[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

[EMWIN Server]

ABNT20 KNHC 262340
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT MON AUG 26 2013

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER HAS ISSUED THE FINAL ADVISORY ON
THE REMNANTS OF FERNAND...LOCATED INLAND OVER EAST-CENTRAL
MEXICO TO THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OF TUXPAN.

TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

OTHER SYSTEMS WITH FORMATION POTENTIAL BEYOND 48 HOURS...

A TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED SOUTH OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS IS EXPECTED
TO MOVE WESTWARD AT ABOUT 15 MPH OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR SOMEWHAT FAVORABLE FOR A LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM TO FORM BY THE END OF THE WEEK WHEN THE TROPICAL
WAVE INTERACTS WITH AN ELONGATED SURFACE TROUGH THAT EXTENDS FROM
THE WINDWARD ISLANDS EASTWARD FOR SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES INTO THE
CENTRAL TROPICAL ATLANTIC. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...NEAR 0
PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS...AND A MEDIUM CHANCE...30 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.

&&
FIVE-DAY FORMATION PROBABILITIES ARE EXPERIMENTAL IN 2013. COMMENTS
ON THE EXPERIMENTAL FORECASTS CAN BE PROVIDED AT...

HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/SURVEY/NWS-SURVEY.PHP?CODE=ETWO

$$
FORECASTER STEWART

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