[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

[EMWIN Server]

ABNT20 KNHC 282355
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK...CORRECTED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT WED AUG 28 2013

CORRECTED TO MOVE THE AFRICAN SYSTEM PARAGRAPH INTO THE 48-HOUR
PERIOD

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED OVER WEST AFRICA IS EXPECTED TO MOVE
WESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH...AND AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE COULD FORM
AFTER THE WAVE MOVES OFF OF THE COAST ON FRIDAY. SOME DEVELOPMENT
OF THIS LOW IS POSSIBLE LATE THIS WEEK OR EARLY THIS WEEKEND BEFORE
UPPER-LEVEL WINDS BECOME UNFAVORABLE BY EARLY NEXT WEEK. THIS
SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND A MEDIUM CHANCE...30
PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
WHILE IT MOVES NEAR THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS.

OTHER SYSTEMS WITH FORMATION POTENTIAL BEYOND 48 HOURS...

SHOWER ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED ABOUT 1350
MILES EAST OF THE LESSER ANTILLES REMAINS LIMITED. SLOW DEVELOPMENT
OF THIS DISTURBANCE IS POSSIBLE LATE THIS WEEK OR EARLY THIS
WEEKEND WHILE THE WAVE MOVES WESTWARD AT ABOUT 15 MPH AND
APPROACHES THE LESSER ANTILLES. AFTER THAT TIME...UPPER-LEVEL WINDS
COULD INHIBIT FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...
NEAR 0 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS...AND A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.


&&
FIVE-DAY FORMATION PROBABILITIES ARE EXPERIMENTAL IN 2013. COMMENTS
ON THE EXPERIMENTAL FORECASTS CAN BE PROVIDED AT...

HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/SURVEY/NWS-SURVEY.PHP?CODE=ETWO

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN


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