[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

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WTNT31 KNHC 031430
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION JERRY ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL112013
1100 AM AST THU OCT 03 2013

...JERRY LIKELY TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW IN A DAY OR SO...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...31.0N 40.2W
ABOUT 890 MI...1435 KM WSW OF THE AZORES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 50 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1010 MB...29.83 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION JERRY
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 40.2 WEST.  THE
DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/H.  A
NORTHEASTWARD TO EAST-NORTHEASTWARD MOTION AT A FASTER FORWARD SPEED
IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SLOW WEAKENING IS FORECAST...AND JERRY IS FORECAST TO BECOME
A REMNANT LOW BY FRIDAY.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1010 MB...29.83 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM AST.

$$
FORECASTER PASCH


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