[Tropical] Tropical Cyclone Discussion

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT42 KNHC 210236
TCDAT2

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE BARRY DISCUSSION NUMBER  15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL022013
1000 PM CDT THU JUN 20 2013

SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT THE CIRCULATION OF BARRY IS
LOSING DEFINITION AS IT MOVES FARTHER INLAND OVER THE MOUNTAINS OF
EASTERN AND SOUTHERN MEXICO.  IN ADDITION...THERE IS NO ORGANIZED
CONVECTION REMAINING NEAR THE CENTER.  BASED ON THIS...BARRY IS
ESTIMATED TO HAVE DEGENERATED TO A LOW PRESSURE AREA.  THE LOW WILL
LIKELY PERSIST FOR ANOTHER 12-18 HOURS BEFORE DISSIPATING
COMPLETELY.

THE INITIAL MOTION IS 270/5...AND A SLOW WESTWARD MOTION SHOULD
PERSIST UNTIL DISSIPATION.

WHILE THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY ON BARRY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER...THE REMNANTS OF THE CYCLONE WILL CONTINUE TO
PRODUCE TORRENTIAL RAINS OVER THE STATE OF VERACRUZ AND ADJACENT
STATES FOR THE NEXT DAY OR SO. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE SIGNIFICANT
FLOODING AND MUD SLIDES OVER A LARGE PORTION OF SOUTHERN MEXICO.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  21/0300Z 19.6N  98.2W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 12H  21/1200Z 19.6N  99.2W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 24H  22/0000Z...DISSIPATED

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN


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