[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

[EMWIN Server]

ABNT20 KNHC 250545
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT SUN AUG 25 2013

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE IS MOVING OFF
THE YUCATAN COAST OF MEXICO INTO THE SOUTHERN BAY OF CAMPECHE.
THIS SYSTEM IS PRODUCING A LARGE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER...BUT
NEW SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS APPEAR TO BE FORMING NEAR THE CENTER
OF CIRCULATION.  THE LOW SHOULD REMAIN OVER WATER WHILE MOVING
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT ABOUT 10 MPH...AND ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS
ARE CONDUCIVE FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A TROPICAL DEPRESSION BEFORE
IT REACHES THE COAST OF THE STATE OF VERACRUZ MEXICO ON MONDAY.
THIS SYSTEM HAS A HIGH CHANCE...60 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND A HIGH CHANCE...60
PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.
AN AIR FORCE PLANE IS SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE THE SYSTEM THIS
AFTERNOON...IF NECESSARY.

&&

FIVE-DAY FORMATION PROBABILITIES ARE EXPERIMENTAL IN 2013. COMMENTS
ON THE EXPERIMENTAL FORECASTS CAN BE PROVIDED AT...

HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/SURVEY/NWS-SURVEY.PHP?CODE=ETWO

$$
FORECASTER BERG


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