[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

[EMWIN Server]

ABNT20 KNHC 110536
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT FRI OCT 11 2013

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES WEST-
SOUTHWEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS. THE ASSOCIATED SHOWER AND
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS CHANGED LITTLE IN ORGANIZATION DURING THE
PAST FEW HOURS...AND UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE BECOMING LESS CONDUCIVE
FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION. HOWEVER...SOME DEVELOPMENT OF THIS
SYSTEM IS STILL POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO...BEFORE UPPER-
LEVEL WINDS BECOME EVEN LESS CONDUCIVE THIS WEEKEND. THIS SYSTEM
HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...40 PERCENT OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS... AND A MEDIUM CHANCE...40 PERCENT...OF
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS WHILE IT MOVES
WESTWARD TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT AROUND 10 MPH.

&&

FIVE-DAY FORMATION PROBABILITIES ARE EXPERIMENTAL IN 2013. COMMENTS
ON THE EXPERIMENTAL FORECASTS CAN BE PROVIDED AT...

HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/SURVEY/NWS-SURVEY.PHP?CODE=ETWO

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN


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