[Tropical] Tropical Cyclone Discussion

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT42 KNHC 111438
TCDAT2

REMNANTS OF SEVEN DISCUSSION NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL072012
1100 AM AST SAT AUG 11 2012

AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INVESTIGATING THE DEPRESSION
HAS OBSERVED SHARP WIND SHIFTS AT AN ALTITUDE OF 1000 FT...BUT IT
HAS BEEN UNABLE TO LOCATE A PERSISTENT AND WELL-DEFINED CENTER OF
CIRCULATION.  THE DEPRESSION HAS THEREFORE DEGENERATED INTO A
TROPICAL WAVE...AND ADVISORIES ARE BEING DISCONTINUED AT THIS TIME.
THE WAVE WILL BE MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION...AND
ADVISORIES WOULD BE RE-INITIATED IF NEEDED.

THE WAVE CONTINUES TO MOVE RAPIDLY TO THE WEST AT AN ESTIMATED SPEED
OF 22 KT.  THE AXIS OF THE WAVE SHOULD MOVE ACROSS THE LESSER
ANTILLES THIS EVENING AND THEN CONTINUE WESTWARD ACROSS THE
CARIBBEAN SEA DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS.  HEAVY RAINS AND WIND GUSTS
TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE ARE STILL POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE
LESSER ANTILLES LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT.

WE WOULD LIKE TO THANK THE AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTERS FOR
THEIR HARD WORK INVESTIGATING THE SYSTEM THIS MORNING.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  11/1500Z 13.3N  58.9W   30 KT  35 MPH
 12H  12/0000Z...DISSIPATED

$$
FORECASTER BERG/AVILA
 
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