[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Wed Sep 14 03:37:09 CDT 2011


WTNT34 KNHC 140836
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM MARIA ADVISORY NUMBER  31
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL142011
500 AM AST WED SEP 14 2011

...MARIA STRENGTHENS SLIGHTLY AS IT MOVES NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...24.2N 68.6W
ABOUT 300 MI...485 KM ENE OF THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS
ABOUT 605 MI...975 KM SSW OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 345 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MARIA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 68.6 WEST. MARIA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/H. MARIA IS
FORECAST TO RESUME A NORTHWARD MOTION BY THIS AFTERNOON WITH AN
INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED.  A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST IS
EXPECTED ON THURSDAY WITH A FURTHER INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. ON
THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF MARIA WILL PASS WEST OF BERMUDA
THURSDAY MORNING.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...
280 KM...MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. NOAA DATA BUOY 41046...
LOCATED JUST EAST OF THE CENTER OF MARIA...RECENTLY REPORTED A
SUSTAINED WIND OF 43 MPH...69 KM/H AND A GUST OF 49 MPH...80 KM/H.

REPORTS FROM THE NEARBY NOAA BUOY INDICATE THE MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1001 MB...29.56 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS
BERMUDA THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING.

WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON BERMUDA BY LATE
TONIGHT OR EARLY THURSDAY.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 AM AST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM AST.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART



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