[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

[EMWIN Server]

ABNT20 KNHC 171757
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT FRI AUG 17 2012

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM GORDON...LOCATED OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC OCEAN ABOUT 1100
MILES WEST OF THE AZORES.

DATA FROM AN OIL PLATFORM ALONG THE GULF COAST OF MEXICO SUGGEST
THAT A TROPICAL DEPRESSION MAY BE REGENERATING VERY CLOSE TO THE
COAST IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
SEVEN. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS SCHEDULED
TO INVESTIGATE THE SYSTEM LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND HELP DETERMINE
IF A TROPICAL CYCLONE HAS FORMED. IF ADVISORIES ARE INITIATED...A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH OR WARNING WOULD LIKELY BE REQUIRED FOR A
PORTION OF THE GULF COAST OF MEXICO. REGARDLESS OF WHETHER A
TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPS BEFORE THE SYSTEM MOVES INLAND...WINDS AT
OR NEAR TROPICAL STORM FORCE AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS WILL CONTINUE
TO AFFECT THE GULF COAST OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO AS THE
SYSTEM MOVES NORTHWESTWARD AT AROUND 10 MPH. THIS SYSTEM HAS A HIGH
CHANCE...80 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE AT ANY TIME IN
THE NEXT DAY OR SO BEFORE IT REACHES LAND.

DISORGANIZED SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY CONTINUES IN
ASSOCIATION WITH A TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED IN THE EASTERN ATLANTIC
BETWEEN THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS AND THE WEST COAST OF AFRICA. SOME
SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT FEW
DAYS. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A
TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES TOWARD THE
WEST AT 15 TO 20 MPH.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN/BERG


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