[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Wed Sep 14 12:33:54 CDT 2011


WTNT34 KNHC 141733
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM MARIA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  32A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL142011
200 PM AST WED SEP 14 2011

...LITTLE CHANGE WITH MARIA...


SUMMARY OF 200 PM AST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...25.6N 69.6W
ABOUT 305 MI...490 KM NE OF THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS
ABOUT 545 MI...880 KM SSW OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 355 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 PM AST...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MARIA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 69.6 WEST. MARIA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/H.  A TURN TO THE
NORTH-NORTHEAST AND AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED ON
THURSDAY.   ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF MARIA WILL PASS
WEST OF BERMUDA ON THURSDAY MORNING.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME INCREASE IN STRENGTH IS POSSIBLE THROUGH TOMORROW
BEFORE WEAKENING LIKELY BEGINS ON FRIDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM
FROM THE CENTER.  NOAA DATA BUOY 41046...LOCATED SOUTHEAST OF THE
CENTER...RECENTLY REPORTED A SUSTAINED WIND OF 47 MPH...76 KM/H AND
A GUST OF 51 MPH...83 KM/H.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1001 MB...29.56 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS
BERMUDA THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING.

WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON BERMUDA BY LATE
TONIGHT OR EARLY THURSDAY.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM AST.

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE/BEVEN


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