[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

[EMWIN Server]

ABNT20 KNHC 240530
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT SAT AUG 24 2013

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE IS PRODUCING LIMITED SHOWER AND
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY OVER THE NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO. THERE ARE
NO INDICATIONS OF A SURFACE CIRCULATION...AND SIGNIFICANT
DEVELOPMENT APPEARS UNLIKELY BEFORE THE TROUGH REACHES THE WESTERN
GULF COAST BY SATURDAY NIGHT. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...NEAR 0
PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS...AND A LOW CHANCE...NEAR 0 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.

THE NORTHERN PORTION OF A TROPICAL WAVE IS PRODUCING DISORGANIZED
CLOUDINESS...SHOWERS...AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA...PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AMERICA...AND THE NORTHWESTERN
CARIBBEAN SEA. ALTHOUGH UPPER-LEVEL WINDS APPEAR FAVORABLE WHILE
THIS SYSTEM MOVES WESTWARD OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE LATE SATURDAY
AND SUNDAY...SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT IS UNLIKELY DUE TO PROXIMITY
TO LAND. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A
TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND A LOW CHANCE...10
PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.

&&

FIVE-DAY FORMATION PROBABILITIES ARE EXPERIMENTAL IN 2013. COMMENTS
ON THE EXPERIMENTAL FORECASTS CAN BE PROVIDED AT...

HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/SURVEY/NWS-SURVEY.PHP?CODE=ETWO

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN


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