[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT31 KNHC 261437
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FERNAND ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062013
1000 AM CDT MON AUG 26 2013

...HEAVY RAINS CONTINUE OVER EASTERN MEXICO AS FERNAND
WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION...


SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.3N 97.7W
ABOUT 50 MI...85 KM SSW OF TUXPAN MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED ALL COASTAL WARNINGS.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
FERNAND WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 97.7 WEST.
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H.
A MOTION BETWEEN WEST-NORTHWEST AND NORTHWEST WITH A SLIGHT
DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO.
ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE FARTHER
INLAND OVER EASTERN MEXICO THROUGH TONIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 35 MPH...55
KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  ADDITIONAL WEAKENING WILL CONTINUE
WHILE THE SYSTEM MOVES FARTHER INLAND...AND FERNAND IS EXPECTED
TO DEGENERATE TO A POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW LATER TODAY OR
TONIGHT.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...FERNAND IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE 4 TO 8 INCHES OF RAIN OVER
VERACRUZ...HIDALGO...NORTHERN PUEBLA...SOUTHERN TAMAULIPAS...AND
EASTERN SAN LUIS POTOSI MEXICO...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS NEAR
12 INCHES POSSIBLE.  THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH
FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 PM CDT.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN


This weather bulletin was brought to you by:
www.nashvilleweather.net