[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS84 KMOB 261653
HLSMOB

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL STORM ISAAC LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1153 AM CDT SUN AUG 26 2012

...TROPICAL STORM ISAAC NEARING THE FLORIDA KEYS...

.NEW INFORMATION...
UPDATED WIND AND STORM SURGE INFORMATION.

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT
LOCATIONS OF INLAND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...
THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND GULF COASTAL WATERS DESTIN TO
PASCAGOULA OUT 60 NM.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A HURRICANE WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...LOWER
MOBILE...LOWER BALDWIN...COASTAL ESCAMBIA...COASTAL SANTA ROSA
AND COASTAL OKALOOSA.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A HURRICANE WATCH CONTINUES FOR ALL OF
GULF COASTAL WATERS DESTIN TO PASCAGOULA OUT 60 NM.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 11 AM CDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ISAAC WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 23.9N...LONGITUDE 80.8W. THIS WAS ABOUT 650 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF MOBILE AL. ISAAC IS MOVING TO THE WEST NORTHWEST AT
18 MPH. STORM INTENSITY WAS 65 MPH.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...

TROPICAL STORM ISAAC IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE AS IT MOVES
NORTHWEST ACROSS THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO ON MONDAY
AND TUESDAY. THE LATEST FORECAST TRACK BRINGS ISAAC TO THE NORTH
CENTRAL GULF COAST BY EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. WHILE THE EXACT TRACK
REMAINS UNCERTAIN...ISAAC WILL LIKELY IMPACT COASTAL ALABAMA AND THE
WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE BEGINNING LATE MONDAY EVENING OR EARLY
TUESDAY MORNING AS TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE.
CONDITIONS ARE THEN EXPECTED TO DETERIORATE FURTHER TUESDAY AND
TUESDAY NIGHT...WITH HURRICANE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE LATE TUESDAY NIGHT
INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE COAST. THE TIMING OF THE
HIGHER WINDS MAY NEED TO BE ADJUSTED DEPENDING ON THE FORWARD SPEED
OF ISAAC.

IT IS TOO EARLY TO PROVIDE EXACT WIND...RAIN AND SURGE FORECAST
VALUES FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS...BUT THE PROGRESS OF ISAAC SHOULD BE
MONITORED CAREFULLY OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAY. WHEN MAKING
DECISIONS...DO NOT FOCUS ON THE EXACT FORECAST TRACK. A GENERAL
CONCERN SHOULD BE FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF HURRICANE CONDITIONS.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR THOSE UNDER A WATCH...NOW IS THE TIME TO BEGIN PREPARING YOUR
HOME OR BUSINESS ACCORDING TO YOUR HURRICANE DISASTER PLAN. LISTEN
FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS AND BE READY TO EVACUATE IF NECESSARY. HEED THE
ADVICE OF LOCAL OFFICIALS AND COMPLY WITH ANY ORDERS THAT ARE ISSUED.

FOR INTERESTS AT PORTS...DOCKS...AND MARINAS...IT IS RECOMMENDED
THAT YOU PERFORM THE PRESCRIBED PREPARATIONS ACCORDING TO YOUR
EMERGENCY OPERATIONS PLAN FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES. IF YOU LIVE ON A
BOAT...BEGIN TO SAFELY SECURE YOUR CRAFT AND MAKE PLANS TO LEAVE
IT FOR ADEQUATE LAND BASED SHELTER. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

REGARDING THE COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WATCH...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD
RETURN TO PORT OR SEEK SAFE HARBOR.

CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS
FOR OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO
THE FORECAST.

FOR ADDITIONAL PRECAUTIONARY AND PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION...PLEASE
REFER TO THE DETAILED RECOMMENDATIONS RELATIVE TO YOUR LOCATION AS
FURTHER DESCRIBED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AND
YOUR LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN MOBILE AROUND 6 PM CDT...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

ALZ063-064-FLZ002-004-006-GMZ630-650-655-670-675-271700-
/O.CON.KMOB.HU.A.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
LOWER MOBILE-LOWER BALDWIN-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-COASTAL SANTA ROSA-
COASTAL OKALOOSA-MOBILE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
1153 AM CDT SUN AUG 26 2012

...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

STAY CALM AND KEEP INFORMED. COMPLY WITH ANY EVACUATION ORDERS THAT
ARE ISSUED FOR YOUR AREA. IF YOUR HOME IS VULNERABLE TO HIGH
WINDS...OR YOU LIVE IN A SURGE ZONE OR ANY LOCATION PRONE TO
FLOODING...EVACUATE TO A DESIGNATED SHELTER OR RIDE OUT THE STORM IN
THE STURDY HOME OF FAMILY OR FRIENDS OUTSIDE OF EVACUATION ZONES.

REGARDING YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS...COVER ALL WINDOWS AND DOORS WITH
SHUTTERS OR PLYWOOD. MOVE PATIO FURNITURE AND OTHER LOOSE OBJECTS
INDOORS. BRACE ALL EXTERIOR DOORS...INCLUDING GARAGE DOORS. DO THIS
AS EARLY AS POSSIBLE.

IF YOU NEED TO MAKE A TRIP TO THE HARDWARE STORE...THE GROCERY
STORE...OR THE GAS STATION...DO SO AS EARLY AS POSSIBLE. BOAT OWNERS
AND CAPTAINS OF SMALL CRAFT NEED TO DETERMINE THE BEST STRATEGY FOR
SECURING THEIR CRAFT.

&&

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC MOVES CLOSER...THE THREAT FOR SUSTAINED HIGH
WINDS IS LIKELY TO INCREASE. THE ONSET OF HURRICANE CONDITIONS COULD
START AS EARLY AS MONDAY EVENING OVER THE FAR OFFSHORE MARINE WATERS
AND BY TUESDAY NIGHT ALONG PORTIONS OF THE COAST. THE ONSET OF
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS COULD START AS EARLY AS MONDAY OVER THE
OFFSHORE WATERS AND MONDAY NIGHT ALONG THE COAST. THE TIMING OF THE
HIGHER WINDS MAY BE NEED TO BE ADJUSTED DEPENDING ON THE FORWARD
SPEED OF ISAAC.

SEAS WILL BEGIN TO QUICKLY BUILD MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT WITH SEAS OF
15 TO 25 FEET POSSIBLE BY TUESDAY.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
IT IS STILL TOO EARLY TO DETERMINE THE EXACT HEIGHTS OF COMBINED
STORM SURGE AND TIDE WATERS FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS WITHIN THE
FORECAST AREA TO BE CAUSED BY TROPICAL STORM ISAAC. MUCH DEPENDS
ON THE PRECISE SIZE...INTENSITY AND TRACK OF THE SYSTEM AS IT
APPROACHES THE COAST. GIVEN THE LATEST FORECAST...THERE IS A
CHANCE FOR COMBINED STORM SURGE AND ASTRONOMICAL TIDE WATERS OF 5
TO 8 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL WITHIN AREAS CLOSER TO THE COAST...
RESULTING IN WORST CASE FLOOD INUNDATION OF 4 TO 7 FEET ABOVE GROUND
LEVEL SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE SURGE ZONE.

...INLAND FLOODING...
DUE TO ABOVE NORMAL RAINFALL OVER A GOOD PORTION OF THE REGION OVER
THE LAST FEW MONTHS...THERE IS AN INCREASED POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING.
DEPENDING ON THE TRACK...5 TO 10 INCHES OF RAIN...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
TOTALS IS POSSIBLE THROUGH THURSDAY.

$$





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