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WTNT35 KNHC 040237
TCPAT5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052012
1100 PM AST FRI AUG 03 2012

...ERNESTO MOVING WESTWARD THROUGH THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN...INTERESTS
IN JAMAICA SHOULD MONITOR ITS PROGRESS...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.9N 65.6W
ABOUT 315 MI...505 KM S OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO
ABOUT 795 MI...1280 KM ESE OF KINGSTON JAMAICA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN JAMAICA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ERNESTO.  A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF JAMAICA ON
SATURDAY.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 65.6 WEST.   ERNESTO IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 18 MPH...30 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON
THE FORECAST TRACK ERNESTO WILL MOVE ACROSS THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL
CARIBBEAN SEA DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AND APPROACH JAMAICA ON
SUNDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SLOW STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 3 INCHES WITH
ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE LESSER
ANTILLES THROUGH TONIGHT.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM AST.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN



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