[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS84 KLCH 280440
HLSLCH

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL STORM ISAAC LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1140 PM CDT MON AUG 27 2012

...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS STILL EXPECTED ACROSS ACADIANA AND
PORTIONS OF CENTRAL LOUISIANA...

.NEW INFORMATION...
UPDATES TO CLOSURES AND LOWERED WIND SPEED FORECAST SOME.

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT
LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATER LEGS OF SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA...
SOUTHEAST TEXAS AND ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE
FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...LAFAYETTE...UPPER ST. MARTIN...VERMILION...
IBERIA...ST. MARY AND LOWER ST. MARTIN.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE
WATCH CONTINUES FOR PORTIONS OF GULF OF MEXICO WATERS AND
ADJACENT COASTAL LAKES AND BAYS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
AVOYELLES...ST. LANDRY.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR
PORTIONS OF GULF OF MEXICO WATERS AND ADJACENT COASTAL LAKES AND
BAYS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
VERNON...RAPIDES...BEAUREGARD...ALLEN...EVANGELINE...CALCASIEU...
JEFFERSON DAVIS...ACADIA...WEST CAMERON AND EAST CAMERON.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR
PORTIONS OF GULF OF MEXICO WATERS AND ADJACENT COASTAL LAKES AND
BAYS.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 10 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ISAAC WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 27.1N...LONGITUDE 87.0W. THIS WAS ABOUT 420 MILES
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF CAMERON LA...OR ABOUT 310 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST
OF MORGAN CITY LA. STORM MOTION WAS NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 10 MPH.
STORM INTENSITY WAS 70 MPH.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
WHEN MAKING DECISIONS...DO NOT FOCUS ON THE EXACT FORECAST TRACK.
ISAAC IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO MOVE TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST WHILE
SLOWLY STRENGTHENING TO A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE BEFORE LANDFALL IN
SOUTHEAST PORTIONS OF LOUISIANA. CURRENTLY THE FORECAST IMPACTS
CONTAIN SUSTAINED WINDS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE ACROSS SOUTH
CENTRAL AND EAST CENTRAL SECTIONS OF LOUISIANA WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
A SLIGHT WOBBLE OR JOG TO THE WEST WOULD BRING HIGHER WINDS WEST
AND THEREFORE TROPICAL STORM AND HURRICANE WATCHES REMAIN IN
EFFECT AS WELL.


.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR THOSE UNDER A WARNING...NOW IS THE TIME TO RUSH TO COMPLETION
PREPARATIONS FOR THE PROTECTION OF LIFE AND PROPERTY. EVACUATE IF
DIRECTED TO DO SO BY LOCAL OFFICIALS...OR IF YOUR HOME IS
VULNERABLE TO HIGH WINDS OR FLOODING.

FOR INTERESTS AT PORTS...DOCKS...AND MARINAS...URGENTLY COMPLETE
PRESCRIBED PREPARATIONS ACCORDING TO YOUR EMERGENCY OPERATIONS
PLAN FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES. IF YOU LIVE ON A BOAT...MAKE FINAL
PREPARATIONS FOR SECURING YOUR CRAFT BEFORE LEAVING IT. BE SURE
TO ACCOUNT FOR THE POSSIBLE CLOSURE OF BRIDGES AND CAUSEWAYS.

REGARDING ANY COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WARNING...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD
REMAIN IN PORT AND WELL SECURED.

FOR THOSE UNDER A WATCH...CONTINUE WITH YOUR PREPARATIONS AND
LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

REGARDING ANY COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WATCH...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD
RETURN TO PORT OR SEEK SAFE HARBOR. DETERMINE THE BEST STRATEGY
FOR SECURING YOUR CRAFT.

CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS
FOR OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO
THE FORECAST.

FOR ADDITIONAL PRECAUTIONARY AND PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION...
PLEASE REFER TO THE DETAILED RECOMMENDATIONS RELATIVE TO YOUR
LOCATION AS FURTHER DESCRIBED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE AND LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN LAKE CHARLES AROUND 6 AM CDT...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

LAZ053>055-290445-
/O.CON.KLCH.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.CON.KLCH.HU.A.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
IBERIA-ST. MARY-LOWER ST. MARTIN-
1140 PM CDT MON AUG 27 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN IBERIA...SCHOOLS WILL LET OUT EARLY TUESDAY AND BE CLOSED ON
WEDNESDAY. SCHOOLS WILL BE CLOSED IN ST. MARY AND LOWER ST. MARTIN
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS 5 TO
14 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT
THIS TIME IS UP TO 88 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A SLIGHT DOWNWARD TREND
SINCE THE LAST FORECAST. THE ONSET OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS
COULD START AS EARLY AS TUESDAY MORNING.

...WINDS...
AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATE TUESDAY EVENING. MAXIMUM
WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 30 TO 40 MPH RANGE WITH GUSTS TO
65 MPH.

MINOR DAMAGE MAY OCCUR TO OLDER MOBILE HOMES. RESIDENTS
SHOULD MOVE LOOSE ITEMS INDOORS...SUCH AS GARBAGE CANS AND OUTDOOR
FURNITURE...AS THEY WILL BE BLOWN AROUND. NEWLY PLANTED OR YOUNG
TREES AND SHRUBS MAY BE UPROOTED IF NOT SECURED PROPERLY. ISOLATED
POWER OUTAGES WILL BE POSSIBLE.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC APPROACHES THE COAST...THERE IS AN
CHANCE FOR COMBINED STORM SURGE AND ASTRONOMICAL TIDE WATERS UP
TO 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL WITHIN AREAS CLOSER TO THE
COAST...RESULTING IN WORST CASE FLOOD INUNDATION UP TO 1 TO 3 FEET
ABOVE GROUND LEVEL SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE SURGE ZONE.

THE LOCATIONS MOST LIKELY TO REALIZE THE GREATEST FLOODING
INCLUDE INCLUDE THE EASTERN SIDE OF VERMILION AND ATCHAFALAYA
BAYS...INCLUDING BUT NOT LIMITED TO THE BURNS POINT AND CYPREMORT
POINT AREAS. THE MOST LIKELY PERIOD OF IMPACT WILL BE TUESDAY
NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY.

THERE IS AN ELEVATED THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY FROM COASTAL
FLOODING...POTENTIALLY HAVING A LOW BUT NOTABLE IMPACT. THE
CONCERN IS FOR THE CHANCE OF MINOR COASTAL FLOODING TO OCCUR IN
AREAS WITHIN THE SURGE ZONE...RESULTING IN SHALLOW INUNDATION. IF
REALIZED...PEOPLE WITHIN THE THREATENED AREAS WHO FAILED TO ACT
ACCORDING TO THEIR PERSONAL DISASTER PLAN WILL HAVE NEEDLESSLY
PLACED THEMSELVES AT SOME MEASURE OF RISK.

...INLAND FLOODING...
STORM TOTAL RAINFALL OF 2 TO 4 INCHES IS EXPECTED WITH ISOLATED
AMOUNTS OF UP TO 6 INCHES IS POSSIBLE. THIS COMBINED WITH HIGH
TIDES TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY MAY PRODUCE SOME FLOODING.

...TORNADOES...
THERE WILL BE A LOW THREAT OF TORNADOES LATE TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.

$$

LAZ052-290445-
/O.CON.KLCH.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.CON.KLCH.HU.A.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
VERMILION-
1140 PM CDT MON AUG 27 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SCHOOLS WILL BE CLOSED IN VERMILION PARISH TUESDAY.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS VERY SMALL.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
UP TO 69 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL DOWNWARD TREND SINCE
THE LAST FORECAST. THE ONSET OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS COULD
START AS EARLY AS TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

...WINDS...
AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN TUESDAY NIGHT OR WEDNESDAY
MORNING. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 30 TO 40 MPH
RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 60 MPH.

MINOR DAMAGE MAY OCCUR TO OLDER MOBILE HOMES. RESIDENTS
SHOULD MOVE LOOSE ITEMS INDOORS...SUCH AS GARBAGE CANS AND OUTDOOR
FURNITURE...AS THEY WILL BE BLOWN AROUND. NEWLY PLANTED OR YOUNG
TREES AND SHRUBS MAY BE UPROOTED IF NOT SECURED PROPERLY. ISOLATED
POWER OUTAGES WILL BE POSSIBLE.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC APPROACHES THE COAST...THERE IS A CHANCE
FOR COMBINED STORM SURGE AND ASTRONOMICAL TIDE WATERS UP TO 1 FEET
ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL WITHIN AREAS CLOSER TO THE COAST...RESULTING
IN WORST CASE FLOOD INUNDATION UP TO 1 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE SURGE ZONE.

THE LOCATIONS MOST LIKELY TO REALIZE THE GREATEST FLOODING
INCLUDE WILL BE NEAR VERMILION BAY TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY.


$$

LAZ044-045-290445-
/O.CON.KLCH.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.CON.KLCH.HU.A.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
LAFAYETTE-UPPER ST. MARTIN-
1140 PM CDT MON AUG 27 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN UPPER ST. MARTIN...SCHOOLS WILL CLOSE AT 1 PM TUESDAY AND
REMAIN CLOSED THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS 4 TO
10 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT
THIS TIME IS UP TO 84 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL
STEADY TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST.

THE ONSET OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS COULD START AS EARLY AS
TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

...WINDS...
AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN WEDNESDAY MORNING. MAXIMUM
WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 30 TO 40 MPH RANGE WITH GUSTS TO
60 MPH.

MINOR DAMAGE MAY OCCUR TO OLDER MOBILE HOMES. RESIDENTS
SHOULD MOVE LOOSE ITEMS INDOORS...SUCH AS GARBAGE CANS AND OUTDOOR
FURNITURE...AS THEY WILL BE BLOWN AROUND. NEWLY PLANTED OR YOUNG
TREES AND SHRUBS MAY BE UPROOTED IF NOT SECURED PROPERLY. ISOLATED
POWER OUTAGES WILL BE POSSIBLE.

...INLAND FLOODING...
STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES WITH ISOLATED
AMOUNTS TO 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE. WHILE NOT A SIGNIFICANT
THREAT...SOME MINOR FLOODING OF POOR DRAINAGE AREAS IS POSSIBLE.

$$

LAZ029-033-290445-
/O.CON.KLCH.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
AVOYELLES-ST. LANDRY-
1140 PM CDT MON AUG 27 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

LSU AT EUNICE WILL CLOSE AT 3 PM ON TUESDAY AND REMAIN CLOSED
WEDNESDAY.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS VERY SMALL.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
UP TO 77 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL
STEADY TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST.

...WINDS...
AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN EARLY WEDNESDAY EVENING.
MAXIMUM WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 30 TO 40 MPH RANGE WITH
GUSTS TO 60 MPH.

MINOR DAMAGE MAY OCCUR TO OLDER MOBILE HOMES. RESIDENTS SHOULD
MOVE LOOSE ITEMS INDOORS...SUCH AS GARBAGE CANS AND OUTDOOR
FURNITURE...AS THEY WILL BE BLOWN AROUND. NEWLY PLANTED OR YOUNG
TREES AND SHRUBS MAY BE UPROOTED IF NOT SECURED PROPERLY. ISOLATED
POWER OUTAGES WILL BE POSSIBLE.

...INLAND FLOODING...
STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE WITH
ISOLATED AMOUNTS NEAR 6 INCHES. WHILE NOT A SIGNIFICANT
THREAT...SOME MINOR FLOODING OF POOR DRAINAGE AREAS IS POSSIBLE.

$$

LAZ027-028-030>032-041>043-290445-
/O.CON.KLCH.TR.A.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
VERNON-RAPIDES-BEAUREGARD-ALLEN-EVANGELINE-CALCASIEU-
JEFFERSON DAVIS-ACADIA-
1140 PM CDT MON AUG 27 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

LSU AT EUNICE WILL CLOSE AT 3 PM ON TUESDAY AND REMAIN CLOSED ON WEDNESDAY.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS VERY SMALL.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
UP TO 65 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL DOWNWARD TREND SINCE
THE LAST FORECAST.

...WINDS...
AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC MOVES CLOSER...THE THREAT FOR SUSTAINED
HIGH WINDS IS MAY INCREASE. THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR WINDS TO
REMAIN BELOW TROPICAL STORM FORCE. HOWEVER...A SLIGHT JOG TO THE
WEST MAY PUT SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM WINDS INTO THE AREA FROM
LAKE CHARLES TO FORT POLK TO ALEXANDRIA.

$$

LAZ073-074-290445-
/O.CON.KLCH.TR.A.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
WEST CAMERON-EAST CAMERON-
1140 PM CDT MON AUG 27 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THE CAMERON PARISH OFFICE OF HOMELAND SECURITY AND EMERGENCY
PREPAREDNESS IS ADVISING RESIDENTS WHO LIVE IN CAMPERS AND DO NOT
FEEL SAFE TO RELOCATE TO A STURDY STRUCTURE. THIS IS NOT AN
EVACUATION NOTICE.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS VERY SMALL.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
UP TO 50 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL DOWNWARD TREND SINCE
THE LAST FORECAST.

...WINDS...
AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC MOVES CLOSER...THE THREAT FOR SUSTAINED
HIGH WINDS MAY INCREASE. THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR WINDS TO
REMAIN BELOW TROPICAL STORM FORCE.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
IT IS STILL TOO EARLY TO DETERMINE THE EXACT HEIGHTS OF COMBINED
STORM SURGE AND TIDE WATERS FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS WITHIN THE
FORECAST AREA TO BE CAUSED BY TROPICAL STORM ISAAC. MUCH DEPENDS
ON THE PRECISE SIZE...INTENSITY AND TRACK OF THE SYSTEM AS IT
APPROACHES THE COAST. GIVEN THE LATEST FORECAST...THERE IS A
CHANCE FOR COMBINED STORM SURGE AND ASTRONOMICAL TIDE WATERS UP
TO 1 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL WITHIN AREAS CLOSER TO THE COAST...
RESULTING IN WORST CASE FLOOD INUNDATION UP TO 1 FEET ABOVE
GROUND LEVEL SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE SURGE ZONE.

AT THIS TIME...THERE IS A GENERAL CONCERN FOR THE CHANCE OF AREAS
OF MINOR COASTAL FLOODING.

$$

GMZ435-455-475-290445-
/O.CON.KLCH.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.CON.KLCH.HU.A.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
VERMILION BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY
LA OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA FROM
20 TO 60 NM-
1140 PM CDT MON AUG 27 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...


&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS LESS THAN OR
EQUAL TO 12 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 84 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A
GENERAL STEADY TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST.


...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATE TUESDAY MORNING. MAXIMUM
WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 30 TO 40 KNOTS RANGE WITH GUSTS
TO 55 KNOTS. SEAS OF 6 TO 12 FEET ARE EXPECTED WITH THE HIGHEST
SEAS EXPECTED FROM 20 TO 60 MILES OFFSHORE.

$$

GMZ452-472-290445-
/O.CON.KLCH.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM  INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
1140 PM CDT MON AUG 27 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

&&


...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS VERY SMALL.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
UP TO 59 PERCENT.THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL STEADY TREND SINCE THE
LAST FORECAST. THE ONSET OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS COULD START
AS EARLY AS TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING.
MAXIMUM WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 25 TO 35 KNOTS RANGE WITH
GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS.

SEAS WILL BEGIN INCREASING TUESDAY AND PEAK IN THE 7 TO 11 FOOT
RANGE BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.

$$

GMZ432-290445-
/O.CON.KLCH.TR.A.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
CALCASIEU LAKE-
1140 PM CDT MON AUG 27 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...



&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
29 TO 34 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL DOWNWARD TREND SINCE
THE LAST FORECAST.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC MOVES CLOSER...THE THREAT FOR SUSTAINED
HIGH WINDS IS LIKELY TO INCREASE. THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR
WINDS TO REMAIN BELOW TROPICAL STORM FORCE. HOWEVER LAKES WILL
SEE VERY ROUGH WATERS STARTING TUESDAY EVENING INTO WEDNESDAY.

$$







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