[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

Sun Aug 26 17:51:53 CDT 2012

WTUS82 KTBW 262251
HLSTBW

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL STORM ISAAC LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
651 PM EDT SUN AUG 26 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF WEST
CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA...

.NEW INFORMATION...
UPDATED WIND...SURGE AND INLAND FLOODING SECTIONS.

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT
LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATER LEGS OF FLORIDA WEST WEST COAST AND
THE GULF OF MEXICO.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
PINELLAS...HILLSBOROUGH...POLK...MANATEE...HARDEE...HIGHLANDS...
SARASOTA...DESOTO...CHARLOTTE AND LEE.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE COASTAL WATERS FROM BONITA BEACH TO SUWANNEE RIVER OUT TO
60 NM INCLUDING TAMPA BAY.

ALTHOUGH TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE NOT IN EFFECT
FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...LEVY...CITRUS...HERNANDO AND
PASCO...POSSIBLE IMPACTS FROM RELATED HAZARDS ARE STILL A
CONCERN.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 5 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ISAAC WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 24.2N...LONGITUDE 82.3W. THIS WAS ABOUT 240 MILES SOUTH
OF MOUTH OF TAMPA BAY FL...OR ABOUT 160 MILES SOUTH OF FORT MYERS
FL. STORM MOTION WAS WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 16 MPH. STORM INTENSITY
WAS 60 MPH.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
A GENERAL NORTHWEST MOTION IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...
WITH A GRADUAL DECREASE IN SPEED. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE
CENTER IS EXPECTED TO MOVE AWAY FROM THE FLORIDA KEYS TONIGHT...
MOVE OVER THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO ON MONDAY...AND APPROACH THE
NORTHERN GULF COAST ON TUESDAY. THE MAIN IMPACTS WITH ISAAC
WILL BE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL...STRONG GUSTY WINDS...ISOLATED
TORNADOES...AND LOCALIZED FLOODING. CONDITIONS WILL START TO
DETERIORATE FROM SOUTH TO NORTH TONIGHT.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR THOSE UNDER A WARNING...NOW IS THE TIME TO RUSH TO COMPLETION
PREPARATIONS FOR THE PROTECTION OF LIFE AND PROPERTY. EVACUATE IF
DIRECTED TO DO SO BY LOCAL OFFICIALS...OR IF YOUR HOME IS
VULNERABLE TO HIGH WINDS OR FLOODING.

FOR INTERESTS AT PORTS...DOCKS...AND MARINAS...URGENTLY COMPLETE
PRESCRIBED PREPARATIONS ACCORDING TO YOUR EMERGENCY OPERATIONS
PLAN FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES. IF YOU LIVE ON A BOAT...MAKE FINAL
PREPARATIONS FOR SECURING YOUR CRAFT BEFORE LEAVING IT. BE SURE
TO ACCOUNT FOR THE POSSIBLE CLOSURE OF BRIDGES AND CAUSEWAYS.

REGARDING ANY COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WARNING...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD
REMAIN IN PORT AND WELL SECURED.

FOR ADDITIONAL PRECAUTIONARY AND PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION...
PLEASE REFER TO THE DETAILED RECOMMENDATIONS RELATIVE TO YOUR
LOCATION AS FURTHER DESCRIBED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE AND LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN TAMPA BAY RUSKIN AROUND 12 AM EDT...OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

FLZ039-272300-
/O.NEW.KTBW.HU.S.1009.120826T2251Z-000000T0000Z/
LEVY-
651 PM EDT SUN AUG 26 2012

...MINOR COASTAL FLOODING STILL EXPECTED...

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
ALTHOUGH THE CORE OF TROPICAL STORM ISAAC IS NOT CURRENTLY
PREDICTED TO MOVE ACROSS COASTAL SECTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA...
THERE IS STILL A CHANCE FOR COMBINED STORM SURGE AND
ASTRONOMICAL TIDE WATERS RESULTING IN A WORST CASE FLOOD
INUNDATION OF UP TO 4 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL.

...INLAND FLOODING...
2 TO 4 INCHES OF RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM. THIS
COULD RESULT IN MINOR FLOODING OF LOW-LYING AND NORMALLY FLOOD-
PRONE AREAS.

...TORNADOES...
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE AS RAIN BANDS FROM ISAAC MOVE
THROUGH THE AREA.

$$

FLZ042-048-049-272300-
/O.NEW.KTBW.HU.S.1009.120826T2251Z-000000T0000Z/
CITRUS-HERNANDO-PASCO-
651 PM EDT SUN AUG 26 2012

...MINOR COASTAL FLOODING STILL EXPECTED...

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
ALTHOUGH THE CORE OF TROPICAL STORM ISAAC IS NOT CURRENTLY
PREDICTED TO MOVE ACROSS COASTAL SECTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA...
THERE IS STILL A CHANCE FOR TIDES TO BE UP TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL
WITH MINOR COASTAL FLOODING POSSIBLE.

...INLAND FLOODING...
1 TO 3 INCHES OF RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM. THIS
COULD RESULT IN MINOR FLOODING OF LOW-LYING AND NORMALLY FLOOD-
PRONE AREAS.

...TORNADOES...
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE AS RAIN BANDS FROM ISAAC MOVE
THROUGH THE AREA.

$$

FLZ050-051-272300-
/O.CON.KTBW.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
PINELLAS-HILLSBOROUGH-
651 PM EDT SUN AUG 26 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE COMPLETED AS SOON AS POSSIBLE
BEFORE THE ONSET OF GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY RAINS WHICH CAN CAUSE
OUTSIDE ACTIVITIES TO BECOME DANGEROUS.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
UP TO 39 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL DOWNWARD TREND SINCE
THE LAST FORECAST.

...WINDS...
THE LATEST AREA FORECAST IS FOR MAXIMUM WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH
WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH. HOWEVER...AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC
APPROACHES...STRONGER WINDS ARE STILL POSSIBLE IN RAIN BANDS.
CONTINUE TO CLOSELY MONITOR THE FORECAST FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT
CHANGES AND BE READY TO ACT.

MINOR DAMAGE MAY OCCUR TO OLDER MOBILE HOMES. RESIDENTS SHOULD
MOVE LOOSE ITEMS INDOORS...SUCH AS GARBAGE CANS AND OUTDOOR
FURNITURE...AS THEY WILL BE BLOWN AROUND. NEWLY PLANTED OR YOUNG
TREES AND SHRUBS MAY BE UPROOTED IF NOT SECURED PROPERLY.
ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES WILL BE POSSIBLE.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
ALTHOUGH THE CORE OF TROPICAL STORM ISAAC IS NOT CURRENTLY
PREDICTED TO MOVE ACROSS COASTAL SECTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA...
THERE IS STILL A CHANCE FOR TIDES TO BE UP TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL
WITH MINOR COASTAL FLOODING POSSIBLE.

THE MOST LIKELY PERIOD OF IMPACT WILL BE DURING HIGH TIDES ON
MONDAY.

THERE IS A SIGNIFICANT THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY FROM COASTAL
FLOODING...POTENTIALLY HAVING A MODERATE IMPACT. THE CONCERN IS
FOR THE CHANCE OF MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING TO OCCUR IN AREAS
WITHIN THE SURGE ZONE...RESULTING IN DAMAGING AND LIFE-
THREATENING INUNDATION. IF REALIZED...PEOPLE WITHIN THE
THREATENED AREAS WHO FAILED TO HEED OFFICIAL EVACUATION ORDERS
WILL HAVE NEEDLESSLY PLACED THEIR LIVES IN DANGER. THIS IS
ESPECIALLY TRUE FOR THOSE STAYING BEHIND IN VULNERABLE LOCATIONS
SUCH AS HOMES AND BUSINESSES NEAR THE SHORE...AND ONE STORY
DWELLINGS IN FLOOD-PRONE AREAS.

SEVERAL COASTAL COMMUNITIES WILL LIKELY BE DAMAGED...WITH THOSE
STRUCTURES NOT RAISED OR PROTECTED BY A SEAWALL BEING SUBJECT TO
SIGNIFICANT FLOODING...ESPECIALLY DURING HIGH TIDE. LARGE WAVES
AND POUNDING SURF WILL ACCENTUATE PROPERTY DAMAGE IN EXPOSED
LOCATIONS. FLOOD WATERS MAY EXTEND WELL INLAND IN SPOTS. MANY
CARS WILL LIKELY BE SUBMERGED OR WASHED AWAY.

SUBSTANTIAL BEACH EROSION WILL OCCUR. MANY ROADS WILL LIKELY BE
DAMAGED OR WASHED OUT BY THE FLOOD WATERS...LEAVING SECTIONS OF
COASTAL COMMUNITIES IN FLOOD PRONE AREAS TEMPORARILY CUT OFF.
ROADWAY TRAVEL MAY BE DANGEROUS WITH SEVERAL ROADS CLOSED.

...INLAND FLOODING...
2 TO 4 INCHES OF RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM. THIS
COULD RESULT IN MINOR FLOODING OF LOW-LYING AND NORMALLY FLOOD-
PRONE AREAS.

...TORNADOES...
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE AS RAIN BANDS FROM ISAAC MOVE
THROUGH THE AREA.

$$

FLZ055-060-272300-
/O.CON.KTBW.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
MANATEE-SARASOTA-
651 PM EDT SUN AUG 26 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE COMPLETED AS SOON AS POSSIBLE
BEFORE THE ONSET OF GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY RAINS WHICH CAN CAUSE
OUTSIDE ACTIVITIES TO BECOME DANGEROUS.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
UP TO 46 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL DOWNWARD TREND SINCE
THE LAST FORECAST.

...WINDS...
THE LATEST AREA FORECAST IS FOR MAXIMUM WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WITH
GUSTS TO 45 MPH. HOWEVER...AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC APPROACHES...
STRONGER WINDS ARE STILL POSSIBLE IN RAIN BANDS. CONTINUE TO
CLOSELY MONITOR THE FORECAST FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT CHANGES AND BE
READY TO ACT.