[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT35 KNHC 091740
TCPAT5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  33A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052012
100 PM CDT THU AUG 09 2012

...TORRENTIAL RAINS AND FLOODING ANTICIPATED AS ERNESTO SKIRTS THE
COAST OF MEXICO NEAR COATZACOALCOS...


SUMMARY OF 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.2N 94.6W
ABOUT 5 MI...10 KM N OF COATZACOALCOS MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 260 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...992 MB...29.29 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* VERACRUZ TO CHILITEPEC MEXICO

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA ...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS FROM MEXICO INDICATE THAT THE ERNESTO HAS BEEN
SKIRTING THE COAST IN THE VICINITY OF COATZACOALCOS. AT 100 PM
CDT...1800 UTC...THE CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.2 NORTH...
LONGITUDE 94.6 WEST. ERNESTO HAS BEEN DRIFTING WESTWARD NEAR 5
MPH...7 KM/H. A GENERAL SLOW MOTION TOWARD THE WEST OR
WEST-SOUTHWEST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.  ON THE
FORECAST TRACK...ERNESTO WILL BE MOVING OVER SOUTHERN MEXICO LATER
TODAY AND FRIDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  THESE STRONG WINDS ARE OCCURRING PRIMARILY OVER WATER NORTH
OF THE CENTER. WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS
THE CENTER OF ERNESTO MOVES OVER THE HIGH TERRAIN OF MEXICO.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM
MAINLY TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 992 MB...29.29 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD WESTWARD
ACROSS THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA TODAY.

RAINFALL...ERNESTO IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15
INCHES OVER THE MEXICAN STATES OF VERACRUZ...TABASCO...PUEBLA...AND
OAXACA THROUGH FRIDAY. THESE RAINS MAY PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING
FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES OVER AREAS OF HIGHER TERRAIN.

STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS
IS POSSIBLE IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS IN THE WARNING AREA ALONG THE
GULF COAST OF MEXICO. NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED
BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS WAVES.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 PM CDT.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
This weather bulletin was brought to you by:
www.nashvilleweather.net