[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

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WTNT34 KNHC 142358
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BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM MARIA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  33A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL142011
800 PM AST WED SEP 14 2011

...MARIA STRENGTHENS...HURRICANE WATCH ISSUED FOR BERMUDA...


SUMMARY OF 800 PM AST...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...27.2N 68.9W
ABOUT 430 MI...690 KM SW OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 15 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB...29.50 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FOR
BERMUDA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 PM AST...0000 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MARIA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 68.9 WEST.  MARIA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 17 MPH...28 KM/H.  A
CONTINUED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD MOTION WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD
SPEED IS EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY.  ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE
CENTER OF MARIA WILL PASS WEST OF BERMUDA ON THURSDAY MORNING.  A
TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST AND AN ADDITIONAL INCREASE IN FORWARD
SPEED IS ANTICIPATED ON FRIDAY.

REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT
THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 65 MPH...100
KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING
THE 12 TO 24 HOURS...AND MARIA COULD BECOME A HURRICANE ON
THURSDAY. A WEAKENING TREND IS LIKELY TO BEGIN BY FRIDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES...335
KM...MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED FROM AIRCRAFT OBSERVATIONS IS
999 MB...29.50 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS
BERMUDA THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING.

WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON BERMUDA BY LATE
TONIGHT OR EARLY THURSDAY...WITH HURRICANE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM AST.

$$
FORECASTER PASCH/KIMBERLAIN


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