[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

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Thu Sep 15 12:34:55 CDT 2011


WTNT34 KNHC 151734
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM MARIA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  36A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL142011
200 PM AST THU SEP 15 2011

...MARIA MOVING BY BERMUDA...TROPICAL STORM WATCH ISSUED FOR
NEWFOUNDLAND...


SUMMARY OF 200 PM AST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...33.8N 66.5W
ABOUT 145 MI...230 KM NW OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 25 DEGREES AT 32 MPH...52 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...991 MB...29.26 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE HAS DISCONTINUED THE HURRICANE WATCH FOR
BERMUDA.

ENVIRONMENT CANADA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE
SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF NEWFOUNDLAND FROM ARNOLDS COVE TO BRIGUS
SOUTH.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NEWFOUNDLAND FROM ARNOLDS COVE TO BRIGUS SOUTH

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITH 24 TO 36 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 PM AST...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MARIA WAS
LOCATED BY SATELLITE AND BERMUDA RADAR NEAR LATITUDE 33.8 NORTH...
LONGITUDE 66.5 WEST. MARIA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST
NEAR 32 MPH...52 KM/H.  THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
TODAY...WITH A TURN TO THE NORTHEAST AT AN EVEN FASTER FORWARD
SPEED EXPECTED ON FRIDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF
MARIA WILL MOVE AWAY FROM BERMUDA LATER TODAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  MARIA IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE LATER TODAY...BUT
SHOULD START TO WEAKEN ON FRIDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES...335
KM...MOSTLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER.  COMMISSIONERS POINT...AN
ELEVATED LOCATION ON BERMUDA...HAS REPORTED SUSTAINED WINDS OF 52
MPH...83 KM/H...WITH GUSTS TO 69 MPH...111 KM/H.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 991 MB...29.26 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS
BERMUDA THROUGH TODAY.

WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ON BERMUDA
THROUGH TODAY. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH
AREA IN CANADA FRIDAY AFTERNOON.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM AST.

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE/BEVEN


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