[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Fri Aug 10 03:41:01 CDT 2012


WTNT35 KNHC 100840
TCPAT5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ERNESTO ADVISORY NUMBER  36
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052012
400 AM CDT FRI AUG 10 2012

...ERNESTO CONTINUING TO WEAKEN OVER THE MOUNTAINS OF MEXICO...HEAVY
RAIN THREAT CONTINUES...


SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.0N 97.8W
ABOUT 100 MI...160 KM NW OF OAXACA MEXICO
ABOUT 135 MI...215 KM SW OF VERACRUZ MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 265 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ERNESTO
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 97.8 WEST.  THE
DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/H...AND
THIS GENERAL MOTION SHOULD CONTINUE UNTIL THE SYSTEM DISSIPATES
LATER TODAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  ERNESTO IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE LATER TODAY AS THE CYCLONE
CONTINUES ACROSS THE HIGH TERRAIN OF SOUTHERN MEXICO.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...WIND GUSTS TO TROPICAL-STORM FORCE WILL CONTINUE IN A SMALL
AREA NEAR CENTER OF ERNESTO THIS MORNING.

RAINFALL...ERNESTO IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 5 INCHES OVER THE MEXICAN STATES OF
VERACRUZ...TABASCO...PUEBLA...OAXACA...AND GUERRERO THROUGH FRIDAY
NIGHT.  ISOLATED MAXIMUM STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES ARE
POSSIBLE IN ASSOCIATION WITH ERNESTO. THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS MAY
PRODUCE LIFE THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 AM CDT.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN


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