[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Mon Aug 27 10:41:51 CDT 2012


WTUS84 KLCH 271541
HLSLCH

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL STORM ISAAC LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1041 AM CDT MON AUG 27 2012

...ISAAC CONTINUES TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWEST OVER THE EASTERN GULF
OF MEXICO...

.NEW INFORMATION...
THIS FORECAST REMAINS GENERALLY UNCHANGED FROM THE PREVIOUS
FORECAST, HOWEVER PROBABILITIES ARE INCREASING DUE TO INCREASED
CONFIDENCE IN THE TRACK OF ISAAC.

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT
LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATER LEGS OF SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA...
SOUTHEAST TEXAS AND ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE
FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...LAFAYETTE...UPPER ST. MARTIN...VERMILION...
IBERIA...ST. MARY AND LOWER ST. MARTIN.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE
WATCH CONTINUES FOR PORTIONS OF GULF OF MEXICO WATERS AND
ADJACENT COASTAL LAKES AND BAYS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
AVOYELLES...ST. LANDRY.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
VERNON...RAPIDES...BEAUREGARD...ALLEN...EVANGELINE...CALCASIEU...
JEFFERSON DAVIS...ACADIA...WEST CAMERON AND EAST CAMERON.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR
PORTIONS OF GULF OF MEXICO WATERS AND ADJACENT COASTAL LAKES AND
BAYS.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 10 AM CDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ISAAC WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 26.1N...LONGITUDE 85.3W. THIS WAS ABOUT 550 MILES
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF CAMERON LA...OR ABOUT 430 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST
OF MORGAN CITY LA. STORM MOTION WAS NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 14 MPH.
STORM INTENSITY WAS 65 MPH.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
WHEN MAKING DECISIONS...DO NOT FOCUS ON THE EXACT FORECAST TRACK. TO
DO SO COULD RESULT IN BAD DECISIONS AND PLACE YOU OR THOSE YOU ARE
RESPONSIBLE FOR AT GREATER RISK. IT IS CURRENTLY FORECAST TO MAKE
LANDFALL AS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE NEAR VENICE LOUISIANA TUESDAY
AFTERNOON.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR THOSE UNDER A WARNING...NOW IS THE TIME TO RUSH TO COMPLETION
PREPARATIONS FOR THE PROTECTION OF LIFE AND PROPERTY. EVACUATE IF
DIRECTED TO DO SO BY LOCAL OFFICIALS...OR IF YOUR HOME IS
VULNERABLE TO HIGH WINDS OR FLOODING.

FOR INTERESTS AT PORTS...DOCKS...AND MARINAS...URGENTLY COMPLETE
PRESCRIBED PREPARATIONS ACCORDING TO YOUR EMERGENCY OPERATIONS
PLAN FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES. IF YOU LIVE ON A BOAT...MAKE FINAL
PREPARATIONS FOR SECURING YOUR CRAFT BEFORE LEAVING IT. BE SURE
TO ACCOUNT FOR THE POSSIBLE CLOSURE OF BRIDGES AND CAUSEWAYS.

REGARDING ANY COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WARNING...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD
REMAIN IN PORT AND WELL SECURED.

FOR THOSE UNDER A WATCH...CONTINUE WITH YOUR PREPARATIONS AND
LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

REGARDING ANY COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WATCH...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD
RETURN TO PORT OR SEEK SAFE HARBOR. DETERMINE THE BEST STRATEGY
FOR SECURING YOUR CRAFT.

CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS
FOR OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO
THE FORECAST.

FOR ADDITIONAL PRECAUTIONARY AND PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION...
PLEASE REFER TO THE DETAILED RECOMMENDATIONS RELATIVE TO YOUR
LOCATION AS FURTHER DESCRIBED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE AND LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN LAKE CHARLES AROUND 2 PM CDT...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

LAZ052>055-281545-
/O.CON.KLCH.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.CON.KLCH.HU.A.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
VERMILION-IBERIA-ST. MARY-LOWER ST. MARTIN-
1041 AM CDT MON AUG 27 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FINAL ACTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE COMPLETED
BEFORE CONDITIONS DETERIORATE. COVER WINDOWS AND DOORS WITH
SHUTTERS OR PLYWOOD. MOVE PATIO FURNITURE AND OTHER LOOSE OUTDOOR
OBJECTS INSIDE. BRACE ALL EXTERIOR DOORS...INCLUDING GARAGE DOORS.

COMPLY WITH ANY EVACUATION ORDERS ISSUED FOR YOUR AREA. IF YOU
LIVE IN A MOBILE HOME...LEAVE IT FOR MORE SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF
YOUR HOME IS VULNERABLE TO HIGH WINDS...OR YOU LIVE IN A SURGE
ZONE OR ANY LOCATION PRONE TO FLOODING...EVACUATE TO A DESIGNATED
SHELTER OR RIDE OUT THE STORM IN THE STURDY HOME OF FAMILY OR
FRIENDS OUTSIDE OF EVACUATION ZONES.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO
22 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT
THIS TIME IS UP TO 85 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL
UPWARD TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST. THE ONSET OF TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS COULD START AS EARLY AS TUESDAY MORNING.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC APPROACHES THE COAST...THERE IS AN
INCREASING CHANCE FOR COMBINED STORM SURGE AND ASTRONOMICAL TIDE
WATERS UP TO 4 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL WITHIN AREAS CLOSER TO
THE COAST...RESULTING IN WORST CASE FLOOD INUNDATION OF 2 TO
4 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE SURGE ZONE.

...INLAND FLOODING...
2 TO 4 INCHES OF RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM. AT
THIS TIME...THE INLAND FLOODING THREAT IS LOW ACROSS SOUTH
CENTRAL LOUISIANA.


$$

LAZ027-028-030>032-041>043-281545-
/O.CON.KLCH.TR.A.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
VERNON-RAPIDES-BEAUREGARD-ALLEN-EVANGELINE-CALCASIEU-
JEFFERSON DAVIS-ACADIA-
1041 AM CDT MON AUG 27 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE MADE AS SOON AS POSSIBLE...BEFORE
CONDITIONS DETERIORATE. KEEP INFORMED WHILE LISTENING FOR POSSIBLE
WARNINGS. SECURE LOOSE OUTDOOR OBJECTS WHICH CAN BE BLOWN AROUND.
STRONGLY CONSIDER EVACUATING IF YOU LIVE IN A MOBILE HOME...AND DO
SO IF ORDERED BY LOCAL OFFICIALS.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS LESS THAN OR
EQUAL TO 9 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 70 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A
GENERAL UPWARD TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST.


$$

LAZ029-033-281545-
/O.CON.KLCH.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
AVOYELLES-ST. LANDRY-
1041 AM CDT MON AUG 27 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FINAL PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE
COMPLETED BEFORE CONDITIONS DETERIORATE. THE ONSET OF GUSTY WINDS
AND HEAVY RAINS CAN CAUSE OUTSIDE ACTIVITIES TO BECOME DANGEROUS.
SECURE LOOSE OUTDOOR OBJECTS WHICH CAN BE BLOWN AROUND. IF YOU
LIVE IN A MOBILE HOME...LEAVE IT FOR MORE SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS 6 TO
13 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT
THIS TIME IS UP TO 78 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL
UPWARD TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST. THE ONSET OF TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS COULD START AS EARLY AS TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

...INLAND FLOODING...
2 TO 4 INCHES OF RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM. AT
THIS TIME...THE INLAND FLOODING THREAT IS LOW ACROSS SOUTH
CENTRAL LOUISIANA.

$$

LAZ044-045-281545-
/O.CON.KLCH.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.CON.KLCH.HU.A.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
LAFAYETTE-UPPER ST. MARTIN-
1041 AM CDT MON AUG 27 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FINAL ACTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE COMPLETED
BEFORE CONDITIONS DETERIORATE. COVER WINDOWS AND DOORS WITH
SHUTTERS OR PLYWOOD. MOVE PATIO FURNITURE AND OTHER LOOSE OUTDOOR
OBJECTS INSIDE. BRACE ALL EXTERIOR DOORS...INCLUDING GARAGE DOORS.

COMPLY WITH ANY EVACUATION ORDERS ISSUED FOR YOUR AREA. IF YOU
LIVE IN A MOBILE HOME...LEAVE IT FOR MORE SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF
YOUR HOME IS VULNERABLE TO HIGH WINDS...OR YOU LIVE IN A SURGE
ZONE OR ANY LOCATION PRONE TO FLOODING...EVACUATE TO A DESIGNATED
SHELTER OR RIDE OUT THE STORM IN THE STURDY HOME OF FAMILY OR
FRIENDS OUTSIDE OF EVACUATION ZONES.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS 9 TO
18 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT
THIS TIME IS UP TO 83 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL
UPWARD TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST. THE ONSET OF TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS COULD START AS EARLY AS TUESDAY MORNING.

...INLAND FLOODING...
2 TO 4 INCHES OF RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM. AT
THIS TIME...THE INLAND FLOODING THREAT IS LOW ACROSS SOUTH
CENTRAL LOUISIANA.

$$

GMZ435-455-475-281545-
/O.CON.KLCH.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.CON.KLCH.HU.A.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
VERMILION BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY
LA OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA FROM
20 TO 60 NM-
1041 AM CDT MON AUG 27 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BOAT OWNERS AND CAPTAINS OF SMALL CRAFT SHOULD RUSH TO COMPLETION
THE SECURING OF THEIR CRAFT.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO
20 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT
THIS TIME IS UP TO 82 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL
UPWARD TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN TUESDAY MORNING. MAXIMUM WINDS
ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 30 TO 40 KNOTS RANGE WITH GUSTS TO
55 KNOTS. SEAS OF 11 TO 16 FEET ARE EXPECTED.

$$

LAZ073-074-281545-
/O.CON.KLCH.TR.A.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
WEST CAMERON-EAST CAMERON-
1041 AM CDT MON AUG 27 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE MADE AS SOON AS POSSIBLE...BEFORE
CONDITIONS DETERIORATE. KEEP INFORMED WHILE LISTENING FOR POSSIBLE
WARNINGS. SECURE LOOSE OUTDOOR OBJECTS WHICH CAN BE BLOWN AROUND.
STRONGLY CONSIDER EVACUATING IF YOU LIVE IN A MOBILE HOME...AND DO
SO IF ORDERED BY LOCAL OFFICIALS.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS LESS THAN OR
EQUAL TO 7 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 60 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A
GENERAL UPWARD TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST.


...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
TIDE LEVELS NEAR NORMAL ARE EXPECTED DURING HIGH TIDE CYCLES
TODAY. AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC APPROACHES THE GULF COAST...NORTH
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO FIRST LOWER THE TIDES BY 2 TO 3 FEET BELOW
NORMAL TUESDAY BUT AS THE STORM MOVES INLAND TIDES WILL BE ABOUT
1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ON WEDNESDAY.


$$

GMZ432-281545-
/O.CON.KLCH.TR.A.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
CALCASIEU LAKE-
1041 AM CDT MON AUG 27 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BOAT OWNERS AND CAPTAINS OF SMALL CRAFT NEED TO DETERMINE THE
BEST STRATEGY FOR SECURING THEIR CRAFT.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS VERY SMALL.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
42 TO 46 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL
UPWARD TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC MOVES CLOSER...THE THREAT FOR SUSTAINED
HIGH WINDS IS LIKELY TO INCREASE. THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR
WINDS TO REMAIN BELOW TROPICAL STORM FORCE, HOWEVER LAKES WILL
SEE VERY ROUGH WATERS STARTING TUESDAY EVENING INTO WEDNESDAY. $$

GMZ452-472-281530-
/O.CON.KLCH.TR.A.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM  INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
1041 AM CDT MON AUG 27 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BOAT OWNERS AND CAPTAINS OF SMALL CRAFT NEED TO DETERMINE THE
BEST STRATEGY FOR SECURING THEIR CRAFT.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS LESS THAN OR
EQUAL TO 10 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 66 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A
GENERAL UPWARD TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST.


...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC MOVES CLOSER...THE THREAT FOR SUSTAINED
HIGH WINDS IS LIKELY TO INCREASE. THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR
WINDS TO RANGE FROM 25 TO 40 KNOTS. SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO BUILD
INTO THE 6 TO 14 FEET RANGE.

$$






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