[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS82 KTAE 032152
HLSTAE

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL STORM KAREN LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
552 PM EDT THU OCT 3 2013

...TROPICAL STORM KAREN CONTINUES MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHERN GULF
COAST...

.NEW INFORMATION...
THE HURRICANE WATCH THAT WAS IN EFFECT FROM DESTIN TO INDIAN PASS
FLORIDA HAS BEEN REPLACED WITH A TROPICAL STORM WATCH.

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT
LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATER LEGS OF THE EASTERN FLORIDA
PANHANDLE AND FLORIDA BIG BEND.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FOLLOWING
LOCATIONS...SOUTH WALTON...COASTAL BAY AND COASTAL GULF.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR
PORTIONS OF GULF OF MEXICO COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO
APALACHICOLA.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 5 PM EDT...OR 4 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KAREN WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.3N...LONGITUDE 88.5W. THIS WAS ABOUT 560
MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF TALLAHASSEE FL...OR ABOUT 500 MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF PANAMA CITY FL. STORM MOTION WAS NORTH NORTHWEST
AT 12 MPH. STORM INTENSITY WAS 65 MPH.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
TROPICAL STORM KAREN WILL MOVE NORTH NORTHWESTWARD ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO THIS EVENING AND GRADUALLY INTENSIFY. THE
STORM WILL TURN MORE TO THE NORTH AND EVENTUALLY NORTH NORTHEAST
BY THE WEEKEND INCREASING THE THREAT FOR A LANDFALL SOMEWHERE
ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST BY SATURDAY EVENING OR SUNDAY.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR THOSE UNDER A WATCH...NOW IS THE TIME TO BEGIN PREPARING YOUR
HOME OR BUSINESS ACCORDING TO YOUR STORM DISASTER PLAN. LISTEN
FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS AND BE READY TO EVACUATE IF NECESSARY. HEED
THE ADVICE OF LOCAL OFFICIALS AND COMPLY WITH ANY ORDERS THAT ARE
ISSUED.

FOR INTERESTS AT PORTS...DOCKS...AND MARINAS...IT IS RECOMMENDED
THAT YOU PERFORM THE PRESCRIBED PREPARATIONS ACCORDING TO YOUR
EMERGENCY OPERATIONS PLAN FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES. IF YOU LIVE ON A
BOAT...BEGIN TO SAFELY SECURE YOUR CRAFT AND MAKE PLANS TO LEAVE
IT FOR ADEQUATE LAND BASED SHELTER. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS
FOR OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO THE
FORECAST.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE AS CONDITIONS WARRANT.

FLZ108-112-114-040600-
/O.CAN.KTAE.HU.A.1012.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KTAE.TR.A.1012.131003T2152Z-000000T0000Z/
SOUTH WALTON-COASTAL BAY-COASTAL GULF-
552 PM EDT THU OCT 3 2013 /452 PM CDT THU OCT 3 2013/

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH IN EFFECT...
...HURRICANE WATCH IS CANCELLED...

$$

FLZ115-040600-
/O.CON.KTAE.HU.S.1012.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL FRANKLIN-
552 PM EDT THU OCT 3 2013

...COASTAL FLOODING POSSIBLE AS TROPICAL STORM KAREN APPROACHES
THE NORTHERN GULF COAST...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

WHILE NO TROPICAL WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT FOR FRANKLIN COUNTY AT
THIS TIME...THE POTENTIAL DOES EXIST FOR COASTAL FLOODING AS
TROPICAL STORM KAREN MOVES CLOSER TO THE NORTHERN GULF COAST
STATES. RESIDENTS SHOULD STAY INFORMED AND LISTEN FOR CHANGES TO
THE FORECAST. BE READY TO ACT IF WATCHES OR WARNINGS BECOME
NECESSARY FOR YOUR AREA.

&&

...WINDS...
SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE...THOUGH NOT
EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. IF KAREN MOVES FURTHER EAST THAN
ANTICIPATED...THE POTENTIAL FOR SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WOULD INCREASE.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
WHILE IT IS A LITTLE TOO EARLY TO DETERMINE THE EXACT MAGNITUDE OF
STORM SURGE FOR FRANKLIN COUNTY...THE GENERAL EXPECTATION AT THIS
TIME IS FOR A LOW IMPACT WITH STORM SURGE FLOODING WITH STORM TIDE
VALUES...THE COMBINATION OF STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...AROUND 2
TO 3 FEET. THIS TRANSLATES TO 1 TO 2 FEET OF TOTAL WATER LEVEL
RISE ABOVE GROUND LEVEL WITHIN THE STORM SURGE ZONE.

IF KAREN MOVES FURTHER EASTWARD THAN CURRENTLY FORECAST...STORM
SURGE VALUES COULD BE MUCH HIGHER RESULTING IN GREATER IMPACT TO
FRANKLIN COUNTY.

$$

FLZ118-127-128-134-040600-
/O.CON.KTAE.HU.S.1012.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL JEFFERSON-COASTAL WAKULLA-COASTAL TAYLOR-COASTAL DIXIE-
552 PM EDT THU OCT 3 2013

...COASTAL FLOODING POSSIBLE AS TROPICAL STORM KAREN APPROACHES
THE NORTHERN GULF COAST...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

WHILE NO TROPICAL WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE COASTAL AREAS OF
APALACHEE BAY AT THIS TIME...THE POTENTIAL DOES EXIST FOR COASTAL
FLOODING AS TROPICAL STORM KAREN MOVES CLOSER TO THE NORTHERN GULF
COAST STATES. RESIDENTS SHOULD STAY INFORMED AND LISTEN FOR
CHANGES TO THE FORECAST. BE READY TO ACT IF WATCHES OR WARNINGS
BECOME NECESSARY FOR YOUR AREA.

&&

...WINDS...
SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE...THOUGH NOT
EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. IF KAREN MOVES FURTHER EAST THAN
ANTICIPATED...THE POTENTIAL FOR SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WOULD INCREASE.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
WHILE IT IS A LITTLE TOO EARLY TO DETERMINE THE EXACT MAGNITUDE OF
STORM SURGE FOR AREAS IN APALACHEE BAY...THE GENERAL EXPECTATION AT
THIS TIME IS FOR A LOW TO MODERATE IMPACT WITH STORM SURGE
FLOODING WITH STORM TIDE VALUES...THE COMBINATION OF STORM SURGE
AND STORM TIDE...AROUND 3 TO 5 FEET. THIS TRANSLATES TO 2 TO 4 FEET
OF TOTAL WATER LEVEL RISE ABOVE GROUND LEVEL WITHIN THE STORM
SURGE ZONE...PARTICULARLY NEAR THE HEAD OF APALACHEE BAY IN
WAKULLA AND JEFFERSON COUNTIES.

IF KAREN MOVES FURTHER EASTWARD THAN CURRENTLY FORECAST...STORM
SURGE VALUES COULD BE MUCH HIGHER RESULTING IN GREATER IMPACT TO
THE COASTAL AREAS OF APALACHEE BAY.

$$

GMZ750-770-040600-
/O.CAN.KTAE.HU.A.1012.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KTAE.TR.A.1012.131003T2152Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
552 PM EDT THU OCT 3 2013

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH IN EFFECT...
...HURRICANE WATCH IS CANCELLED...

$$





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