[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

[EMWIN Server]

ABNT20 KNHC 271754
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT TUE SEP 27 2011

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM PHILIPPE...LOCATED ABOUT 750 MILES WEST OF THE CAPE VERDE
ISLANDS.

AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS CURRENTLY
INVESTIGATING THE REMNANTS OF OPHELIA LOCATED A SHORT DISTANCE
EAST-NORTHEAST OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS.  IF THE AIRCRAFT
FINDS A WELL-DEFINED CENTER OF CIRCULATION...ADVISORIES WILL BE
RE-INITIATED ON THIS SYSTEM LATER THIS AFTERNOON.  THIS DISTURBANCE
IS PRODUCING A LARGE AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...AND
UPPER-LEVEL WINDS APPEAR SOMEWHAT CONDUCIVE FOR ADDITIONAL
REDEVELOPMENT AS THE LOW MOVES SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TO
NORTHWESTWARD DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.  THIS SYSTEM HAS A HIGH
CHANCE...90 PERCENT...OF REGENERATING INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.  LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS ARE POSSIBLE OVER
PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER PASCH


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