[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Thu Sep 22 21:41:45 CDT 2011


WTNT31 KNHC 230241
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162011
1100 PM AST THU SEP 22 2011

...OPHELIA WEAKENS...SUCCUMBING TO STRONG UPPER-LEVEL WINDS...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...14.1N 49.9W
ABOUT 820 MI...1315 KM ESE OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 49.9 WEST.  OPHELIA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/H.  A TURN
TOWARD THE NORTHWEST AND A SLIGHT INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS
EXPECTED ON FRIDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 50 MPH...85
KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  ALTHOUGH LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS
FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS DUE TO STRONG UPPER-LEVEL
WINDS...THERE IS A POSSIBILITY THAT OPHELIA COULD DEGENERATE INTO A
REMNANT LOW OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 260 MILES...415 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM AST.

$$
FORECASTER BERG



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