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WTNT32 KNHC 180833
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BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL022013
500 AM EDT TUE JUN 18 2013

...DEPRESSION MOVING OVER NORTHERN GUATEMALA...
...HEAVY RAIN CONTINUES...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.0N 89.4W
ABOUT 30 MI...50 KM ENE OF TIKAL GUATEMALA
ABOUT 215 MI...345 KM SSE OF CAMPECHE MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.80 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN BELIZE...GUATEMALA...AND EASTERN MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 89.4 WEST. THE
DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13
KM/H. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT DAY
OR SO...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE WEST AND A DECREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE
CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION WILL MOVE OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHERN
GUATEMALA AND EASTERN MEXICO THROUGH TONIGHT...AND MOVE OVER THE
BAY OF CAMPECHE BY LATE WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 30 MPH...45 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT DAY OR
SO WHILE THE CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION REMAINS OVER LAND. A LITTLE
STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY NIGHT OR EARLY THURSDAY IF THE
CENTER MOVES OFFSHORE.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1009 MB...29.80 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES
ACROSS PORTIONS OF BELIZE...GUATEMALA...AND NORTHERN HONDURAS...
ALONG WITH THE MEXICAN STATES OF VERACRUZ...TABASCO...CHIAPAS....
SOUTHERN CAMPECHE AND SOUTHERN QUINTANA ROO. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE
LIFE THREATENING FLASH FLOODING AND MUDSLIDES...ESPECIALLY IN
MOUNTAINOUS AREAS. SOME RECENT 24-HOUR RAINFALL TOTALS INCLUDE 5.16
INCHES...131 MM...AT TELA HONDURAS...AND 3.58 INCHES...91 MM...AT
BELIZE CITY.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN


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