[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTPQ81 PGUM 021101
HLSPQ1

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SUPER TYPHOON BOPHA (26W) LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU
900 PM CHST SUN DEC 2 2012

...SUPER TYPHOON BOPHA (26W) NEARING THE REPUBLIC OF PALAU...

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT PROVIDES INFORMATION AND RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR
PEOPLE IN KOROR AND NEARBY ISLANDS INCLUDING ANGAUR...PELELIU...
BABELDAOB AND KAYANGEL AND SONSOROL IN THE REPUBLIC OF PALAU.

...WATCHES AND WARNINGS...

THE TYPHOON WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR KOROR AND KAYANGEL IN THE
REPUBLIC OF PALAU.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SONSOROL IN THE
REPUBLIC OF PALAU.

A TYPHOON WARNING MEANS THAT DAMAGING WINDS OF 39 TO 73 MPH ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN 24 HOURS AND THAT TYPHOON CONDITIONS INCLUDING WINDS
GREATER THAN 73 MPH ARE EXPECTED TO FOLLOW.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
INCLUDING DAMAGING WINDS OF 39 TO 73 MPH...ARE EXPECTED WITHIN
24 HOURS.

...STORM INFORMATION...

AT 700 PM CHST...0900Z...THE EYE OF SUPER TYPHOON BOPHA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 6.4 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 135.3 DEGREES EAST.

THIS IS ABOUT  90 MILES SOUTHEAST OF KOROR
              125 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF KAYANGEL
              225 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF SONSOROL AND
              285 MILES SOUTHWEST OF YAP.

SUPER TYPHOON BOPHA IS NOW MOVING TOWARD THE WEST AT 18 MPH WITH A
SLIGHT WOBBLE BUT IS EXPECTED TO RESUME A WEST-NORTHWEST MOTION FOR
THE REST OF TONIGHT. THIS MOTION WILL PLACE IT ON OR NEAR THE ISLAND
OF PELELIU AROUND MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE
INCREASED TO 155 MPH.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
SUPER TYPHOON BOPHA WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE GENERALLY TOWARD THE
WEST-NORTHWEST WITH SOME WOBBLING MOTION POSSIBLE. THE FORECAST
TRACK TAKES BOPHA VERY CLOSE TO OR JUST SOUTH OF ANGAUR. THE AREA
FROM ANGAUR TO BABELDAOB IS AT GREAT RISK FOR VERY DESTRUCTIVE WINDS
AND WAVES. THE TYPHOON IS A HIGH-END CATEGORY 4 SUPER TYPHOON WITH
SUSTAINED WINDS AS HIGH AS 155 MPH. WIND GUSTS CAN BE AS HIGH AS 190
MPH.

...KOROR FROM ANGAUR TO NORTHERN BABELDAOB...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
SEEK SHELTER IN A CONCRETE STRUCTURE AT LEAST 25 FEET ABOVE SEA
LEVEL. MOST WOOD AND METAL STRUCTURES THAT ARE AFFECTED WITH THESE
WINDS WILL SUFFER EXTENSIVE DAMAGE OR COULD BE COMPLETELY DESTROYED.
PREPARATIONS FOR TYPHOON-FORCE WINDS SHOULD HAVE ALREADY BEEN
COMPLETED. TYPHOON CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN 12 HOURS FOR
LOCATIONS FROM NORTHERN BABELDAOB IN THE NORTH TO ANGAUR IN THE
SOUTH. KEEP INFORMED OF THE LATEST BULLETINS FROM LOCAL EMERGENCY
MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS OR THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. HAVE ENOUGH
FOOD AND WATER TO LAST SEVERAL DAYS AFTER THE STORM PASSES. POWER
WILL LIKELY BE OUT FOR SOME TIME. SMALL CRAFT SHOULD NOT ATTEMPT ANY
INTER-ISLAND TRAVEL OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. FOLLOW THE INSTRUCTIONS
OF YOUR LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICE. KOROR AND SURROUNDING
AREAS OF PALAU HAVE BEEN PLACED IN CONDITION OF READINESS ONE
(COR 1) AS OF 100 PM PALAU TIME (04 UTC).

...WIND INFORMATION...
EXPECT INCREASING TYPHOON FORCE WINDS OF 65 TO 75 MPH FROM THE
NORTHEAST WITH GUSTS TO 90 MPH ACROSS BABELDAOB WITH THE HIGHEST
WINDS ACROSS ANGAUR AND PELELIU AT 90 TO 120 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 150
MPH. TERRAIN EFFECTS IN THE ROCK ISLANDS AND ON BABELDAOB CAN
CAUSE CONSIDERABLE VARIABILITY IN WIND SPEED AND DIRECTION AT SOME
LOCATIONS. ONSET OF MOST DESTRUCTIVE WINDS WILL BE RIGHT BEFORE
MIDNIGHT. WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT AS BOPHA
BEGINS TO MOVE AWAY FROM KOROR. DAMAGING WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
THE EARLY MORNING HOURS MONDAY AND BEGIN TO SUBSIDE BELOW DAMAGING
LEVELS BEFORE NOON. A SLIGHT WOBBLE TO THE NORTH WOULD BRING THE EYE
DIRECTLY OVER ANGAUR. DO NOT VENTURE FAR FROM SHELTERS IF THE EYE
PASSES OVERHEAD AND WINDS WEAKEN TEMPORARILY.

...STORM SURGE AND SURF INFORMATION...
HAZARDOUS SURF OF 16 TO 20 FEET ALONG COASTAL SHORES IS EXPECTED
TONIGHT AND WILL FURTHER INCREASE TO OVER 25 FEET IN SOME
LOCATIONS NEAR THE EYE WALL CLOUD. INUNDATION WILL BE HIGHEST
CLOSEST TO THE EYEWALL AND COULD EXCEED 20 FEET AT ANGAUR. DUE TO
THE MORE SOUTHERN TRACK OF BOPHA...EXPECT SOMEWHAT LOWER INUNDATION
OF 8 TO 10 FEET AT EASTERN EXPOSURES OF KOROR AND 4 TO 6 FEET ON
EASTERN EXPOSURES OF BABELDAOB.

...OTHER STORM EFFECTS...
RAINFALL WILL INCREASE TONIGHT AND EARLY MONDAY WITH 5 TO 8 INCHES
OF ADDITIONAL RAINFALL LIKELY. FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES ARE STILL
POSSIBLE TONIGHT AND MONDAY. HOWEVER...THE MORE SOUTHERN TRACK HAS
DECREASED THE POTENTIAL FOR MUDSLIDES AS THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL WILL
BE CONCENTRATED OVER ANGAUR AND PELELIU.

...KAYANGEL...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
SEEK SHELTER IN A CONCRETE STRUCTURE IF POSSIBLE AWAY FROM EASTERN
COASTAL EXPOSURES AT LEAST. SOME INUNDATION AND ISLAND OVERWASH IS
EXPECTED. THE MORE SOUTHERN TRACK WILL REDUCE THE LEVEL OF WIND
DAMAGE AND STORM SURGE AT KAYANGEL. WOOD AND METAL STRUCTURES COULD
SUFFER SOME DAMAGE AND SHEET METAL COULD BECOME AIRBORNE.
PREPARATIONS FOR TYPHOON-FORCE WINDS SHOULD HAVE ALREADY BEEN
COMPLETED. TYPHOON CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY NOT EXTEND AS FAR NORTH AS
KAYANGEL DUE TO THE MORE SOUTHERLY TRACK OF BOPHA. DO NOT
UNDERESTIMATE THE DESTRUCTIVE POTENTIAL OF NEAR TYPHOON-STRENGTH
WINDS. KEEP INFORMED OF THE LATEST BULLETINS FROM LOCAL EMERGENCY
MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS OR THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. POWER WILL
LIKELY BE OUT FOR SOME TIME. SMALL CRAFT SHOULD NOT ATTEMPT ANY
INTER-ISLAND TRAVEL OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. FOLLOW THE INSTRUCTIONS
OF YOUR LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICE. KOROR AND SURROUNDING
AREAS OF PALAU INCLUDING KAYANGEL HAVE BEEN PLACED IN CONDITION OF
READINESS ONE (COR 1) AS OF 100 PM PALAU TIME (04 UTC).

...WIND INFORMATION...
THE POTENTIAL FOR TYPHOON FORCE WINDS HAS DIMINISHED DUE TO THE MORE
SOUTHERN TRACK OF BOPHA...BUT TYPHOON FORCE WIND GUSTS ARE STILL
POSSIBLE TONIGHT AND EARLY MONDAY. EXPECT NORTHEAST WINDS OF 40 TO
50 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 75 MPH IN HEAVIER SHOWERS OVER KAYANGEL. WINDS
WILL SHIFT TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT AND WILL DIMINISH TO
BELOW DAMAGING LEVELS BY SUNRISE.

...STORM SURGE AND SURF INFORMATION...
HAZARDOUS SURF OF 14 TO 18 FEET OR HIGHER IS EXPECTED ALONG COASTAL
SHORES THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. THIS MAY CAUSE COASTAL INUNDATION OF
4 TO 6 FEET ON EASTERN EXPOSURES.

...OTHER STORM EFFECTS...
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL OF 2 TO 4 INCHES IS POSSIBLE THROUGH EARLY
MONDAY.

...SONSOROL...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED BY EARLY MONDAY MORNING.
SMALL CRAFT SHOULD NOT ATTEMPT ANY INTER-ISLAND TRAVEL. SEEK SHELTER
IN A SUITABLE STRUCTURE ABLE TO WITHSTAND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS.

...WIND INFORMATION...
NORTHERLY WINDS OF 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH NEAR SHOWERS
ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT. DAMAGING WINDS OF 35 TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED BY
EARLY MONDAY MORNING. WINDS COULD BECOME STRONGER IF BOPHA CONTINUES
ITS WESTWARD TRACK. WINDS AT SONSOROL WILL TURN TO THE NORTHWEST
THEN TO THE WEST AND SOUTHWEST ON MONDAY.

...STORM SURGE AND SURF INFORMATION...
HAZARDOUS SURF OF 6 TO 9 FEET IS LIKELY ALONG NORTHERN AND EASTERN
SHORES TONIGHT. SURF MAY BUILD TO 10 TO 15 FEET MONDAY THROUGH
MONDAY NIGHT. THIS COULD CAUSE 1 TO 3 FEET OF COASTAL INUNDATION.
SURF COULD BECOME HIGHER IF BOPHA CONTINUES ITS WESTWARD TRACK OR
THE WIND FIELD EXPANDS SIGNIFICANTLY.

...OTHER STORM EFFECTS...
RAINFALL OF 1 TO 3 INCHES IS LIKELY TONIGHT. RAINFALL WILL INCREASE
MONDAY WITH 2 TO 4 INCHES OF ADDITIONAL RAINFALL POSSIBLE ON MONDAY
AND MONDAY NIGHT.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT FOR SUPER TYPHOON BOPHA WILL BE ISSUED BY
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 300 AM CHST EARLY MONDAY MORNING...
OR SOONER IF NECESSARY.

$$

WILLIAMS/SIMPSON/GUARD




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