[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTCA82 TJSJ 231007
HLSSJU

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL STORM ISAAC LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
607 AM AST THU AUG 23 2012

...AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT FINDS ISAAC SLIGHTLY
WEAKER AND FARTHER SOUTH...

.NEW INFORMATION...
STORM INFORMATION SECTION UPDATED. STORM INTENSITY UPDATED.

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT
LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATER LEGS OF PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S.
VIRGIN ISLANDS COASTAL WATERS.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR ALL PUERTO RICO AND THE
U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR
ALL OF PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS COASTAL WATERS.

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF PUERTO RICO AND THE
U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS. PLEASE LISTEN CLOSELY FOR ANY FLOOD WARNINGS
THAT MIGHT BE IN EFFECT FOR YOUR AREA.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 5 AM AST...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ISAAC HAS REFORMED NEAR
LATITUDE 15.3N...LONGITUDE 64.0W. THIS WAS ABOUT 250 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF PONCE PR...OR ABOUT 170 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF
SAINT CROIX VI. STORM MOTION WAS W OR 270 DEGREES AT 12 MPH. SOME
ERRATIC MOTION TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST TO NORTHWEST COULD OCCUR
THIS MORNING... BUT A STEADY MOTION TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS
EXPECTED TO BEGIN BY THIS AFTERNOON OR TONIGHT. STORM INTENSITY
WAS 40 MPH.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
A GENERAL CONCERN CONTINUES TO BE THE POSSIBILITY OF HEAVY
RAINFALL...FLOODING AND SOME WIND DAMAGE ACROSS MANY SECTIONS OF
PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS. IN ADDITION...IT IS
BECOMING MORE PROBABLE THAT A STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS
BETWEEN 1 AND 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IN PUERTO RICO AND
THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS. NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE
ACCOMPANIED BY DANGEROUS WAVES.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR THOSE UNDER A WARNING...NOW IS THE TIME TO RUSH TO COMPLETION
PREPARATIONS FOR THE PROTECTION OF LIFE AND PROPERTY. EVACUATE IF
DIRECTED TO DO SO BY LOCAL OFFICIALS...OR IF YOUR HOME IS
VULNERABLE TO HIGH WINDS OR FLOODING.

FOR INTERESTS AT PORTS...DOCKS...AND MARINAS...URGENTLY COMPLETE
PRESCRIBED PREPARATIONS ACCORDING TO YOUR EMERGENCY OPERATIONS
PLAN FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES. IF YOU LIVE ON A BOAT...MAKE FINAL
PREPARATIONS FOR SECURING YOUR CRAFT BEFORE LEAVING IT. BE SURE
TO ACCOUNT FOR THE POSSIBLE CLOSURE OF BRIDGES AND CAUSEWAYS.

REGARDING ANY COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WARNING...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD
REMAIN IN PORT AND WELL SECURED.

FOR ADDITIONAL PRECAUTIONARY AND PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION...
PLEASE REFER TO THE DETAILED RECOMMENDATIONS RELATIVE TO YOUR
LOCATION AS FURTHER DESCRIBED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE AND LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN SAN JUAN AROUND 6 AM AST...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

PRZ001>013-VIZ001-002-241015-
/O.CON.TJSJ.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
SAN JUAN AND VICINITY-NORTHEAST-SOUTHEAST-EASTERN INTERIOR-
NORTH CENTRAL-CENTRAL INTERIOR-PONCE AND VICINITY-NORTHWEST-
WESTERN INTERIOR-MAYAGUEZ AND VICINITY-SOUTHWEST-CULEBRA-VIEQUES-
ST. THOMAS/ST. JOHN/ADJACENT ISLANDS-ST CROIX-
607 AM AST THU AUG 23 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FINAL PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE
COMPLETED BEFORE CONDITIONS DETERIORATE. THE ONSET OF GUSTY WINDS
AND HEAVY RAINS CAN CAUSE OUTSIDE ACTIVITIES TO BECOME DANGEROUS.
SECURE LOOSE OUTDOOR OBJECTS WHICH CAN BE BLOWN AROUND. IF YOU
LIVE IN A MOBILE HOME...LEAVE IT FOR MORE SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO
70 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL STEADY TREND SINCE THE LAST
FORECAST.

...INLAND FLOODING...
A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE AREA. SEE THE
LATEST FORECASTS FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE
FLOOD WARNINGS FOR YOUR LOCATION...AND BE READY TO ACT IF
FLOODING RAINS OCCUR.

RAINBANDS WITH EMBEDDED TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS ASSOCIATED WITH
TROPICAL STORM ISAAC WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO AND WILL BECOME MORE FREQUENT THIS
AFTERNOON. THESE RAINBANDS WILL EVENTUALLY GENERATE ENOUGH RUNOFF
TO CAUSE RAPID RIVER RISES ON AREA RIVERS...STREAMS AND GUTS.
TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL RANGE FROM 4 TO 8 INCHES INCHES WITH
LOCALIZED HIGHER AMOUNTS OF UP TO 10 INCHES POSSIBLE ACROSS THE
ISLANDS. MUDSLIDES AND DEBRIS FLOW ARE ALSO POSSIBLE IN AREAS OF
STEEP TERRAIN.

...WINDS...
AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN BY LATE THIS MORNING OVER
PORTIONS OF THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND BY LATE THIS MORNING
ACROSS SOUTH AND EAST PUERTO RICO. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE CURRENTLY
FORECAST TO BE IN THE 30 TO 50 MPH RANGE WITH HIGHER GUSTS.

LOCALIZED DAMAGING WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED. HOUSES OF POOR TO
AVERAGE CONSTRUCTION WILL SEE SOME DAMAGE. SOME WINDOWS WILL BE
BLOWN OUT. UNFASTENED HOME ITEMS OF LIGHT TO MODERATE WEIGHT CAN
EASILY BECOME PROJECTILES...CAUSING ADDITIONAL DAMAGE AND
POSSIBLE INJURY. ELECTRIC POLES WILL BE BLOWN DOWN IN ISOLATED
AREAS. MANY LARGE BRANCHES OF HEALTHY TREES MAY BE SNAPPED AND
WEAKENED. SMALL TO MEDIUM SIZED TREES MAY BE UPROOTED...
ESPECIALLY WHERE THE GROUND IS SATURATED...OR SNAPPED. POWER
OUTAGES WILL AFFECT ENTIRE NEIGHBORHOODS...ESPECIALLY IN AREAS
WITH SEVERAL DOWNED TREES AND POWER LINES.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
THE IMPACT FROM COMBINED STORM SURGE AND TIDE WATERS DEPEND ON
THE PRECISE SIZE...INTENSITY AND TRACK OF THE SYSTEM AS IT
APPROACHES THE COAST. AT THIS TIME...THE STORM SURGE IS FORECAST
TO RANGE FROM 1 TO 3 FEET...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER LEVELS IN
SOUTHWEST PUERTO RICO AND ST CROIX ON THIS AFTERNOON. REMEMBER...
STORM SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED WITH HIGH SEAS.

...TORNADOES...
ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE MOST LIKELY TO OCCUR ACROSS THE
FORECAST AREA IN THE OUTER RAIN BANDS...AS THE CENTER OF TROPICAL
STORM ISAAC APPROACHES THE LOCAL AREA AND THEN PASSES CLOSE TO
PUERTO RICO...AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS TODAY. REMEMBER...
TORNADOES CAN DEVELOP MANY MILES AWAY FROM THE TROPICAL CYCLONE
CENTER OF CIRCULATION.

$$

AMZ710-712-715-722-725-732-735-741-742-745-241015-
/O.CON.TJSJ.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
ATLC WATERS OF PUERTO RICO AND USVI FROM 10NM TO 19.5N-
COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-
COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHERN USVI AND CULEBRA OUT 10 NM-
ANEGADA PASSAGE SOUTHWARD TO 17N-
COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHERN USVI VIEQUES AND EASTERN PUERTO RICO
OUT 10 NM-CARIBBEAN WATERS OF PUERTO RICO FROM 10 NM TO 17N-
COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-
MONA PASSAGE SOUTHWARD TO 17N-
COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHWESTERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-
COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHWESTERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-
607 AM AST THU AUG 23 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BOAT OWNERS AND CAPTAINS OF SMALL CRAFT SHOULD RUSH TO COMPLETION
THE SECURING OF THEIR CRAFT.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS VERY SMALL.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
LESS THAN OR EQUAL TO 88 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL
STEADY TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN BY LATE THIS MORNING. MAXIMUM WINDS
ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 30 TO 40 KNOTS RANGE WITH GUSTS UP TO 55
KNOTS. HIGH SEAS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE LOCAL WATERS THIS
MORNING AND WILL BUILD SIGNIFICANTLY BY EARLY THIS AFTERNOON.
COMBINED SEAS ACROSS THE REGIONAL WATERS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH 13
TO 16 FEET OR GREATER.

...TORNADOES AND WATERSPOUTS...
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED WATERSPOUTS WILL BE MOST LIKELY TO OCCUR
ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA IN THE OUTER RAIN BANDS...AS THE CENTER
OF TROPICAL STORM ISAAC APPROACHES THE REGION AND THEN PASSES
ACROSS THE LOCAL WATERS OF PUERTO RICO...AND THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS THIS MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY. REMEMBER...WATERSPOUTS CAN
DEVELOP MANY MILES AWAY FROM THE TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER OF
CIRCULATION.

$$





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