[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

[EMWIN Server]

ABNT20 KNHC 170510
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT THU OCT 17 2013

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A WELL-DEFINED SURFACE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED ABOUT 75 MILES
NORTH OF BERMUDA IS PRODUCING A LARGE AREA OF DISORGANIZED SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. THE LOW IS EXPECTED TO MOVE NORTHWARD AND THEN
NORTHEASTWARD NEAR OR ALONG A FRONTAL BOUNDARY OVER THE CENTRAL
ATLANTIC DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AND ENVIRONMENTAL
CONDITIONS ARE NOT CURRENTLY FAVORABLE FOR SUBTROPICAL OR TROPICAL
CYCLONE FORMATION. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF
BECOMING A SUBTROPICAL OR TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS...AND A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A SUBTROPICAL
OR TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.

&&

FIVE-DAY FORMATION PROBABILITIES ARE EXPERIMENTAL IN 2013. COMMENTS
ON THE EXPERIMENTAL FORECASTS CAN BE PROVIDED AT...

HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/SURVEY/NWS-SURVEY.PHP?CODE=ETWO

$$
FORECASTER STEWART


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