[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

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WTNT31 KNHC 251444
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162011
1100 AM AST SUN SEP 25 2011

...OPHELIA MAKES A JOG TOWARD THE WEST BUT EXPECTED TO TURN BACK
TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.3N 60.4W
ABOUT 175 MI...285 KM E OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 60.4 WEST. OPHELIA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H. THIS MOTION IS FORECAST
TO CONTINUE TODAY...WITH TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST EXPECTED
TONIGHT AND MONDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS. HOWEVER...OPHELIA COULD BECOME A POST-TROPICAL LOW PRESSURE
AREA LATER TODAY IF THUNDERSTORMS DO NOT REDEVELOP NEAR THE CENTER.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES...
335 KM...MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM AST.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART



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