[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

[EMWIN Server]

ABNT20 KNHC 242344
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT FRI AUG 24 2012

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM ISAAC...LOCATED ABOUT 90 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF PORT AU
PRINCE HAITI.

A WEAK LOW PRESSURE AREA...THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
JOYCE...IS LOCATED ABOUT 900 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF THE
LEEWARD ISLANDS.  UPPER-LEVEL WINDS DO NOT APPEAR CONDUCIVE FOR THE
REMNANT LOW TO REGENERATE INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS.  THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE AGAIN DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT
MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TO NORTHWESTWARD AT ABOUT 20 MPH.

SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS CHANGED LITTLE IN ORGANIZATION
NEAR A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CENTERED ABOUT 200 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS.  ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE
MARGINALLY CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT...AND THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM
CHANCE...30 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 10 TO 15
MPH.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE


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