EDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN



This weather bulletin was brought to you by:
www.nashvilleweather.net