[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS84 KMOB 261207
HLSMOB

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL STORM ISAAC LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
707 AM CDT SUN AUG 26 2012

...HURRICANE WATCH IN EFFECT...

.NEW INFORMATION...
A HURRICANE WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST
FLORIDA PANHANDLE COASTS.

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT
LOCATIONS OF INLAND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...
THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND GULF COASTAL WATERS DESTIN TO
PASCAGOULA OUT 60 NM.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A HURRICANE WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...LOWER
MOBILE...LOWER BALDWIN...COASTAL ESCAMBIA...COASTAL SANTA ROSA
AND COASTAL OKALOOSA.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A HURRICANE WATCH CONTINUES FOR ALL OF
GULF COASTAL WATERS DESTIN TO PASCAGOULA OUT 60 NM.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 6 AM CDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ISAAC WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 23.1N...LONGITUDE 79.0W. THIS WAS ABOUT 770 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF MOBILE AL...OR ABOUT 710 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
PENSACOLA FL. STORM MOTION WAS NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 18 MPH. STORM
INTENSITY WAS 65 MPH.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
TROPICAL STORM ISAAC IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE AS IT MOVES
NORTH ACROSS THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO ON MONDAY AND TUESDAY.
CURRENT DATA SUGGESTS THAT ISAAC WILL LIKELY IMPACT COASTAL ALABAMA
AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE BEGINNING LATE MONDAY AS TROPICAL
STORM CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE. CONDITIONS DETERIORATING FURTHER
TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...WITH HURRICANE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. IT
IS TOO EARLY TO PROVIDE EXACT WIND...RAIN AND SURGE FORECAST VALUES
FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS...BUT THE PROGRESS OF ISAAC SHOULD BE MONITORED
CAREFULLY OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAY.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR THOSE UNDER A WATCH...NOW IS THE TIME TO BEGIN PREPARING YOUR
HOME OR BUSINESS ACCORDING TO YOUR HURRICANE DISASTER PLAN. LISTEN
FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS AND BE READY TO EVACUATE IF NECESSARY. HEED THE
ADVICE OF LOCAL OFFICIALS AND COMPLY WITH ANY ORDERS THAT ARE ISSUED.

FOR INTERESTS AT PORTS...DOCKS...AND MARINAS...IT IS RECOMMENDED
THAT YOU PERFORM THE PRESCRIBED PREPARATIONS ACCORDING TO YOUR
EMERGENCY OPERATIONS PLAN FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES. IF YOU LIVE ON A
BOAT...BEGIN TO SAFELY SECURE YOUR CRAFT AND MAKE PLANS TO LEAVE
IT FOR ADEQUATE LAND BASED SHELTER. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

REGARDING THE COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WATCH...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD
RETURN TO PORT OR SEEK SAFE HARBOR.

CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS
FOR OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO
THE FORECAST.

FOR ADDITIONAL PRECAUTIONARY AND PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION...
PLEASE REFER TO THE DETAILED RECOMMENDATIONS RELATIVE TO YOUR
LOCATION AS FURTHER DESCRIBED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE AND YOUR LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN MOBILE AROUND 1 PM CDT...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

ALZ063-064-FLZ002-004-006-GMZ630-650-655-670-675-271215-
/O.CON.KMOB.HU.A.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
LOWER MOBILE-LOWER BALDWIN-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-COASTAL SANTA ROSA-
COASTAL OKALOOSA-MOBILE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
707 AM CDT SUN AUG 26 2012

...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

STAY CALM AND KEEP INFORMED. COMPLY WITH ANY EVACUATION ORDERS THAT
ARE ISSUED FOR YOUR AREA. IF YOUR HOME IS VULNERABLE TO HIGH
WINDS...OR YOU LIVE IN A SURGE ZONE OR ANY LOCATION PRONE TO
FLOODING...EVACUATE TO A DESIGNATED SHELTER OR RIDE OUT THE STORM IN
THE STURDY HOME OF FAMILY OR FRIENDS OUTSIDE OF EVACUATION ZONES.

REGARDING YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS...COVER ALL WINDOWS AND DOORS WITH
SHUTTERS OR PLYWOOD. MOVE PATIO FURNITURE AND OTHER LOOSE OBJECTS
INDOORS. BRACE ALL EXTERIOR DOORS...INCLUDING GARAGE DOORS. DO THIS
AS EARLY AS POSSIBLE.

IF YOU NEED TO MAKE A TRIP TO THE HARDWARE STORE...THE GROCERY
STORE...OR THE GAS STATION...DO SO AS EARLY AS POSSIBLE. BOAT OWNERS
AND CAPTAINS OF SMALL CRAFT NEED TO DETERMINE THE BEST STRATEGY FOR
SECURING THEIR CRAFT.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO
29 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT
THIS TIME IS UP TO 85 PERCENT. THE ONSET OF TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS COULD START AS EARLY AS MONDAY AFTERNOON. THE ONSET OF
HURRICANE CONDITIONS COULD START AS EARLY AS MONDAY EVENING OVER THE
OFFSHORE MARINE WATERS AND LATE TUESDAY ALONG THE COAST.

...WINDS...
AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC MOVES CLOSER...THE THREAT FOR SUSTAINED HIGH
WINDS IS LIKELY TO INCREASE. THE ONSET OF HURRICANE CONDITIONS COULD
START AS EARLY AS MONDAY EVENING OVER THE OFFSHORE MARINE WATERS AND
LATE TUESDAY ALONG THE COAST. THE ONSET OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS
COULD START AS EARLY AS MONDAY OVER THE OFFSHORE WATERS AND MONDAY
NIGHT ALONG THE COAST.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
IT IS STILL TOO EARLY TO DETERMINE THE EXACT HEIGHTS OF COMBINED
STORM SURGE AND TIDE WATERS FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS WITHIN THE
FORECAST AREA TO BE CAUSED BY TROPICAL STORM ISAAC. MUCH DEPENDS
ON THE PRECISE SIZE...INTENSITY AND TRACK OF THE SYSTEM AS IT
APPROACHES THE COAST. GIVEN THE LATEST FORECAST...THERE IS A
CHANCE FOR COMBINED STORM SURGE AND ASTRONOMICAL TIDE WATERS UP
TO 5 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL WITHIN AREAS CLOSER TO THE COAST...
RESULTING IN WORST CASE FLOOD INUNDATION OF 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE GROUND
LEVEL SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE SURGE ZONE.

...INLAND FLOODING...
EARLY ESTIMATES INDICATE THAT RAINFALL TOTALS MONDAY THROUGH
WEDNESDAY OF 5 TO 10 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA.
LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS WILL BE POSSIBLE. WILL HAVE TO CONTINUE TO
MONITOR THIS FOR THE POTENTIAL OF INLAND FLOODING.

...TORNADOES AND WATERSPOUTS...
THERE IS SOME POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED TORNADOES AS ISAAC APPROACHES
THE AREA ON TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY.

...COASTAL HAZARDS...
INCREASING DANGEROUS SURF AND RIP CURRENTS EXPECTED MONDAY THROUGH
WEDNESDAY.

$$





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