[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS84 KLIX 042218
HLSLIX

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL STORM KAREN LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
518 PM CDT FRI OCT 4 2013

...KAREN DISORGANIZED...

.NEW INFORMATION...
HURRICANE WATCHES DROPPED AND REPLACED WITH TROPICAL STORM
WATCHES.

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT
LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTH
MISSISSIPPI.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
ASSUMPTION...UPPER LAFOURCHE...UPPER TERREBONNE...LOWER
TERREBONNE...LOWER LAFOURCHE...LOWER JEFFERSON...LOWER
PLAQUEMINES AND LOWER ST. BERNARD.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR
PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND MISSISSIPPI COASTAL WATERS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
ST. TAMMANY...ASCENSION...LIVINGSTON...ST. JAMES...ST. JOHN THE
BAPTIST...ST. CHARLES...UPPER JEFFERSON...ORLEANS...UPPER
PLAQUEMINES...UPPER ST. BERNARD...SOUTHERN TANGIPAHOA...HANCOCK...
HARRISON AND JACKSON.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR
PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND MISSISSIPPI COASTAL WATERS.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 4 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KAREN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 25.9N...LONGITUDE 90.3W. THIS WAS ABOUT 280 MILES SOUTH
OF NEW ORLEANS LA...OR ABOUT 230 MILES SOUTH OF GRAND ISLE LA.
STORM MOTION WAS NNW OR 335 DEGREES AT 7 MPH. STORM INTENSITY WAS
50 MPH.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
WHEN MAKING DECISIONS...DO NOT FOCUS ON THE EXACT FORECAST TRACK.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR THOSE UNDER A WARNING...NOW IS THE TIME TO RUSH TO COMPLETION
PREPARATIONS FOR THE PROTECTION OF LIFE AND PROPERTY. EVACUATE IF
DIRECTED TO DO SO BY LOCAL OFFICIALS...OR IF YOUR HOME IS
VULNERABLE TO HIGH WINDS OR FLOODING.

FOR INTERESTS AT PORTS...DOCKS...AND MARINAS...URGENTLY COMPLETE
PRESCRIBED PREPARATIONS ACCORDING TO YOUR EMERGENCY OPERATIONS
PLAN FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES. IF YOU LIVE ON A BOAT...MAKE FINAL
PREPARATIONS FOR SECURING YOUR CRAFT BEFORE LEAVING IT. BE SURE
TO ACCOUNT FOR THE POSSIBLE CLOSURE OF BRIDGES AND CAUSEWAYS.

REGARDING ANY COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WARNING...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD
REMAIN IN PORT AND WELL SECURED.

FOR THOSE UNDER A WATCH...CONTINUE WITH YOUR PREPARATIONS AND
LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

REGARDING ANY COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WATCH...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD
RETURN TO PORT OR SEEK SAFE HARBOR. DETERMINE THE BEST STRATEGY
FOR SECURING YOUR CRAFT.

CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS
FOR OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO
THE FORECAST.

FOR ADDITIONAL PRECAUTIONARY AND PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION...
PLEASE REFER TO THE DETAILED RECOMMENDATIONS RELATIVE TO YOUR
LOCATION AS FURTHER DESCRIBED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE AND LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN NEW ORLEANS AS CONDITIONS WARRANT.

LAZ068>070-050630-
/O.CON.KLIX.TR.W.1012.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
LOWER JEFFERSON-LOWER PLAQUEMINES-LOWER ST. BERNARD-
518 PM CDT FRI OCT 4 2013

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FINAL PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE
COMPLETED BEFORE CONDITIONS DETERIORATE. THE ONSET OF GUSTY WINDS
AND HEAVY RAINS CAN CAUSE OUTSIDE ACTIVITIES TO BECOME DANGEROUS.
SECURE LOOSE OUTDOOR OBJECTS WHICH CAN BE BLOWN AROUND. IF YOU
LIVE IN A MOBILE HOME...LEAVE IT FOR MORE SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER.

&&

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
AS TROPICAL STORM KAREN APPROACHES THE COAST...THERE IS AN
INCREASING CHANCE FOR COMBINED STORM SURGE AND ASTRONOMICAL TIDE
WATERS UP TO 6 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL WITHIN AREAS CLOSER TO
THE COAST...RESULTING IN WORST CASE FLOOD INUNDATION OF 3 TO 5
FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE SURGE ZONE MAINLY
EAST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER.

THE LOCATIONS MOST LIKELY TO REALIZE THE GREATEST FLOODING
INCLUDE EAST FACING SHORELINES OUTSIDE OF HURRICANE PROTECTION
LEVEES. THE MOST LIKELY PERIOD OF IMPACT WILL BEGIN TONIGHT AND
INTO SUNDAY MORNING.

FOR 3 TO 5 FEET OF INUNDATION...STORM SURGE FLOODING CAN BE
EXPECTED OUTSIDE HURRICANE PROTECTION LEVEES. FLOODING OF NON
ELEVATED STRUCTURES OR THOSE BUILT ON SLABS IS POSSIBLE BUT THE
MAIN CONCERN WILL BE FLOODING ROADS ALONG THE
COAST...BAYOUS...BAYS AND LOW LYING AREAS.

...WINDS...
AS TROPICAL STORM KAREN APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATE SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
MAXIMUM WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 40 TO 50 MPH RANGE WITH
GUSTS TO 60 MPH.

MINOR TO MODERATE DAMAGE IS POSSIBLE TO MANY MOBILE HOMES...
ESPECIALLY THOSE THAT HAVE CANOPIES...AWNINGS...OR CARPORTS.
POORLY CONSTRUCTED HOMES MAY SUSTAIN MINOR WALL DAMAGE AND PARTIAL
ROOF REMOVAL. OTHER HOMES MAY HAVE MINOR ROOF AND SIDING DAMAGE.
SOME LOOSE OUTDOOR ITEMS WILL BE TOSSED AROUND AND MAY CAUSE
ADDITIONAL DAMAGE. A FEW POWER LINES WILL BE KNOCKED DOWN
RESULTING IN SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES. SOME LARGE BRANCHES OF
HEALTHY TREES WILL BE SNAPPED. MOST NEWLY PLANTED TREES AND SHRUBS
WILL BE DAMAGED OR UPROOTED.

...INLAND FLOODING...
THERE IS A LOW THREAT OF INLAND FLOODING FROM HEAVY RAINFALL.


$$

LAZ056-059-065>067-050630-
/O.CON.KLIX.TR.W.1012.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
ASSUMPTION-UPPER LAFOURCHE-UPPER TERREBONNE-LOWER TERREBONNE-
LOWER LAFOURCHE-
518 PM CDT FRI OCT 4 2013

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FINAL PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE
COMPLETED BEFORE CONDITIONS DETERIORATE. THE ONSET OF GUSTY WINDS
AND HEAVY RAINS CAN CAUSE OUTSIDE ACTIVITIES TO BECOME DANGEROUS.
SECURE LOOSE OUTDOOR OBJECTS WHICH CAN BE BLOWN AROUND. IF YOU
LIVE IN A MOBILE HOME...LEAVE IT FOR MORE SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER.

&&

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
AS TROPICAL STORM KAREN APPROACHES THE COAST...THERE IS AN
INCREASING CHANCE FOR COMBINED STORM SURGE AND ASTRONOMICAL TIDE
WATERS UP TO 4 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL WITHIN AREAS CLOSER TO
THE COAST...RESULTING IN WORST CASE FLOOD INUNDATION OF 1 TO
3 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE SURGE ZONE.

FOR 1 TO 3 FEET OF INUNDATION...STORM SURGE FLOODING CAN BE
EXPECTED OUTSIDE HURRICANE PROTECTION LEVEES. MAIN CONCERN WILL
BE FLOODING ROADS ALONG THE COAST...BAYOUS...BAYS...INLETS...AND
LOW LYING AREAS.

...WINDS...
AS TROPICAL STORM KAREN APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATE SATURDAY MORNING. MAXIMUM
WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 30 TO 40 MPH RANGE WITH GUSTS TO
55 MPH.

...INLAND FLOODING...
THERE IS A LOW THREAT OF INLAND FLOODING FROM HEAVY RAINFALL.

$$

LAZ040-049-050-057-058-060>064-072-050630-
/O.CON.KLIX.TR.A.1012.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
ST. TAMMANY-ASCENSION-LIVINGSTON-ST. JAMES-ST. JOHN THE BAPTIST-
ST. CHARLES-UPPER JEFFERSON-ORLEANS-UPPER PLAQUEMINES-
UPPER ST. BERNARD-SOUTHERN TANGIPAHOA-
518 PM CDT FRI OCT 4 2013

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE MADE AS SOON AS POSSIBLE...BEFORE
CONDITIONS DETERIORATE. KEEP INFORMED WHILE LISTENING FOR POSSIBLE
WARNINGS. SECURE LOOSE OUTDOOR OBJECTS WHICH CAN BE BLOWN AROUND.
STRONGLY CONSIDER EVACUATING IF YOU LIVE IN A MOBILE HOME...AND DO
SO IF ORDERED BY LOCAL OFFICIALS.

&&

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
AS TROPICAL STORM KAREN APPROACHES THE COAST...THERE IS AN
INCREASING CHANCE FOR COMBINED STORM SURGE AND ASTRONOMICAL TIDE
WATERS UP TO 4 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL WITHIN AREAS CLOSER TO
THE COAST...RESULTING IN WORST CASE FLOOD INUNDATION OF 1 TO 3
FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE SURGE ZONE.

FOR 1 TO 3 FEET OF INUNDATION...STORM SURGE FLOODING CAN BE
EXPECTED OUTSIDE HURRICANE PROTECTION LEVEES. MAIN CONCERN WILL
BE FLOODING ROADS ALONG THE COAST...BAYOUS...BAYS...INLETS...AND
LOW LYING AREAS. AT THIS TIME THE GREATEST POTENTIAL FOR 3 FEET OF
INUNDATION APPEARS TO BE IN ALONG SOUTHWESTERN COASTS OF LAKE
PONTCHARTRAIN BUT CAN NOT BE RULED OUT ANYWHERE ALONG THE LAKES.

AT THIS TIME...THERE IS A GENERAL CONCERN FOR THE CHANCE OF AREAS
OF MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING.

...WINDS...
AS TROPICAL STORM KAREN APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATE SATURDAY AFTERNOON. MAXIMUM
WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 25 TO 35 MPH RANGE WITH GUSTS TO
50 MPH.

...INLAND FLOODING...
THERE IS A LOW THREAT OF INLAND FLOODING FROM HEAVY RAINFALL.

$$

MSZ080>082-050630-
/O.CON.KLIX.TR.A.1012.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
HANCOCK-HARRISON-JACKSON-
518 PM CDT FRI OCT 4 2013

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE MADE AS SOON AS POSSIBLE...BEFORE
CONDITIONS DETERIORATE. KEEP INFORMED WHILE LISTENING FOR POSSIBLE
WARNINGS. SECURE LOOSE OUTDOOR OBJECTS WHICH CAN BE BLOWN AROUND.
STRONGLY CONSIDER EVACUATING IF YOU LIVE IN A MOBILE HOME...AND DO
SO IF ORDERED BY LOCAL OFFICIALS.

&&

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
AS TROPICAL STORM KAREN APPROACHES THE COAST...THERE IS AN
INCREASING CHANCE FOR COMBINED STORM SURGE AND ASTRONOMICAL TIDE
WATERS UP TO 4 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL WITHIN AREAS CLOSER TO
THE COAST...RESULTING IN WORST CASE FLOOD INUNDATION OF 1 TO
3 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE SURGE ZONE.

FOR 1 TO 3 FEET OF INUNDATION...STORM SURGE FLOODING CAN BE
EXPECTED ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST AND ALONG THE
COAST...BAYOUS...BAYS...INLETS...AND LOW LYING AREAS MAINLY
IMPACTING ROADWAYS.

THE LOCATION MOST LIKELY TO REALIZE THE GREATEST FLOODING WILL BE
AROUND HANCOCK COUNTY WITH THE MOST LIKELY PERIOD OF IMPACT
BEGINNING TOMORROW MORNING AND INTO SUNDAY MORNING.

...WINDS...
AS TROPICAL STORM KAREN APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATE SATURDAY AFTERNOON. MAXIMUM
WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 30 TO 40 MPH RANGE WITH GUSTS TO
55 MPH.

...INLAND FLOODING...
THERE IS A LOW THREAT OF INLAND FLOODING FROM HEAVY RAINFALL.

$$

GMZ538-550-552-555-570-572-575-577-050630-
/O.CON.KLIX.TR.W.1012.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
BRETON SOUND-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
TO PORT FOURCHON OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM BOOTHVILLE LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER FROM
20 TO 60 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
TO PORT FOURCHON FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM STAKE ISLAND LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
518 PM CDT FRI OCT 4 2013

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BOAT OWNERS AND CAPTAINS OF SMALL CRAFT SHOULD RUSH TO COMPLETION
THE SECURING OF THEIR CRAFT.

&&

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS TROPICAL STORM KAREN APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATE THIS EVENING. MAXIMUM
WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 35 TO 50 KNOT RANGE WITH GUSTS TO
65 KNOTS. SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO THE 20 TO 25 FOOT RANGE
SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.


$$

GMZ532-534-536-557-050630-
/O.CON.KLIX.TR.A.1012.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
MISSISSIPPI SOUND-LAKE BORGNE-CHANDELEUR SOUND-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA OUT 20 NM-
518 PM CDT FRI OCT 4 2013

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BOAT OWNERS AND CAPTAINS OF SMALL CRAFT NEED TO DETERMINE THE
BEST STRATEGY FOR SECURING THEIR CRAFT.

&&

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS TROPICAL STORM KAREN APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE LATE TOMORROW MORNING. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE
FORECAST TO BE IN THE 30 TO 40 KNOT RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS.
SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO THE 12 TO 15 FOOT RANGE SATURDAY
EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.


$$

GMZ530-050630-
/O.CON.KLIX.TR.A.1012.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND LAKE MAUREPAS-
518 PM CDT FRI OCT 4 2013

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BOAT OWNERS AND CAPTAINS OF SMALL CRAFT NEED TO DETERMINE THE
BEST STRATEGY FOR SECURING THEIR CRAFT.

&&

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS TROPICAL STORM KAREN MOVES CLOSER...THE THREAT FOR SUSTAINED
HIGH WINDS IS LIKELY TO INCREASE. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE FORECAST TO
BE IN THE 20 TO 30 KNOT RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEAS WILL
RANGE FROM 4 TO 7 FEET TOMORROW NIGHT.

$$

CAB



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