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BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM BARRY ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL022013
400 PM CDT WED JUN 19 2013

...RECONNAISSANCE PLANE FINDS THE SECOND TROPICAL STORM OF THE 2013
HURRICANE SEASON...


SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.6N 95.2W
ABOUT 70 MI...115 KM ENE OF VERACRUZ MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...OUTSIDE OF THE
UNITED STATES

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PUNTA EL LAGARTO TO BARRA DE NAUTLA MEXICO

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BARRY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 95.2 WEST. BARRY IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 6 MPH...9 KM/H.  A GENERAL WESTWARD
TRACK WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED TONIGHT AND
THURSDAY.  ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER WILL REACH THE COAST
IN THE STATE OF VERACRUZ THURSDAY MORNING.

DATA FROM AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT THE
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 40 MPH...65
KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SLIGHT STRENGTHENING COULD OCCUR BEFORE
LANDFALL...BUT WEAKENING WILL OCCUR AFTER THE CENTER CROSSES THE
COAST ON THURSDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM
PRIMARILY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...BARRY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS
OF 3 TO 5 INCHES WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES ACROSS PORTIONS
OF SOUTHERN MEXICO.  THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH
FLOODING AND MUD SLIDES...ESPECIALLY IN MOUNTAINOUS AREAS.

WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING
AREA BY EARLY THURSDAY. HOWEVER...WINDS SHOULD BEGIN TO INCREASE
LATER TONIGHT SINCE RAINBANDS ARE ALREADY APPROACHING THE COAST.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...700 PM CDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 PM CDT.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA



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