[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

Tue Aug 28 05:00:27 CDT 2012

WTUS84 KMOB 281000
HLSMOB

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL STORM ISAAC LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
500 AM CDT TUE AUG 28 2012

...ISAAC ON THE VERGE OF BECOMING A HURRICANE...

.NEW INFORMATION...TROPICAL STORM ISAAC CONTINUES TO SLOWLY
INTENSIFY AND IS MOVING SLOWER. THE TORNADO THREAT INCREASES THROUGH MIDDAY
AS ISAAC'S NORTHEASTERN OUTER RAINBANDS FURTHER DEVELOP.

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT
LOCATIONS OF INLAND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...
THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND GULF COASTAL WATERS DESTIN TO
PASCAGOULA OUT 60 NM.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A HURRICANE WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...UPPER
MOBILE...UPPER BALDWIN...LOWER MOBILE...LOWER BALDWIN...STONE AND
GEORGE.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A HURRICANE WARNING CONTINUES FOR
PORTIONS OF GULF COASTAL WATERS DESTIN TO PASCAGOULA OUT 60 NM.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE
FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...WASHINGTON...WAYNE...PERRY AND GREENE.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
INLAND ESCAMBIA...COASTAL ESCAMBIA...INLAND SANTA ROSA...COASTAL
SANTA ROSA...INLAND OKALOOSA AND COASTAL OKALOOSA.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR
PORTIONS OF GULF COASTAL WATERS DESTIN TO PASCAGOULA OUT 60 NM.

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF INLAND SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA
PANHANDLE. PLEASE LISTEN CLOSELY FOR ANY FLOOD WARNINGS THAT
MIGHT BE IN EFFECT FOR YOUR AREA.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 4 AM CDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ISAAC WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 27.5N...LONGITUDE 88.1W. THIS WAS ABOUT 220 MILES SOUTH
OF MOBILE AL...OR ABOUT 210 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF PENSACOLA
FL. STORM MOTION WAS NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 12 MPH. STORM INTENSITY
WAS 70 MPH.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
ISAAC IS FORECAST TO MAKE LANDFALL ALONG THE MISSISSIPPI OR SOUTHEAST
LOUISIANA COAST THIS EVENING. ISAAC WILL IMPACT OUR AREA TODAY AS
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ONSET THIS LATER THIS MORNING. CONDITIONS
WILL LIKELY DETERIORATE FURTHER THIS AFTERNOON AS THE HIGHER WIND SPEEDS AND
GUSTS DEVELOP OVER SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND COASTAL SECTIONS OF
ALABAMA. THE TORNADO THREAT ALSO INCREASES THROUGH MIDDAY AS ISAAC'S
NORTHEASTERN OUTER RAINBANDS FURTHER DEVELOP.

STORM SURGE OF 4 TO 8 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL IS POSSIBLE ACROSS
COASTAL ALABAMA...INCLUDING MOBILE BAY WITH 2 TO 4 FEET ACROSS THE
WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE.

SQUALLS AND VERY HEAVY RAIN ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL
BEGIN TO AFFECT THE AREA TODAY...AND CONTINUE THROUGH AT LEAST WEDNESDAY
NIGHT. WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE FORECAST TO ACCOMPANY
THIS SYSTEM. STORM TOTALS OF 9 TO 13 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS
SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND SOUTHWESTERN ALABAMA...WITH 15 INCHES
LOCALLY. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE EXPECTED FURTHER EAST
ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA AND THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE. HIGHER TOTALS
ARE POSSIBLE FURTHER EAST IF THE TRACK OF ISAAC SHIFTS EAST.

AS WITH ALL TROPICAL SYSTEMS...THE RIP CURRENT RISK WILL REMAIN AT
HIGH LEVELS FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FINAL PREPARATIONS SHOULD HAVE ALREADY BEEN COMPLETED.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN MOBILE AROUND 930 AM...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT.

ALZ061>064-291000-
/O.CON.KMOB.HU.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE-LOWER BALDWIN-
500 AM CDT TUE AUG 28 2012

...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...WINDS...
SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN
THIS MORNING. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 40 TO 50 MPH
RANGE WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO NEAR HURRICANE FORCE POSSIBLE.
SUSTAINED HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE COAST IF THE
TRACK OF ISAAC SIGNIFICANTLY SHIFTS TO THE EAST.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
THERE IS THE POTENTIAL OF FLOOD INUNDATION OF 4 TO 8 FEET ABOVE
GROUND LEVEL ACROSS COASTAL ALABAMA AND MOBILE BAY...DUE TO A STRONG
PROLONGED ONSHORE FLOW EXPECTED AS ISAAC BEGINS TO SLOW DOWN NEAR THE
COAST. THE MOST LIKELY PERIOD OF IMPACT WILL BE THIS EVENING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK. HIGH TIDE WILL OCCUR
MID TO LATE WEDNESDAY MORNING.

$$

MSZ078-079-291000-
/O.CON.KMOB.HU.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
STONE-GEORGE-
500 AM CDT TUE AUG 28 2012

...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...WINDS...
SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN
TUESDAY MORNING. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 40 TO
50 MPH RANGE WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO HURRICANE FORCE POSSIBLE.
SUSTAINED HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE IF THE TRACK OF
ISAAC SIGNIFICANTLY SHIFTS TO THE EAST.

$$

ALZ052-MSZ067-075-076-291000-
/O.CON.KMOB.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.CON.KMOB.HU.A.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
WASHINGTON-WAYNE-PERRY-GREENE-
500 AM CDT TUE AUG 28 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...WINDS...
SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN
TUESDAY MORNING. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 40 TO
50 MPH RANGE WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO HURRICANE FORCE POSSIBLE.
SUSTAINED HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE IF THE TRACK OF
ISAAC SIGNIFICANTLY SHIFTS TO THE EAST.

$$

FLZ001-002-291000-
/O.CON.KMOB.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-
500 AM CDT TUE AUG 28 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
THERE IS THE POTENTIAL OF FLOOD INUNDATION OF 3 TO 6 FEET ABOVE
GROUND LEVEL ACROSS...DUE TO A STRONG PROLONGED ONSHORE FLOW
EXPECTED AS ISAAC BEGINS TO SLOW DOWN NEAR THE COAST. THE MOST
LIKELY PERIOD OF IMPACT WILL BE THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY BASED ON
THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK. HIGH TIDE WILL OCCUR EARLY WEDNESDAY
MORNING.

...WINDS...
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND GUSTS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN THIS MORNING.
MAXIMUM WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 30 TO 40 MPH RANGE WITH GUSTS
TO 50 MPH. THE HIGHEST WINDS WILL OCCUR ALONG THE COAST.

$$

FLZ003>006-291000-
/O.CON.KMOB.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
INLAND SANTA ROSA-COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-
COASTAL OKALOOSA-
500 AM CDT TUE AUG 28 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
THERE IS THE POTENTIAL OF FLOOD INUNDATION OF 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE
GROUND LEVEL ACROSS...DUE TO A STRONG PROLONGED ONSHORE FLOW EXPECTED
AS ISAAC BEGINS TO SLOW DOWN NEAR THE COAST. THE MOST LIKELY PERIOD
OF IMPACT WILL BE TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY BASED ON THE
CURRENT FORECAST TRACK. HIGH TIDE WILL OCCUR EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING.

...WINDS...
SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN
TUESDAY MORNING. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 30 TO
40 MPH RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH. THE HIGHEST WINDS WILL OCCUR
ALONG THE COAST.

$$

GMZ630-291000-
/O.CON.KMOB.HU.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
MOBILE BAY-
500 AM CDT TUE AUG 28 2012

...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...WINDS AND SEAS...
SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL OVERSPREAD THE BAY DURING
THE DAY. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 40 TO 50 KNOTS RANGE
WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO HURRICANE FORCE POSSIBLE. SUSTAINED
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE IF THE TRACK OF ISAAC
SIGNIFICANTLY SHIFTS TO THE EAST.

$$

GMZ650-670-291000-
/O.CON.KMOB.HU.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
500 AM CDT TUE AUG 28 2012

...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...WINDS AND SEAS...
SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN
OVERNIGHT. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 40 TO 50 KNOTS
RANGE WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO HURRICANE FORCE POSSIBLE.
SUSTAINED HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE IF THE TRACK OF
ISAAC SIGNIFICANTLY SHIFTS TO THE EAST.

SEAS WILL BUILD TO 20 TO 30 FEET THROUGH TUESDAY AND CONTINUE
INTO WEDNESDAY.

$$

GMZ655-675-291000-
/O.CON.KMOB.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
500 AM CDT TUE AUG 28 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...WINDS AND SEAS...
SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN
TONIGHT. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 35 TO 45 KNOTS
RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS.

SEAS WILL BUILD TO 20 TO 30 FEET THROUGH TUESDAY AND CONTINUE
INTO WEDNESDAY.

$$

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